stuff from Saturday's tournaments:
FOW Saga
Why does Larry Lurr have a Mario that looks like a main for months? I suppose he plays with Zenyou a lot, but in general his Mario is actually insanely good. Nairo looked pretty good, but it does kinda seem like he's getting more and more 'carried' (emphasis on the quotes) by ZSS's punish game as the game develops. People are really figuring out ZSS's neutral, but I think we forget that her punish game is still super bonkers lol. This and what I saw of Choco over the weekend pretty much convinced me that ZSS is not dropping from top 5 any time soon and imo has a solid 4th spot. nair -> down b is brutal, dsmash punishes are brutal, and dthrow uair still exists for kills (sigh). ZSS players are getting a lot more creative and consistent with punishes too, especially off paralyzer (paralyzer -> down b, up b on reaction consistently after anti started doing it) and air dodge baits (nairo finally doing the down b out of up airs). It really does feel like she's the same character with ladders toned down and we're just going to ZSS players become more creative/optimized with their punishes, which is pretty cool.
Outfoxx'd
Mr. R is so good at this game lol. It's almost like this patch was a power-up for him; he was one of the last Sheiks to really learn the 50/50 anyways, and the needles nerf means that his pressure-oriented style is a lot more optimal. I'm still not sure how he 6-0'd Ally because his record against Ally before this was extremely bad and he lost to him like a few days ago, but the way Mr. R plays Sheik will easily make him the best Sheik in this patch, imo. Her nerfs are a big deal, but I'm kind of feeling what Mr. R was saying last week tbh: Sheik is the best character with perfect play. She has the frame data, safety, combos, recovery, mobility, the infinite options...Sheik didn't really lose any of this, and it's actually making me pretty optimistic. I don't think Sheik is the practical best character or even close to it, but it's a pretty interesting line of thought.
Apart from things I said, there was stuff like Tearbear getting 3rd, yet another Toon Link player almost freeing up Nairo, and Yoshi getting 3rd (!) at a stacked Texas regional. There's only one character stopping this metagame from looking really fun and balanced....
At least people are figuring out the cringe tyroy Bayonetta style (aka spam Witch Twist and Witch Time hoping they work even though Witch Twist is completely unpunishable so.....) but this character is utterly bonkers in the hands of virtually anyone who invests time in learning her neutral game, which is much better than many keep insisting. I feel like there definitely are legitimate tactics (ANTi decided to do nothing but grab and actually beat tyroy pretty solidly when he did that) to fight her, but she kind of marginalizes these tactics by being a more ridiculous Brawl Ice Climbers. ZeRo's video is extremely on point about this character so I don't really have much more to say, but Bayonetta in her current state is imo a few things: she punishes you for playing the game normally, she's not overrated, and she's indisputably #1 in the game.