Oh my god I was just writing out a big response/critique for you Meta then I accidentally closed out the tab *sigh*. Oh well lets try this again, and next time I should save my work halfway through. Still just depressing/annoying.
Please note ahead of time that I'm a scrubby pos Falco and you have absolutely no reason to listen to me.
GAME 1
-Laser more. You don't laser enough in general, you seem to only use it to try and start your offense, which is fine, but it's not all lasers are intended for/used best for. Lasers are Falcos primary tool/option of shutting down Falcon's game. Lasers make Falcon come to YOU, which is how you want this matchup to be. Because Falcon will be forced to come at you, and he will be forced to suck when he comes to you (because he's Falcon and he sucks etc). Use lasers to control Falcon on stage, and when he tries to jump over them or do an aerial, chances are he's going to space it in a way that is actually not good for any situation EXCEPT beating lasers. He can often times then be beat out by stuffing his approaches with your own nairs, well timed bairs, and I'd say to do this one a lot less, but utilt as well.
-Grab him more. Your way of opening him up is too one dimensional. You're relying a lot on stray hits to shine, which can work, but you need more. The times you jabbed on his shield you could have grabbed him instead, when they start adapting to you grabbing, they'll often times go to things like stomp OOS on the grab attempt to make you whiff it and stomp hits. Thats when you start running in and nairing to stuff his stomp, and so on. Shine grabs also work. Since you need to add grabs into your game, use the times that you blankly sit there in shine (see below) as a place to grab after.
-Edge guard a lot better/use better edge pressure. You didn't really use many bairs except for your attempt on stock one, which could have actually been done you just needed to grab the edge faster. In general I think it goes something like stand on stage if hes REALLY far out, and grab the edge and re-grab a couple times for invincibility if hes close to force him to airdodge on if at all possible. Any time you can force Falcon to air dodge on is good because his air dodge is a POS. Also use better edge pressure. PP is the best example you can find of good, patient edge pressure vs Falcon. DDing around and shooting lasers while also going for safe angled ftilts when Falcon has the edge is really good.
Here's a good quick example of how to edge guard Falcon well:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F1P9s2sWI6U#t=1m11s
Watch it until about 1:35 or so.
-Don't commit to the raw dsmashes and raw smashes on Falcon's shield in general really. Every raw dsmash you did on his shield here he punished. EJ grabbed on one, and kneed on another. Keep this in mind because 2-3 raw knees and Falco is in killing percent by Falcon. That's pretty scary. The raw fsmash on his shield also got you grabbed etc.
-Mix up your recovery more. Too many times you went low -> firebird. Firebird as a whole isn't awful, but if you keep doing it they'll catch on. Go low and they can just edge hog, go high when you're out there and they can just go out and hit you or go for knee as you go high and land on stage. Remember that illusion is very good, some players have just skewed its name (I'm looking at you DaShizWiz), but that if you do it to the edge the most Falcon can do is predict it and edge hog or go for a well timed up tilt. Both things are fairly difficult to pull off, a lot more so than hitting firebird at least. Falco's recovery is a little one dimensional and Falco's worst matchup is Falco off stage (shouts to Taj for that joke).
-Do something from the shines when you just sit there. I understand if you don't have the dexterity to maybe do an aerial again or try a laser or something, but the times you go in and do aerial -> shine and you just sit there (maybe you're expecting the shine to hit? idk) you need to do something. Anything. Jump. Roll. Even if those things get you hit, it's better than sitting there and giving him a free grab.
GAME 2
-Don't use up airs in combos so much, they can smash DI or just regular DI (I don't recall which it is lol) the 2nd hit and make it not all connect, so unless you're trying to do some Zhu type stuff, stick to whats guaranteed. Pillar combos work for quite awhile and can then lead to nair things. See:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mj8ro3oLLtk#t=1m2s
And before anyone asks, yes I do love linking that LOL.
-You're trying to use bair to edge guard a little more, which is good. Just work at it. As much as everyone says it's really easy to edge guard Falcon's recovery, it can be tricky if you're not used to it. Give it some time and keep trying and you'll get better at it.
-Don't EVER do waveshine pressure. It is extremely unsafe and I don't know why he didn't punish it. He could shield grab, stomp OOS, or even just buffer roll and get away if he was that worried. But the point is that you shouldn't do waveshine pressure right in front of their shield like that. Almost every character in the game can punish it. This also goes along with what I said about sitting in shine, in the time of doing all these shines here, why not just shine grab instead? Falcon doesn't really have a good answer to it.
-Don't focus too much on hard reads like you did when you came down on your 3rd stock. Yeah you got the read on the roll and hit with fsmash, but it wasn't the optimal decision. As much as things like that look cool or you want to show your opponent that you're in their head, it just doesn't really work. Mango charging the up smash vs Hungrybox was cool and all but it wasn't optimal.
-Have more patience on reading Falcon on tech/wake up. Usually when you hit him somewhere you can just stand in place and laser and have those hit on neutral/away tech, and if he techs in you can land and shine in time to catch him. Everything is about exerting control over Falcon because he is a purely momentum based character. His neutral game is just flat out not as good as other top characters and he is very limited. Show him why. You might be able to go for dsmash like you did but if you're going to do that have more patience as said and don't just throw it out hoping it will hit.
Okay I'll put more tomorrow if you want LOL but this is what I have for now. I have a bit more of Game 2 still I think and Game 3 as well. Just tell me if you want it or not though.
