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Rate Their Chances - Smash Ultimate Edition! Day 672: Five Most Likely First and Third Parties for Smash 6, and Final Goodbyes

BlueEyedGrimmbat

Smash Apprentice
Joined
Oct 9, 2019
Messages
116
Abstaining. I know little to nothing about RDR.

Noms: Corvo Attano x5
Prediction: 4X Strategy rep: 7.5%

Ah, yes. Total War, StarCraft(?), Company of Heroes(??),... the 4X Strategy genre brings back memories.
 

GoodGrief741

Smash Legend
Joined
Sep 22, 2012
Messages
10,169
Concept: A 3rd party company gets more than one fighter in the same pass x380
Agent 47 x375
Excitebiker x370
Worms x355
Zagreus x315
Concept: Curly as Quote's alt/Echo x305
Concept: Far Cry rep x299

300 - 251

Billy & Jimmy Lee x275
Mike Haggar x265
Concept: Disgaea rep x255


250 - 201

Rallen (Spectrobes) x235
[Rerate] Concept: League of Legends rep x232
Concept: Miles Edgeworth as Phoenix Wright's Alt/Echo x220
Peppino (Pizza Tower) x217
Tetra x215

200 - 151

[Rerate] Carmen Sandiego x200
Concept: Skullgirls rep x189
Estelle Bright x185
Kaede Akamatsu x170
Trevor Philips x155

150 - 101

Beatrice (Umineko) x150
Senator Armstrong x150
Grunty (Banjo-Kazooie) x150
Boss: Rayquaza x145
Riptor x140
Ryza (Atelier) x140
Concept: From Software rep x140
Stage: Bowser's Castle x137
Mii Costume: Monika x135
Concept: A BioShock protagonist x131
Boss: Ender Dragon x123
Mii Costume: Alex Kidd x118
D.Va x115
Mii Costume: 2B x110
Fulgore x107
Sackboy x105

100 - 51

Stage: Tetris x100
[Rerate] Louie x95
Giygas x90
Echo (Bowser) x90
Junpei (Zero Escape) x81
Concept: Darksiders rep x80
[Rerate] Concept: New Zelda character x80
Concept: More ATs as one new item x75
Dwight Fairfield (Dead by Daylight) x75
Concept: Rocket League rep x75
Meat Boy x70
Legends Trainer x70
[Rerate] Officer Howard x70
Echo (Olimar) x66
Concept: SNES-era Final Fantasy rep x65
Ghirahim x60
[Rerate] Zhao Yun x60
Gooigi x55
Vi (Bug Fables) x55
Echo: Zeraora (Lucario) x55
[Rerate] Jin Kazama x55
Magolor x55
Jin Sakai x55

50 - 25

Bill Rizer x50
Garchomp x50
Demi-Fiend x45
[Rerate] Agumon x40
Mii Costume: Zagreus x40
Gunvolt x40
Filia (Skullgirls) x31
Concept: Large and Normal Final Destination made into separate stages x25
[Rerate] Crash Bandicoot x25
[Rerate] Tails x25
Corvo Attano x25

Under 25

Regigigas x20
[Rerate] Metal Sonic x20
Concept: Danganronpa protagonist x20
Yarn Yoshi x15
[Rerate] Shovel Knight x15
Tetris x10
Slash Kamei (Snowboard Kids) x10
[Rerate] Yuri Lowell x10
Jesse (Control) x10
Infernape x10
[Rerate] Gex x10
[Rerate] Concept: Echo Fighters Pass x10
[Rerate] Q*Bert x10
[Rerate] Brian x7
Concept: Rocket League content x5
[Rerate] Thrall x5
[Rerate] Lara Croft x5
Stage: Tetris 99 x5
Concept: Raizing shmup rep x5
Donbe and Hikari x5
Soma Cruz x5
Concept: KOS-MOS with T-elos alt x5
[Rerate] Master Hand x5
Pyramid Head x5
[Rerate] Elma x5
Octoling x5
Firebrand x1

Concept: Disgaea rep collects more than 250 noms.

Sackboy creates 100 noms.

Crash Bandicoot, Tails, and Corvo Attano leap to 25 noms.

Today's new nominee is a rerate of Q*Bert, with 10 noms.

err about tomorrows rating what exactly is a x4 strategy game? ive not heard this term before?
4X games are basically empire building games. They're the games, be they real-time or turn-based, where you grow, and organize your civilization, but you don't necessarily have to fight and conquer those that oppose you.
 

Inue Houji

Purplish Wig
Joined
Oct 8, 2020
Messages
265
John Marston
Chance: 0,5%
RDR has a lot of the same issues as GTA, from what I know about it though, they're not as egregious. There might be a chance, but as it has no connection to Nintendo, it's minuscule.

Want: Abstain
Never played any of the 3 games. Would rather want this instead of a GTA character though.

Predictions
4X: 0.9%

Nominations
Rallen x5
 
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Sari

Editing Staff
Writing Team
Joined
Aug 3, 2014
Messages
4,436
Location
New Jersey
NNID
Villager49
Switch FC
SW-2215-0173-2152
Day over.

Rate Concept: a 4X strategy rep.

Predict Crazy Dave from Plants vs. Zombies.

Megadoomer Megadoomer

-----

Today's concept may be a bit confusing so please check these pages to see if a game qualifies for this concept:

-----

Some songs to get into the 4X game mood:


-----

Can anyone tell me what are left in the fixed schedule? I forgot what we have left.
Current fixed schedule is 4X rep ------> Crazy Dave ------> Velvet (Tales series)
 

TCT~Phantom

Smash Master
Writing Team
Joined
Dec 10, 2013
Messages
3,965
NNID
TCT~Phantom
4x Strategy Rep

0.5% Chance

Lets be honest, this is a CIV rep with extra steps. But in all seriousness, CIV has a bunch of the issues that Dynasty Warriors had a while back but worse. These are real people. Not all of them are realistic mind you (looking at you Nuclear Gandhi), but they all at the end of the day are real people. I do not see Smash choosing a real person. CIV did get a lot of publicity for its port, so it is not impossible, but I think that it is a whole can of worms to introduce a CIV character. CIV is the most noteworthy 4x strategy game, so while there could be another, I do not think there would be.

