God, I'm sick of this crap and repeating myself when people just flat-out ignore the factual statements made.
Fact #1: ARMS only sold as much as it did because there were very few titles in the first 3 months of the life cycle of the Switch. 1-2-Switch is proof of this, BotW is an exception because people kept buying it once more games came out because it was good.
Fact #2: Nintendo pushed ARMS as much as it could, it was everywhere and constantly being mentioned by them. New content, tournaments (both online and offline), Meet The Devs, I've never seen them push a game quite like they did with ARMS since Dragon Quest. This is an effective marketing strategy even if it is very annoying to those who will never buy the game, yet it still only sold 2 million units.
Fact #3: Much like the novelty of 1-2-Switch, despite what reviewers have said, the general consensus of the game was that people didn't enjoy it for that long if at all. Lots of complaints about lack of content at launch, bland and somewhat clunky general gameplay, but with an appealing style. Had the game been a runaway success, it would sold MUCH better, perhaps 6 million or more. For yet ANOTHER comparison, ARMS has only bumped up to 2.2 million according to more recent information and it's existed for almost three years now and hit the 2.1 million mark by the end of 2018...the original Splatoon came out in 2015 and had very similar sales numbers around launch yet managed to hit 1.62 million in the same year it released and already passed 3 million by the end of 2016 and now sits a pretty 4.71 million units...and that was on the Wii U, a flopped console that was mostly just a Smash 4 machine for most households, but I guess it was a Splatoon machine too.
Fact #4: Once the content support for this game ended, Nintendo stopped shoving it in people's faces. This most recent advertisement we got yesterday is the first advertisement since...well it's hard to remember honestly, but the last time up until yesterday that I can find was that they released a demo in May of 2018 and that was after they stopped updating the game with new content at the end of 2017. Regardless, without the constant push and no more content as well as not having a big following in the first place, the game basically disappeared. I completely forgot it existed multiple times and was just recently reminded of it with this announcement and I'm positive it was the same for most Smash fans whether they will deny it or not. I remember lots of people reacting to Spring Man's AT reveal with 'Wow, I thought for sure he would get in as playable. Maybe Ribbon Girl?' and then with Ribbon Girl's costume it was followed by 'Huh, wow, guess it wasn't a big success after all.' and that was in March of 2018 when the game was just starting to truly fall off and hadn't been lost to time yet.
Fact #5: The negative response to the ARMS character reveal is completely justifiable: we've all essentially known whether with real insider information or confident logical analysis or anime-level gut feelings that a promotion would be happening and we all essentially knew the first reveal was a first party rep. With that in mind, Waluigi is the first to come up, but then you also have SO MANY OTHER FIRST PARTY ATs that people would love to see playable...and yet every single one of them were passed over for an ARMS character. Now instead of clicky-clacking your keyboards away, sit for a moment and really let that sink in: the majority of the fanbase was looking forward to just about any other first party promotion, and Nintendo chose an ARMS rep. Imagine how that makes people feel. Right now, a buddy of mine who wants Waluigi is pretty down about it and he has every right because this was almost scripted for the purple mustachio'd mayhem maker but then a spring-loaded arm flew past the ropes and punched him in the face while the other one stole his title belt-ahem, I mean promotion. Seriously, give people some time to get over it. So many of you were ******** about Byleth for nearly a solid ****ing month, so I think you can give the majority of the fanbase a couple of days.
Fact #6: I can't believe we are here again, but NO IP DESERVES A SPOT IN SMASH! There is no such thing as deserving the spot, no single IP is entitled to have a character in the game. Also, as we have discussed before, it's not about who sold the most either. Finally, Sakurai himself mentioned that the character being recognizable isn't really a factor as much as it is that they are fun and unique. He also wants to bring in new worlds to Smash Ultimate, but with both Byleth and now an ARMS rep, this seems to imply that both new entries in an existing series that are already represented in Smash or that aren't playable characters in Smash don't apply...or you know, Nintendo is just an oppressive shilling overlord. This means that DLC characters don't have to be popular by general gaming public standards, need to offer fun and unique gameplay, and are a balance between fan picks, corporate demand and Sakurai's own desires while also bringing a new gaming world that in some form hasn't been featured as playable in Smash. We can use this information to try and determine who will get in, but for the love of whatever deity you do or don't believe in, NO IP DESERVES A SPOT! ARMS is not entitled to a spot any more than Banjo & Kazooie were.
Now, I will clarify my final opinion on the matter of an ARMS rep.
I'm completely fine with it. Sure, I was disappointed at the choice initially, but much like how I got over Byleth in a day I've gotten over this already as well. I've moved from disappointment to intrigue on who will be chosen and what their gameplay will be like. Will it be one character, or many? Will they have a regular playstyle, or will they be build-a-bear like the Miis? Will this finally be the end of the range-increasing power creep that started with Shulk in Smash 4? What moves will be where? Will their recovery be like Plant Down-B but can grab the ledge? A new character with very unique gameplay will always triumph over despair of not getting another character in my book. Remember, I'm a fan of the weird characters: just look at my mains and you'll get the idea. However, I still feel like this was not the best way to start the pass off with Byleth being the last thing we all remember about Ultimate. It brings me down a bit that other characters got passed over, but knowing that this is the Nintendo shill pick means there is a lot of hope for the future.
Honestly, if you think about it, this is probably the coolest shill pick choice they could have made next to Sushi Striker getting a playable character.