YoshiandToad
Smash Hero
Shantae
Chance: 1%
Technically not impossible, but between a Spirit, that DLC seems to be aimed at critically acclaimed third parties at current and Shantae's middling popularity, I'm not sure why she'd be chosen over more critically acclaimed franchises, indie or otherwise. I also don't believe the window means anything. Heck, at best it could just reference she IS in Smash...as a Spirit.
I also struggle to envision Shantae getting in over fellow third party Spirit Rayman if they do decide to pluck up a Spirit seeing how popular he is comparitively. One of them is a 26 million unit seller after all and if you want to get reliable DLC purchases it makes sense to add the more popular character. Heck, maybe even Geno has a better chance since his Smash fanbase is even more vocal than Shantae's?
Needless to say Shantae has stiff competition on every front; Steve's a bigger indie character(to the extent he's arguably the face of an entire generation of gamers), Shovel Knight's a more successful indie and only managed to warrant an assist Trophy inclusion, Rayman's a bigger gaming icon and in the same position as her, Geno has a louder fanbase and Sans, as much of a meme as he is seen as, comes from a far more successful indie series that Japan really connected with.
Want: 30%
I have no strong opinion on Shantae herself, and I certainly like the crisp cartoony aesthetic of the characters in her series which appeals to me more than say...Shovel Knight, Minecraft or even Undertale do, but her fanbase's optimism is frankly baffling to me and something I'll never truly understand.
Unfortunately as much as Shantae's look and style appeals to me, the only Indie title I think that is big enough to warrant a playable character in Smash is Minecraft. Not entirely sure I'd be down for anyone else. Arguably Quote or Sans/Frisk because they are stupidly big indie titles but I'd still personally prefer more juggernaut series to get in like Resident Evil, Crash Bandicoot or Tomb Raider.
Professor Layton
Chance: 10%
Going for the professor: he's not got any other role in the game which is a huge plus in his favour annnnd... that's about it. Layton's a successful series but I have to wonder how effective he'd be as a DLC fighter rather than base.
Level-5 worked close with Nintendo but as we've seen with Rayman that doesn't always mean anything. Slight chance if they go for a Level 5 character Yo-kai Watch's Jibanyan could get chosen instead.
Want: 37%
I like Layton and I like his games. They're really nifty puzzle titles and some of the best I've ever played. I can't say I'm particularly excited by the idea of him in Smash as a playable fighter however, although he does get points for that slot machine gun which always makes me laugh.
Edit: I forgot Nominations and Predictions:
Predictions:
Byleth: 7.35%
Edelgard: 6.5%
Dimitri: 2.04%
Claude: 2.08%
There's no reason to expect Edelgard more than the other two houses, and yet I think she'll be the most overestimated of the trio.
Nominations:
Lara Croft X 5
Chance: 1%
Technically not impossible, but between a Spirit, that DLC seems to be aimed at critically acclaimed third parties at current and Shantae's middling popularity, I'm not sure why she'd be chosen over more critically acclaimed franchises, indie or otherwise. I also don't believe the window means anything. Heck, at best it could just reference she IS in Smash...as a Spirit.
I also struggle to envision Shantae getting in over fellow third party Spirit Rayman if they do decide to pluck up a Spirit seeing how popular he is comparitively. One of them is a 26 million unit seller after all and if you want to get reliable DLC purchases it makes sense to add the more popular character. Heck, maybe even Geno has a better chance since his Smash fanbase is even more vocal than Shantae's?
Needless to say Shantae has stiff competition on every front; Steve's a bigger indie character(to the extent he's arguably the face of an entire generation of gamers), Shovel Knight's a more successful indie and only managed to warrant an assist Trophy inclusion, Rayman's a bigger gaming icon and in the same position as her, Geno has a louder fanbase and Sans, as much of a meme as he is seen as, comes from a far more successful indie series that Japan really connected with.
Want: 30%
I have no strong opinion on Shantae herself, and I certainly like the crisp cartoony aesthetic of the characters in her series which appeals to me more than say...Shovel Knight, Minecraft or even Undertale do, but her fanbase's optimism is frankly baffling to me and something I'll never truly understand.
Unfortunately as much as Shantae's look and style appeals to me, the only Indie title I think that is big enough to warrant a playable character in Smash is Minecraft. Not entirely sure I'd be down for anyone else. Arguably Quote or Sans/Frisk because they are stupidly big indie titles but I'd still personally prefer more juggernaut series to get in like Resident Evil, Crash Bandicoot or Tomb Raider.
Professor Layton
Chance: 10%
Going for the professor: he's not got any other role in the game which is a huge plus in his favour annnnd... that's about it. Layton's a successful series but I have to wonder how effective he'd be as a DLC fighter rather than base.
Level-5 worked close with Nintendo but as we've seen with Rayman that doesn't always mean anything. Slight chance if they go for a Level 5 character Yo-kai Watch's Jibanyan could get chosen instead.
Want: 37%
I like Layton and I like his games. They're really nifty puzzle titles and some of the best I've ever played. I can't say I'm particularly excited by the idea of him in Smash as a playable fighter however, although he does get points for that slot machine gun which always makes me laugh.
Edit: I forgot Nominations and Predictions:
Predictions:
Byleth: 7.35%
Edelgard: 6.5%
Dimitri: 2.04%
Claude: 2.08%
There's no reason to expect Edelgard more than the other two houses, and yet I think she'll be the most overestimated of the trio.
Nominations:
Lara Croft X 5
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