Abstain Want

Look, I really hate giving a want for a concept this broad. Its just a broad concept that you have a whole spectrum of choices. I also hate to admit it but this genre is a bit out of my wheelhouse. Yeah, not the biggest 4x strategy player. I have played some, but I do not think I have played nearly enough to give this a strong rating in terms of want. I will say some of the same stuff I said about Lu Bu and how I would prefer real people be avoided. I personally think that this could be fine, even if I struggle to envision it working from a gameplay perspective.

Crazy Dave prediction 2.2%

Legends Trainer x 10
 

Lyncario

Smash Ace
Joined
Dec 3, 2019
Messages
926
Location
Hell
We live in a Civilization

Abstain, I don't have enough to say, but we already know it's very unlikely. Ghandi dropping a nuke as a final Smash would be one of the best that could be added to Smash tho.

And as a bonus, also abstain for Arthur from RDR, it's pretty much the same story except there's no funny final Smash.

Anyway,

Nominaitons

Oficer/Akira Howard/Legionis x 10 (I'm getting 5 for double abstention, right?)

Prediction

Crazy Dave from Plants vs Zombies: 3.4%
 

BowserKing

Smash Lord
Joined
Feb 16, 2019
Messages
1,859
Location
winnipeg
4X Stratagy rep

Chance: 5%. I don’t see this genre getting a fighter in this fighter’s pass. But for a sequel, that chance could be higher, and we should expect the unexpeted. But that is all I have to say for the matter.

Want: 50%. I don’t know too much about this genre, so I’m not familiar with it. With that said, a character from the company would be fun to play as. But overall, while a rep from that company would make a decent Smash Bros fighter, I don’t know who?

FWI, Sorry about calling it a company, since I don’t know much about it.

Prediction: Crazy Dave (5%)

Noms: 5 for Stage: Bowser’s Castle
 
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GoodGrief741

Smash Legend
Joined
Sep 22, 2012
Messages
10,169
Concept: A 3rd party company gets more than one fighter in the same pass x390
Agent 47 x385
Excitebiker x380
Worms x355
Zagreus x320
Concept: Curly as Quote's alt/Echo x310
Concept: Far Cry rep x309

300 - 251

Billy & Jimmy Lee x275
Mike Haggar x265
Concept: Disgaea rep x260

250 - 201

Rallen (Spectrobes) x240
[Rerate] Concept: League of Legends rep x232
Concept: Miles Edgeworth as Phoenix Wright's Alt/Echo x220
Peppino (Pizza Tower) x217
Tetra x215

200 - 151

[Rerate] Carmen Sandiego x200
Concept: Skullgirls rep x194
Estelle Bright x185
Kaede Akamatsu x170
Trevor Philips x155
Senator Armstrong x155
Grunty (Banjo-Kazooie) x155

150 - 101

Beatrice (Umineko) x150
Boss: Rayquaza x145
Concept: From Software rep x145
Riptor x140
Ryza (Atelier) x140
Stage: Bowser's Castle x137
Mii Costume: Monika x135
Concept: A BioShock protagonist x131
Boss: Ender Dragon x123
Mii Costume: Alex Kidd x118
D.Va x115
Mii Costume: 2B x110
Sackboy x110
Fulgore x107

100 - 51

Stage: Tetris x100
[Rerate] Louie x95
Echo (Bowser) x95
Giygas x90
Junpei (Zero Escape) x81
Concept: Darksiders rep x80
[Rerate] Concept: New Zelda character x80
Legends Trainer x80
Concept: More ATs as one new item x75
Dwight Fairfield (Dead by Daylight) x75
Concept: Rocket League rep x75
Meat Boy x75
[Rerate] Officer Howard x75
Echo (Olimar) x66
Concept: SNES-era Final Fantasy rep x65
Ghirahim x60
[Rerate] Zhao Yun x60
Gooigi x55
Vi (Bug Fables) x55
Echo: Zeraora (Lucario) x55
[Rerate] Jin Kazama x55
Magolor x55
Jin Sakai x55

50 - 25

Bill Rizer x50
Garchomp x50
Demi-Fiend x45
[Rerate] Agumon x40
Mii Costume: Zagreus x40
Gunvolt x40
Filia (Skullgirls) x31
[Rerate] Crash Bandicoot x30
Corvo Attano x30
Concept: Large and Normal Final Destination made into separate stages x25
[Rerate] Tails x25

Under 25

Regigigas x20
[Rerate] Metal Sonic x20
Concept: Danganronpa protagonist x20
Yarn Yoshi x15
[Rerate] Shovel Knight x15
Tetris x10
Slash Kamei (Snowboard Kids) x10
[Rerate] Yuri Lowell x10
Jesse (Control) x10
Infernape x10
[Rerate] Gex x10
[Rerate] Concept: Echo Fighters Pass x10
[Rerate] Q*Bert x10
[Rerate] Brian x7
Concept: Rocket League content x5
[Rerate] Thrall x5
[Rerate] Lara Croft x5
Stage: Tetris 99 x5
Concept: Raizing shmup rep x5
Donbe and Hikari x5
Soma Cruz x5
Concept: KOS-MOS with T-elos alt x5
[Rerate] Master Hand x5
Pyramid Head x5
[Rerate] Elma x5
Octoling x5
Firebrand x1

Senator Armstrong and Grunty conjure 150 noms.

