Brinzy
Godfather of the Crimean Mafia
So basically, you think that just because most of the top tier show a trend to be very viable by winning tournaments does not mean they're necessarily viable? If I'm having clarity issues, let me know, because it sounds like you're saying trends don't tell anything. Trends, in fact, do tell most of a story in a game like this. Notice how MK is doing well. Notice how Falco is doing well. Notice how Peach is not.Funny. I'm being told right now that a certain few are not viable. Logic suggests that if I want to win, I should quit said characters and pick up MK.
Studying trends is just a facet to cover up our ignorance. You could compile all of MKs matchups and compare them with the rest of the cast and easily conclude that he is the best character in the game... Falco is 3rd for the very same reason.
This is a trend in many tournament results. It isn't everything, of course, but trends are important. Studying the climate of a certain area of the world, politics in history, and past philosophical theories aren't facets to cover ignorance - they're good blocks to stand on when you want to have an idea of what could happen. You can figure out why whatever you're studying turned out the way it did and use that to compare it to the present in most cases.
As far as competitive fighting games go, characters can shift from viable to nonviable and vice versa over time, but there are some characteristics of characters that will never change. These may limit them for the rest of the game. Some characters are doomed to mid-tier or lower because they're so limited that there is probably little that can be found which will propel him/her/it upward. These limitations are part of the reason why certain characters perform poorly than others. It also parly accounts for why they are not played as much in the tournament scene.
Now, this isn't to say that trends are the end all, be all of who is and isn't viable, as I said earlier. Say, for example, Olimar climbs even higher in the tier list and he gets used three times as much in tournaments. One could say that Peach would begin to perform better because a match-up that's "easy" for her is now more present. This is where trends can fail. However, as far as MK and Falco go, chances are they're not going to drop much, if at all, from now on.