Perceived genericness is irrelevant, only popularity and importance matter. Roy has both.
Popular with non-fans, and not really important at all. Plus, this doesn't seem like a valid defence against your comments that people like Roy for his character. =/
An intended exclusion means the character was never planned to return. This only applies to Pichu, although Doc wasn't very seriously considered.
Roy (and Mewtwo) had victory themes planned along with the rest of the cast (including Ike and Lucario, minus Wolf). If an old character is involved in a new feature, even if said feature didn't come about, that character was obviously intended to be in the game.
Intended at a point, but not by the end. (Also Lucario didn't replace Mewtwo.
) By the end of the process, its clear that Roy wasn't intended, since if he was, he would have gotten in.
Side note, I know you think the roster is determined by slots and clones and whatnot, but it isn't. And there's no precedence that says cut characters can't return because we've never had cut characters before (blame Shigesato Itoi for ruining your chance to find out).
Its clear that Brawl's roter was determined by slots though...
Anyways, while its true that there could pottentially be cut characters coming back from the grave, it makes no sense to bring back the unimportant characters. The only one who has any pottential to return seems to be Mewtwo, and even he doesn't have much of a chance. (Outside of a pottential Smash DS game which needs a completely different approach in regards to its roster)
Except Smash Bros. MADE Fire Emblem outside of Japan. No other series has benefitted as much as Fire Emblem from being in Smash. Let me emphasize this:
The most important game to the Fire Emblem series is Super Smash Bros. Melee.
Look up anything on the history of either Fire Emblem or Smash Bros. I guarantee you a paragraph (at the top of the page if it's Fire Emblem) that basically says "Marth and Roy's popularity in Melee resulted in the localization of future Fire Emblem games." For good reason too. And here's the kicker: people outside of Japan liked Roy better! Sakurai even said Marth almost got cut in the international release. You may not like the reason why he's popular, you may think he's a pretty shallow character and a sucky unit. Too bad none of those things matter because the fans totally dig him.
It makes no sense to appeal to those who actually aren't fans though. Yes Melee was important to the Fire Emblem series, but you know what? That doesn't mean Roy is. Its just like those SMRPG fans who seem to equate the game to Geno, but don't pay attention to the fact that he wasn't the point of the game. In terms of Melee, Marth was the original character there, not the living breathing ad that was Roy. Heck, given Fire Emblem's overseas sucess being associated with Smash, and given that it clearly seems to be based more on marketing than other series, should tell you that Roy won't get back in since his game isn't international. Also you do know that Roy was also almost cut along with Marth at the time, right? Really now as I said before, if you want to go by non-fans popularity as a reason a character should get in, then you should be betting on Waluigi, Daisy, and Young Link for getting into SSB4. While you may claim that the other series act different, I don't quite think that its a very conclusive point, since you've really got little evidence that it actually will act different.
I like how being a blue-haired swordsman is an issue to you. Don't worry though, Sigurd won't get in.
Do you really think that's not a problem? Not even Star Fox is that bad, and Star Fox is pretty clone-tacular.
Next Level and Camelot haven't suggested a playable Doc or Isaac (and PO2 doesn't technically exist yet). Only a co-op mode for PO2 and the new GS3 hero being a descendant of Isaac and friends. Compare to what the top brass at IS have said:
"We don't want to make more remakes unless SD is a big hit."
"We want to make a game that opens up Fire Emblem to an expanded audience."
"We want to make a game with an all-star cast."
When developers say stuff like this, they usually follow through. If all signs point to X, is it wrong to expect?
As I said though, the future is unpredictable, and all of that could simply happen. Heck, I would think that a plot point about time travel would be kept underwraps anyways, and as we don't know what the pottential PO2 would be like, anything's up in the air. Anyways, isn't it odd that you dismiss PO2 there despite it having the exact same situation right now as the pottential FE12? (Aka they simply are speculating for when and if the time comes, though nothing is confirmed as of yet)
As for FE12, well, maybe. It could come out and people could like a new Lord, but they could also pan it. FE fans don't accept everything thrown at them like some Pokemon fans tend to.
According to you, all it takes it the character's looks and a bit of fire for them to accept a character.
Don't put all your money on Ephraim #2 just because he/she will be new. Newness by itself is meaningless. Only what people think of them counts.
Yeah, newness doesn't mean everything, but given the FE series current progression of having the newest lord, it seems like one of the safest bets for SSB4. In addition, I would assume that the next lord's game will actually be international, and people can actually use the character, and like him for what he is in his series, instead of a different game completely. (Plus, if Ephraim was around at the time of SSBB then he really could have made it in.)