4X Stratagy rep

Chance: 5%. I don’t see this company getting a fighter in this fighter’s pass. But for a sequel, that chance could be higher, and we should expect the unexpeted. But that is all I have to say for the matter.

Want: 50%. I don’t know too much about this company, so I’m not familiar with it. With that said, a character from the company would be fun to play as. But overall, while a rep from that company would make a decent Smash Bros fighter, I don’t know who?

Prediction: Crazy Dave (5%)

Noms: 5 for Stage: Bowser’s Castle
4X isn't even a company; it's a genre. Do some research or abstain, I'm not counting this post.
 

DrifloonEmpire

Smash Champion
Joined
Aug 2, 2019
Messages
2,219
Lets be honest, this is a CIV rep with extra steps.
This whole thing was a big loophole since you guys wouldn't let me rate a Civ rep directly! xD


4x Strategy Rep

Chance: 5% -
I don't have a lot of confidence in this idea, given that there isn't a good amount of them on Nintendo systems despite being an unrepresented genre. They do typically do well in Japan (at least in Civilization's case, Japanese versions of Civ games have gotten certain additions to better appeal to Japan) so that's not a huge hindrance.

Civilization is clearly the big talk of the town in this discussion, being by and far the most well-known 4x game series. Famous for various reasons, let's look at the positives first. Civilization, unlike a lot of PC-centric series, actually has some decent Nintendo representation! Two main series games (1 on SNES, 6 on Switch) along with a spinoff (Rev on DS) on Nintendo systems, which, with their promotion of the Civ 6 port, definitely puts the series on Nintendo's rader, at least to a degree. Nintendo and Firaxis even made a few (somewhat childish) videos explaining the Civ series and how to play it to the Nintendo audience! Alongside that. 2K Games, the publishers for the Civ series, are on very good terms with Nintendo at this time. They had their well-promoted "2K <3 Nintendo" campaign last year and it resulted in the Bioshock ports among others, and along with that the Civ 6 port was one of the first AAA ports for the Switch. So the Civ series does have a leg to stand on here!

The Civilization series, believe it or not, has a surprising amount of overlap with Nintendo fans, and going on the Steam Workshop there's TONS of Nintendo-based custom Civilizations! So Nintendo may see that there's an audience for a Civ DLC character. There was also a small campaign on r/civ at one point to get Gandhi on the Smash ballot ala the TF2 Heavy polls, so that's another foot in the door.

The many, MANY custom Nintendo Civilizations!:

Mario:

Mario Land, led by Mario
Luigi's Mansion, led by Luigi
The Koopa Troop
DK Isle
WarioWare
Waluigi's Island
Yoshi's Island
Sarasaland, led by Daisy
Bob-omb Battlefield, led by King Bob-omb
Whomp's Fortress, led by King Whomp
The Beanbean Kingdom
The X-Nauts
Rogueport, led by Don Pianta

Zelda:
Hyrule, led by Zelda
Hyrule, led by King Harkinian
Koridai, led by Morshu

Pokemon:
Arceus's Empire

Civilizations of Alola (Made by Me)
Sinnoh
Dialga's Temporal Empire
Orre, led by Mirror B
Unova
Kalos
Wigglytuff's Guild
Kanto
Hoenn

Pikmin:
Planet Koppai, led by Captain Charlie (Made by Me)
Pikmin Civilization

Metroid:
The Galactic Federation, led by Admiral Dane

Animal Crossing:
The Animal Village, led by Isabelle

Fire Emblem:
Kingdom of Silessse
Almyra, led by Claude
Anna's Secret Shop
The Divine Dragon Clan
Rausten
Altea, led by Marth
Ostia, led by Hector
WHAT HAPPENED TO DORCAS?
There's too many to list!

Xenoblade:

Mor Ardain
The High Entia
The Nopon

Kirby:
Dream Land, led by King Dedede
The Meta-Knights
The Squeak Squad

Earthbound:
Porky's Empire
Nowhere Islands, led by Lucas
Eagleland, let by Ness

Splatoon:
The Inklings
The Octarians
Deepsea Metro

Chibi Robo:
The Toys, led by Drake Redcrest

There's more overlap than people would think!


On the other hand, there's the clear problem of most of the plausible characters being real people. Nintendo would likely want to avoid that can of worms, especially with a figure like Gandhi (who's basically the series mascot), though I've seen Gilgamesh presented as an alternative choice. He's also been in several games and he'd be a choice that would draw the least possible controversy while still representing the series well. It really depends on what Nintendo wants to do regarding this problem.

...Then again, we also got Abraham Lincoln as a main character in Codename S.T.E.A.M., so who knows at this point.

Though there's the option of choosing one of Civilization: Beyond Earth's leaders, since they're all completely fictional, but that game wasn't particularly well-recieved by the Civ fanbase, nor is it really representative of the series as a whole.

Regarding other 4X games, there's a lot of fantasy-based ones such as Heroes of Might and Magic, and Endless Legend. These two get around the obvious caveat of needing to use real people, but at the expense of not having the Civilization series' prestige. Though, in Endless Legend's case, SEGA of Europe owns the franchise, and much like Lara Croft being owned by Square Enix, being owned by a Japanese company, and one Nintendo has a strong relationship with no less, definitely makes this a possibility. Though without the general public knowing the series well, there is little chance that they'd be on Nintendo's radar, even for DLC.


Want: 100% - By far one of the series I want to see most in Smash. Civilization V in particular is extremely special to me, and is basically to me what TF2 is to a lot of people in this community. I have extremely fond memories of the game all the way through, from playing it for the first time, to bonding with some friends over it, to making custom modded Civilizations for it as a hobby, it would make me extremely happy! Plus the series would have such an unorthodox fighter that would bring a lot of fun things to the table! Plus it would be a great choice if people want PC gaming represented, since it's a PC series with Nintendo history, recency, and overlap with Nintendo fans! Plus who WOULDN'T want to see Gandhi dropping a nuke in Smash?


