After watching PapaGeno's latest video, I have to say that Paper Mario would be one of the most underwhelming characters they could possibly include. I would love to see Paper Mario in Smash, but as DLC? Hell no. Yes, Paper Mario would have a unique moveset, but its still another Mario and it would be a bit disappointing to pay for yet another Mario. That is why I don't entertain the idea of BOTW 2 Zelda getting included, because would people really want to pay for another Zelda? To top that off, I have little faith in Nintendo at making Paper Mario's moveset justice since it seems like they don't give two s****s about the older Paper Mario games, and I guarantee that Nintendo would want his moveset to be more focused on paper then it is on the RPG gimmicks and partners. I would want Paper Mario, but ONLY IF his moveset was primarily based on the older games. If his moveset ends up being based on the newer games, then this would be the first Smash character I would genuinely be angry with, especially with how much is in Geno's favor AND how much we all have been waiting for him. At this point, it would be a huge slap to the face for anyone who has wanted Geno for all this time.
I actually made a moveset for Paper Mario and... When researching Color Splash and Sticker Star stuff , I realized that making a character focused around "haha funny paper" and expendable items would be god awful to balance. It's not a problem to have paper funny abilities , like the spring jump , or one of the pixl from Super , tho.
But for real , the only thing everyone kept telling me to change in some way was my down-b : The cards. And I recieved so many different answers about it... And it was pretty hard to find a right way to balance it without making it overpowered or weak as hell.
Of course , I'm no game designer , but a character that would have to depend on every attack being based on ressources would be a nightmare to balance... And just not fun to play as. It's fun with Banjo because it's a single move , and it's basically the trump card that make the character.
Tbh , I would see Sakurai do something on the more generic side , focusing more on his hammer , simple stuff like ground pound and hammer spin , and maybe his origami arms... But I would find it a bit boring ; Paper Mario's moveset potential is insane.
Also , Botw Zelda is in an even worse spot... Because seriously , I think LoZ fans are getting tired of the Links , so if our only fully new LoZ fighter in 18 years is another Zelda , i'm gonna lose it lol. Especially after seeing Midna , Ghirahim , Ravio , ect... Get shafted.
I don't really want to down play Paper Mario , because I truly love the guy , but god did he become such a controversial character.
In the end , while ARMS is a kind of promotionnal pick , we don't know what is the direction for the next DLCs. I'm still on the mindset that they chosed one or two characters that will break the internet , and Geno fit that bill.