"Godzilla defeats king Kong and then kills all of humanity. Wait, why are you guys cheering? This is supposed to give you all despair!"
-Monokuma
"First time?"
-Sephiroth
Chances: 15%
I feel like the chances for a Danganronpa character are around 20%, with the majority of said chance being for Monokuma, and the remainings being for the protagonists. So yeah, I think that Monokuma is pretty likely. And yes, I did forget to put him in the honorable mentions for the previous day. Anyway, onto why think that Monokuma has a good chance. Danganronpa is a popular visual novel series, who unlike Fate manages to still have the games be a big thing about it, at least from my experience. Now, it would be either Monokuma of Phoenix Wright for a VN character in my opinion, and while Phoenix easily wins on being like by Nintendo fans and having history with Nintendo systems, as Danganronpa has never been on a Nintendo system to my knowledge despite how it would be great to have on Switch. But on the other hand, Monokuma is owned by Spike Chunsoft, who also did Pokemon Mystery Dungeon, and Monokuma pretty much has little to no competition when it comes to the characters they own since well, they mainly do Danganronpa and Mystery Dungeon. So yeah, that's pretty good when it comes to earning good cookie points for getting in Smash. However, Ace Attorney as a game is also way more popular, as according to wikipedia the best selling Danganronpa game has a bit over 250k sales, while the AA trilogy has been said by Capcom to have sold over 1 million recently. But with how Danganronpa is still popular, how Spike Chunsoft has a good relationship with Nintendo, I feel like it could perfectly happen. Also Famitsu rated it hightly so that's good for it, I think. Also I don't think that "she" would be playable with Monokuma in most case scenarios.
Want: 70%
I haven't played the VN, but I liked the anime when I watched it way back. Monokuma could have a very wacky but fun and very cruel moveset that would make him very cool to play if you go with what he has and does in Danganronpa. The class courtroom would also be a nice stage, which funnily enough also applies to Ace Attorney. And also, the music would be cool to have. On top of that, Monokuma getting in would mean that both a new vilain join Smash, but also that a new series gets in, which would be nice as vilains in Smash tend to be very fun to play, so that's a plus. Also the final Smash would be ultra lit if it's different for every character, which is very unrealistic, but damn would it be awesome that all characters have personalised executions.
Predictions
Character with no games on nintendo systems: 34.7%
Nominations
Madeline mii x10