Nominations:
Concept: Miles Edgeworth as Phoenix Wright's alt/echo
[Rerate] Louie x5

Predictions:
Crazy Dave - 4.89% - I'm not gonna discount him entirely, Nintendo DOES promote Plants vs. Zombies in their directs, but the lack of fan demand and difficult competition is gonna keep scores low.
 
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SharkLord

Smash Hero
Joined
Jun 20, 2020
Messages
7,335
Location
Pangaea, 250 MYA
Just say Civilization
Chance - 40%. I don't know much about the series or where it stands, but I at least know the most recent game's gotten some ports and promotion on the Switch. It seems to be decently big, and adding a historical public domain figure would definitely be pretty notable. I don't know exactly how big Civ is, but it seems like it has a decent shot. "But wait, would they really add real-life people?" I mean, they did it before. Seeing as they're public domain by virtue of being historical people from many centuries ago, they seem like fair game to me. Also, extra 10% for the non-Civ 4Xs. Civ seems to be the best bet, but I'm sure there's a couple
Want - 50%. Don't know much about the series, but my dad plays it a lot and it'd be funny to see how he reacts. That, and nuclear %$#@ing Gandhi. It's pretty unlikely, given how highly he's regarded in India, but it's nuclear %$#@ing Gandhi. Even then, just nuking Final Destination would be hilarious, Gandhi or no. Also, then we get to see SKX31 SKX31 flip their %$#@ over Civilization in Smash and get an excuse to post the new Smash remixes all day, every day, and that would be a sight to behold.

Noms Ryza x10
 

SKX31

Smash Master
Joined
Feb 22, 2019
Messages
3,463
Location
Sweden
Want: 50%. I don’t know too much about this company, so I’m not familiar with it. With that said, a character from the company would be fun to play as. But overall, while a rep from that company would make a decent Smash Bros fighter, I don’t know who?
4X strategy refers to a genre, not a company. Think Civilization or Total War, those games. Top down perspectives, focus on strategic decision making, army management etc.

4X Rep (Which is in my wheelhouse!):

Chance: 6 %


Now, the real people issue is a significant one - while not all 4X games deal with real people, cultures etc., some of the most notable ones like Civilization do. While that hasn't exactly stopped Nintendo - after all, there's Dr. Kawashima, Codename S.T.E.A.M. and the Napoleon GBA game* have NPC representation in Ultimate - it nevertheless places a major potential roadblock. Civilization in particular bases its gameplay on playing as or against historical empires / nations with the leaders practically being used as the primary representatives, with other franchises like Total War and RotK being rather close.

Historical figures are wonky judgement calls and likely down to the individual person and their respective legacies. It's wonky precisely due to cases like Dracula: Bram Stoker's book was the first one to connect the real Vlad III Tepes to vampirism (300+ years after the real Vlad lived mind), but Stoker did not know much about Vlad Tepes himself. So it's possible that Stoker practically invented the connection based on the real Vlad's actions.

Now as Drifloon pointed out, there are certainly people who wouldn't mind a real leader being Civ's representative in Smash, and there's an argument to be made there. There's some uncertainty still though. Even as nuking Final Destination as SharkLord SharkLord alluded to - whether Gandhi's playable or not - would be ****ing hilarious. Especially with Gandhi playable.

Oh **** I just realized. Combine Nuclear Gandhi + :ultsnake: ...

Oh god, imagine the sheer ****ing (beautiful?) chaos on the internet if one overlayed Nuclear Gandhi with this meme:



Anyway, I digress. Absent a super-definitive answer to that question, the safest bet might be someone who doesn't have a connection to a presently existing culture. Particularily, this would mean these three:

* Sumeria - present in Civ IV and VI, Gilgamesh have been the leader in both. One of the earliest civilizations period and one of the earliest ethnic groups. Sumerian's been a dead language for 2000+ years at this point, and likewise the culture had been long assimilated by the point Julius Caesar roamed the Earth. Gilgamesh might've been a real king of Ur, but his historicity is not fully attested to as far as I'm aware.

* Babylon - who's been present in every Civ game, Hammurabi is the most common leader followed by Nebudchanezzar II of Biblical fame. Babylon typically waxed and waned following periods of rise, instability, and conquest over the 1500 years the city was a major force. But Babylon ceased to be a major city by 275 BC - when a tablet from Babylon (according to Encyclopeadia Britannica, 1911 edition) states that most of its inhabitants had been deported by one of Alexander the Great's generals - Seleucus I Nicator - to found the new capital of Seleucia for his Seleucid Empire. Seleucus and Alexander's other generals - the Diadochi - had established their own kingdoms / empires when Alexander died and were jostling for control over the spoils. After that Babylon gradually lost importance, especially in times of instability and conquest, until it eventually was completely abandoned by 1000 AD - the Middle Ages.

* Scythians - who made their debut in Civ VI. Tomyris is their leader. A nomadic people who Ancient Greek writers knew and wrote about, they first emerged in archeological records around 700s BC when they migrated to the Russian / Central Asian steppes, around Persia / Iran. They roamed those steppes on horseback, and their most famous member, Tomyris, has a legendary tale of revenge associated with her against the founder of Persia - Cyrus the Great. Scythian women followed Tomyris' example and regularily joined the men in warfare, as warrior graves prove. As such, they're possibly one basis for the Amazonian legends. The Scythians were reduced to current-day-Ukraine at around the 300s BC, and were largely assimiliated by Greek influence at around the 200s AD. The closest living descendants are the Ossetians, who live around the Russia-Georgia border mainly - but 1800+ years separate the two.

Those three are more or less free from current-day implications (with the only real issues being that Scythian symbols have been used by Nazis and Turkic nationalists trying to claim them as their own, and Saddam styled himself as a modern-day Hammurabi). But time have effectively erased most barriers really. As such, I lean closest to warubyun's Gilgamesh challenger pack. Not only is Gilgamesh someone who'd fit Smash's particular style pretty well, he's also someone who can lean on a lot of different weaponry and fit nicely with the concept of Civilization as starting from somewhere to build something bigger over time.

That does present a gameplay issue though. I did post a possible Civ moveset idea here (edited a bit because the Civ VI devs added more interactions with barbarians just after I posted that):

Civilization as a game is heavily reliant on the early game - usually the normal 4000 BC start point to the end of the Medieval Era. When one is starting out, settling the first couple or so cities, scouting and getting the needed techs for early game resources, formulating plans for later on. Oh and dealing with barbarians, as well as prepping for or guarding against any aggresive AI neighbors like Alexander or Cleopatra.* Or if one is playing multiplayer, everyone's going to go aggro sooner or later for teh win.
That's where I think a Civ representative in Smash could work - cities in Civ work by giving "zones of control" to surrounding land. The more the city can grow, the larger territory it will control. As such, a Civ representative could maybe work by establishing a similar, but lets say more fluid "zone of control" that strenghens the longer one attacks and / or keeps oneself from getting hit too much, but it shrinks after consecutive hits. The ZoC could offer various small but useful buffs to the character and possible teammates. Late game units like tanks might only buff the player if the ZoC is "strong" enough. In order to prevent excessive camping problems it might be worth it to make the ZoC semi-autonomous and not staying entirely in place, but moving a bit on its own so the player also has to react a bit.
And one could perhaps build from there, regardless of who one chooses to use really.

As for the genre itself, it has mostly confined itself to the computer scene. This is evident with the primary franchises: Total War's long been content with the PC and historical settings, although it has for the past few games branched out into fictional territory with Warhammer. Hypotheoretically I do believe that there would be an audience for a Fire Emblem: Total War or something similar, but that would require Nintendo / IS to work with Total War's developers Creative Assembly, who are under SEGA. Koei's RotK seems to have somewhat of an indirect chance, although that chance is mostly tied to the sister series Dynasty Warriors. The chance does kinda rise due to that.

The others are basically out of the question. Take Heroes of Might and Magic for instance - a fantasy 4X series that started out in the 1990s, based on the computer RPG series Might and Magic. HoMM II to IV were published by...

3DO. Yes, the company behind that console. Until they went kaput in 2003 following HoMM IV's expansions.



After 3DO went down the drain the series became part of Ubisoft's catalog, and while V was pretty well recieved, VI and VII have not been to my knowledge and now the series is in a strange limbo. Besides that, its height - HoMM III - wasn't long lived enough to help sustain 3DO or its devs. Particularily, its devs left after IV - IV is a good game, but has some weird design decisions like a wonky unit production system. I didn't even know HoMM had a small Nintendo presence via HoMM I and II being ported to the Game Boy of all things (plus a spin off on the DS post-Ubisoft takeover)!

The fact I, who is very familiar with HoMM III and IV, didn't know that says quite a lot.

Like Phantom said, it's incredibly difficult to rate the entire genre, although its historical distance from Nintendo hinders its chanches a lot. Dynasty Warriors + RotK may be the best shots here by virtue of Koei being so close to Nintendo. Civilization may actually have a small but noticeable shot as Drifloon pointed out, so it'd be wise not to count them out.

Want: Abstain on the whole genre, 90 % for Civilization specifically.

As a long time fan of the genre, absolutely. It's one of those I personally grew up with alongside the RTS, so of course nostalgia's going to put its glasses around my eyes. Civ in particular - I started with Civ IV - would also be an interesting gameplay experiment as well, so immense bonus points for that.

Also, a Civ rep appearing would give me, as SharkLord SharkLord alluded to, the excuse to post the really-underrated Civ VI soundtrack (by far the best part about that game don't @ me). Ever listened to the ****ing oldest surviving piece of music (Hurrian Hymn to Nikkal, composed 1400 BC.) being remixed with modern electronic instruments?

Well, these madmen did it, and the results are glorious:


*(Total sidenote: It feels a bit weird that they released the Napoleon GBA game only in Japan and France. Those two countries make sense, but it could've been released elsewhere too. Especially since it was Intelligent System - the FE devs - who devved it.)

Noms: Ryza x5
Preds: Crazy Dave: 3,1 %
 
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fogbadge

Smash Obsessed
Joined
Jun 29, 2012
Messages
21,262
Location
Scotland
so CIV and sins of a solar empire type thing then? abstain dont really play a lot of them. although my brother and i did do a lot of age of mythology when we were younger
 

DanganZilla5

Smash Champion
Writing Team
Joined
Mar 5, 2019
Messages
2,373
4X the strategy of nuking the **** out of everything

Chance: 4%

Yeah no, I have trouble seeing this happening. I know we have Dr. Kawashima in the game but so far he seems to be the exception and not the norm. I know I will seem hypocritical since I don't use the characters from Dynasty Warriors as points against it but the difference is that those characters come from a book that uses fictional versions of those real-life people. Meanwhile games like Civilization straight up uses the actual versions of those real life people. Sure those people are in the public domain now but it's still a grey area in my eyes.

But aside from that, my big gripe with this genre is that it is heavily PC-based. The majority of the games seem to be PC exclusive which leads me to Civilization which is the only viable candidate in my eyes as the others seem like they would be far off Nintendo's radar. It is the 4X series with the most Nintendo history with 6 being on the Switch and there are a few other games on Nintendo systems too. I also just remembered that Civ is owned by 2K, which is one of the western companies that I could see getting a rep, although it is important to remember that they have Borderlands and Bioshock too.

I will say that Drifloon and SKX31 made excellent posts that convinced me to raise my score from a 1 to a 4, which isn't major but their points did make me take a step back and think more. Civilization is a big series and I believe some of the other games in this genre have been influential as well so I can't completely disregard them. But until I see it happen, I am skeptical of this happening.

Want: Abstain

I wish I could give this a score but due to this concept being wide and due to not having a lot of experience with the genre, I have to abstain. I have seen my dad play some of these games when I was younger and they seemed fun. I did play Civ 5 at one point but I couldn't get into it since it is too much micromanagement for me and it ended up being overwhelming for me. A shame because this genre does seem very cool and the type of games that you could easily sink hundreds of hours into without breaking a sweat. I do want to give Civ 5 another try once I get a better PC.

I also want to point out that at the very least I think a Civilization stage or really, any stage from games within this genre could be very enjoyable. I have a vision of a stage where you have two civilizations, one on each side of the screen. The two sides will attack each other and can evolve from tribes throwing spears at each other to full-grown cities that will deploy tanks, soldiers, and helicopters to attack the other civilization. Meanwhile the Smash characters are in the middle of the stage and end up taking damage from the cross-fire. They could take this concept a step further and have battles in the background too. Thus this could end up being the most chaotic stage in Smash and even in theory it sounds awesome and I'm sure they would make it wicked cool.

Finally, and this also impacts my chance score too, I'm kind of lost when it comes to how they could represent the 4X genre with a fighter. The 4X genre has a heavy emphasis on freedom of choice when it comes to engaging other entities, plus taking control of multiple squads of allies. So I'm not sure how they could replicate that in some way without making it too complex, OP, or demanding of the hardware. I'm open to hearing suggestions.

Prediction: Crazy Dave - 6%

Noms:
Excitebiker x5
Bill Rizer x5
 

Pillow

Smash Lord
Joined
Jan 20, 2013
Messages
1,268
Location
Los Angeles
Civilization + some other stuff
Chance - 5%
Technically possible, I guess. There series is at the very least, notable...in the West. I'm not too sure how popular it is overseas, but my guess would be not very, and as a result my score is low. I also don't really ever see real life figures appearing in Smash, however altered they are, and I also can't imagine a Civ Rep being anyone other than a world leader, but I suppose the further back we go in time, the more lenient this "rule" is.

Want - Abstain
This is the first time I'm abstaining for want. This topic is just too broad, even if we limited it specifically to a Civ character. It'd also highly depend on how the character is presented and the moveset they bring with them. I'm not opposed to the concept as a whole though, so that's something

Noms:
xMax Fromsoft
 
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SKX31

Smash Master
Joined
Feb 22, 2019
Messages
3,463
Location
Sweden
Civilization + some other stuff
Chance - 5%
Technically possible, I guess. There series is at the very least, notable...in the West. I'm not too sure how popular it is overseas, but my guess would be not very, and as a result my score is low. I also don't really ever see real life figures appearing in Smash, however altered they are, and I also can't imagine a Civ Rep being anyone other than a world leader, but I suppose the further back we go in time, the more lenient this "rule" is.
I don't know if Civ (or any other 4X series) has any popularity in Japan, but Civ VI is localized into Japanese (which the Nintendo eShop page confirms) which suggests at least a small playerbase there (not that it'd help much, granted). Civ VI outperformed expectations on the Switch, and while the gamesindustry article didn't give regional numbers it's still an encouraging sign. I haven't played the Switch port - heard it's rather buggy compared to the PC one. A large segment of the Civ playerbase is likely EU, since player activity tends to peak around primetime EU hours (UTC).

The total sales numbers I've seen for V is 8 million as of 2018, and for VI it's 5,5 million as of 2019, and VI has likely surpassed V at this point.

There are also a couple caveats:

1. Civilization VI has 50 different playable civs - the most in the series - and it's gotten to the point when one said civ came about because of this chain of events:

During a promo for the upcoming Civilization VI, Firaxis released a blurry image of a female leader, which some fans fervently insisted was Tamar. It turned out to be Gorgo of Sparta, and "it's Tamar!" became a minor meme to be used whenever something about the game was teased, but apparently someone at Firaxis noticed how excited some players were at the prospect of Georgia being included, so two years later...

TBF, Georgia was a pretty powerful kingdom during Tamar's rule, but the selection of Civs isn't really strict to begin with.

2. The Civ series has mostly relied on real leaders, but sometimes they bend that rule hard and included fictional stuff. Civ II (1996) is a great example since they offered a playable male and female leader for each Civ. Which... resulted in some issues when it came to picking leaders for civs that have lacked famous queens etc. Japan's leaders in II were Tokugawa Ieyasu (real person, one of Japan's three Unifiers after the Sengoku period and arguaby Civ's go-to choice for a Japanese leader)... and Amaterasu - who as anyone well versed in Shinto knows is a mythological goddess. Sadly Amaterasu's not a wolf in Civ II. :roll:

2b. The Maori in Civ VI is another example, since their leader is Kupe - the legendary explorer who according to Maori oral tradition discovered New Zealand. Kupe's used partly since he roughly represents the Maori as a whole and partly for a gameplay reason - the Maori (like the Polynesian civ in V) always start out in the ocean and can enter the ocean at will (unlike other civs who have to get a mid game tech first), but they'll have to spend the first couple turns finding land to settle.
3. Gilgamesh is a weird case where he might've actually existed as a king of the Uruk City-State (sometime between 2800 BC. and 2500 BC.), but he had become a legendary figure by that millenium's end. There's not a whole lot of writing from that period that has survived, so a lot of traits given to the modern depictions of Gilgamesh are based on the Epic. Both Civilization and Final Fantasy make direct allusions to Enkidu, for instance. His Civ VI voice actor speaks Akkadian, which is a related language to Sumerian and one that is more easily translateable IIRC.

In short, there's some strange middle ground here.

*One particular HoMM stronghold is Russia, where most of the remaining HoMM III (the game was released in 1999) playerbase is. It's not a huge playerbase, but they helped develop new expansions for HoMM III as recently as a few years ago. Not that it matters at all in this context, but it surprised me since I thought only a few still played it.
 

Phoenix Douchebag

Smash Lord
Joined
Mar 19, 2020
Messages
1,045
Location
ZE BATH
Can i make another Ghandi Joke?

No? Well im abstaning anyway, don't have too much to say to this concept, sorry, came here to just Nominate.

Nominating Gunvolt X5


Predicting Crazy Dave: 9.75%

Plants Vs Zombies has seen better days. Hard to believe this would be technically an EA rep which does not make me happy. (i know, i know, i sound like an hypocrite)
 

chocolatejr9

Smash Hero
Joined
Sep 30, 2018
Messages
8,284
Abstain. I don't know what a 4X even is. Is it like a game console or something?

Nominations: Concept: Disgaea rep x5
 

Dan Quixote

Smash Lord
Joined
Jun 25, 2020
Messages
1,106
Location
Florida
I added to the nominations for this when I saw it on the list because 4X is one of my fav genres ever. Civ V and VI are some of my favorite games of all time, Stellaris has really been picking up for me in the last year, City-builders, which are kinda an adjacent genre, are some of my most bought games on Steam. After seeing all the posts here I realized I had a big brain fart moment and interpreted "4X rep" as "any representation from a 4X game" when it seems that it actually means "a playable fighter from a 4X game"

Our ratings are backed with nuclear weapons!

CHANCE - 5%
Yeah so that brings down the score a lot. If this rate was for what I thought it was gonna be—any sort of secondary representation like Spirits or music or a stage—then I would give this an optimistic score of around 20% because of the success of games like the aforementioned Civ VI and Stellaris on console and the fact that they're a big part of gaming history. But a playable fighter seems unfeasible, sadly. SKX31 made good points about the older historical figures probably not being a problem for not being "video game" characters, so I don't think that's an issue. Besides, most other 4X games don't even use historical figures like Civ does.
The actual problem, imo, is that characters in 4X games don't do anything. You control units on a map like chess pieces, and they usually just do one or two actions. 4X games are about grand scale control, affecting units everywhere at once. Not really about individuals that could become Smash fighters. Yeah I guess the "leader" that you play as could be the stand-in, but they wouldn't be able to incorporate 4X elements without seeming out of place, so it's probably not a concept the devs really care about.

WANT - 10%
If this rate was for any 4X content, that'd be a full 100%. 4X games can have great soundtracks, could make for good gigantic team battle Spirit fights, and of course could make for a killer stage. But a fighter does not sound interesting to me really. Like I said before, they wouldn't be able to do much, and characters aren't representative of any 4X game as a whole. I do think the Gilgamesh challenger packs that I've seen around this forum look cool, but only for the stuff that comes alongside the fighter. I certainly wouldn't say no to some of my favorite games ever getting a fighter like Gilgamesh or a Total War Rome general or a Stellaris alien or what-have-you, but they're not what I specifically want from those franchises.

Nominations: Tetra x10

Predictions: Crazy Dave 7.5%
 

DrifloonEmpire

Smash Champion
Joined
Aug 2, 2019
Messages
2,219
(like the Polynesian civ in V) always start out in the ocean and can enter the ocean at will (unlike other civs who have to get a mid game tech first),
As someone who plays Polynesia regularly in Civ 5 they don't start out on the ocean like Kupe does, but they do still have the ability to enter oceans from the start of the game!

Also Kupe in 6 is a similar situation to Hiawatha, the Iroquois leader in Civ 5. He was supposedly a famous orator but we don't know much about him other than legends.
 

Lionfranky

Smash Lord
Joined
Oct 4, 2019
Messages
1,015
4x Strategy rep

Chance: 5%

Yeah... obviously, Civilization is frontrunner in this genre. However, I don't think Dr. Kawashima really opened the door for historical figure. It's more of exception. Even then, I don't think this genre has any concrete figure to represent. I mean there is Ghandi, but he is still less of gaming icon, but more of historical figure. I believe this is something Sakurai would want to avoid. BTW, has Sakurai even played this kind of game? There is limit how many games he can consume.

Want: Abstain

I have to abstain since I'm not into this genre much. I remember playing Hero, Might and Magic with my friend back in day. It was fun. I wouldn't mind Spirit event, but playable character is definitely not a good choice for me. From what I've found, there isn't any character to stand out. With only two slots left, I want Nintendo/Sakurai to focus on FPS genre. 4x Strategy especially Civilization is important to gaming. But, I would rather focus on other genre first before getting here.

Nom: 3rd party company gets more than one fighter in the same pass x 10
 

GoodGrief741

Smash Legend
Joined
Sep 22, 2012
Messages
10,169
Eh, I think I'll also abstain. I'm not sure where to put it in the chance department and want is all over the place depending on the series and character. Most 4X series I'd give a 1% with a few going over that because, admittedly, there are a number of huge and influential and iconic 4X series. However, many of them suffer from said influence not being as strongly felt in the console market (even if the games themselves do make the jump to consoles). Also, by and large they aren't character based, with many of them having fictionalized versions of real people. Which begs the question of whether they'd be represented by a fighter vs. anything else. There's too many gray areas imo. Add to that the question of whether Dynasty Warriors counts and yeah, I'm sitting this out.

Noms: Agent 47 x10
Crazy Dave prediction: 2.03%
 

ShotoStar

Smash Cadet
Joined
Sep 3, 2020
Messages
70
4X Strategy Character???

Chances: 0%

Yeah I'm being harsh on this one with a solid 0 percent chance, I do not see this happening at all. I'm sorry but I just do not, MAYBE some 4X Strategy content in a future Smash Game, maybe even an Assist Trophy (if Dr. Wright doesn't count) but not a character. This genre just does not seem adaptable into a character in my opinion. Civ could get maybe spirits and maybe music but I can't see it getting a character and it's like, the biggest or most well known 4X Strategy franchise I think.

Want: 0%

Sorry but I also don't want this at all, Some other form of content I wouldn't be opposed to but when there's better and bigger characters out there you could get I'd prefer those and even some unrepresented Genres would translate better to Smash I think: Visual Novels, First Person Shooters, Third-Person Fighting Games/Anime Fighting Games, Puzzle Games, etc. etc.

Nomination:
Beatrice (Umineko) x5
 

BlueEyedGrimmbat

Smash Apprentice
Joined
Oct 9, 2019
Messages
116
Abstaining. Though I will say that it is kind of jarring that every post I've seen on this talks about Civilization. Like, yes, it is basically the frontrunner, but I don't really see other franchises like Total War (which I love) getting talked about.

Noms: Corvo Attano x5
 

SKX31

Smash Master
Joined
Feb 22, 2019
Messages
3,463
Location
Sweden
Abstaining. Though I will say that it is kind of jarring that every post I've seen on this talks about Civilization. Like, yes, it is basically the frontrunner, but I don't really see other franchises like Total War (which I love) getting talked about.

Noms: Corvo Attano x5
I've also played a lot of Rome Total War (the first one, to the point where I let an entire AI army on a merry-go-round chase using only 20 guys - a General and his retinue - until the timeout happened for the battle and I "won" the battle. One way to salvage a personal misstep.). And really, the problem Total War has IMHO is that it's never really been associated with a central figure, nor has it approached Nintendo much. It's partly because the Total War series jumps around a lot - Warhammer III is the first time a Total War game has released a third game using the same setting (not counting side games, and IIRC), and we're talking the 13th game in the Total War series. There have been historical figures who are central to side games (Attila, Napoleon)... but it's limited to one game usually.

Take for instance Rome Total War. The faction leaders who one starts a Grand Campaign with narrate the intro... and then aren't treated as super-central to the Campaign. They're important generals on the battlefield, yes, but if one wanted to one could essentially leave at least one of them behind to help run ones' cities and economy, plus a general that dies on the battlefield is always a major tactical blow to morale (and perhaps strategically if said general had maxed-out stats). You really don't want your units to rout as a result of your general dieing (or otherwise, like despair setting in) - a group of soldiers routing means losing control of them 90 % of the time (you have to rally them back into the fray if you want to keep them going) and they become easy pickings for enemies that run them down.

That's why I'm honestly discounting it for now.

Still, Total War could be adapted into say Fire Emblem; and that would be a major change for FE. Because the Total War games place heavy emphasis on real-time battles, strategetically choosing where to battle beforehand and tactical decision making I honestly feel that that's a valuable avenue to take a franchise like Fire Emblem into, and might open the door for future Total War games on Nintendo consoles. But until that happens, it's looking really, really far from likely.
 
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SharkLord

Smash Hero
Joined
Jun 20, 2020
Messages
7,335
Location
Pangaea, 250 MYA
There was a problem fetching the tweet
Ryu Hayabusa may have been deconfirmed.
I think this is being blown out of proportion. It could be "I'm waiting for an invitation," in that Nintendo hasn't contacted him regarding Smash, or "I'm waiting for an invitation," in that the reveal trailer hasn't dropped. The invitation only actually comes in the reveal trailer, even if they were set in stone a year before; Just ask Terry.
 

DrifloonEmpire

Smash Champion
Joined
Aug 2, 2019
Messages
2,219
SSt
I think this is being blown out of proportion. It could be "I'm waiting for an invitation," in that Nintendo hasn't contacted him regarding Smash, or "I'm waiting for an invitation," in that the reveal trailer hasn't dropped. The invitation only actually comes in the reveal trailer, even if they were set in stone a year before; Just ask Terry.
Still, a statement like that CAN'T be NDA-friendly...
 

Louie G.

Smash Hero
Joined
Aug 21, 2013
Messages
8,971
Location
Rhythm Heaven
4x STRATEGY REP

Yeah, I'm gonna ABSTAIN as well. I don't really know enough about this genre to tell you, although for what it's worth I think the chances are very slim. I'm not really sure which character they would even use for something like this, but I know nothing about these kind of games and can't say with confidence that there's NOBODY they could use or anything like that.

Crazy Dave - 2.48%
I dunno, I guess I could see some people rating this a little higher than it should be but I also expect a lot of zeroes.

MILES "TAILS" PROWER x10
 
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Inue Houji

Purplish Wig
Joined
Oct 8, 2020
Messages
265
4X rep
Chance: 0%
So I thought 4X was short for to Firaxis, used to describe Firaxis' games and those similar to it, but apparently it predates it. Even with the expanded genre definition though, there are very few games relevant enough to make it into Smash.
The main candidates, Civilization and Total War have characters that are literally historical/mythical people. Not even as fictionalized versions, they are supposed to represent the real person. Calling them video game characters would be a long stretch.
Civilization does have a Nintendo presence, but I sincerely doubt it makes a difference anyway.

Want: Abstain
Too broad to rate for me.
Civilization V is probably one of my favorite games. I've spent close to 500 hours on it.
Even so, I am very hesitant towards a character from it. I just don't think it really counts as a video game character. I also have no idea how they would play.
If Smash had unlimited slots, it'd be fun, but I don't think it has a place among the current roster.

Predictions
Crazy Dave: 2.1%

Nominations
Rallen x10
 
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