Note: 4 people from each of these pools makes it into top 32, two in winners and two in losers. The bracket itself looks like this:
With that out of the way, onto the pools:
L201: Fatality
vs Cosmos
and ZeRo
vs Umeki
is the projected winners finals. I find it strange that Umeki is seeded so highly, honestly. I can't tell you the last notable thing he's done internationally, and I think it's pretty reasonable to assume that he'll lose to MattyG
in semis, leading to ZeRo vs MattyG for half of this finals. I can't see ZeRo getting upset by either of them or Dragon
, but I think Cosmos vs Fatality could go either way, even if Fatality's seeded to come out on top.. Pretty standard. The only other wildcard here is Slenderman
, who could upset Tyrant
if Tyrant loses to Fatality.
L203: ESAM
vs Shoyo James
and Salem
vs NAKAT
is the projected finals here. both of these could honestly go either way. While I doubt James's Diddy could beat ESAM, his Luigi could give him trouble if it's practiced enough, and Salem hasn't fought a top Ness before(?) so there's no telling how that will go. Probably my favourite part of this pool is that there's a tiny chance for a Greninja vs Greninja finals, with both aMSa
and Elexiao
in here. I don't think it's likely for NAKAT and especially Salem to lose to one, but you never know. Mekos
is also in here, but I doubt he'll beat James and he has to fight either NAKAT or Salem to make it out in losers. Definitely a pool of interesting characters, with some of the best frogs, Pikachus, and Lucases all inside here.
L205: Dabuz
vs Raito
and MKLeo
vs Dyr
. I would've definitely said Dabuz over Raito before this weekend but Dabuz seems kinda out of it recently. Also he just lost to Raito, but there's no doubt he studied after that. I wish they didn't fight so often though. Leo vs Dyr will probably be pretty one-sided in Leo's favour... if Dyr even makes it there. He's seeded to face Koolaid
in semis, and with Pac being a matchup he seems to struggle with (based off of the MU chart I've seen of his plus his loss to Sinji), I'd say it's fairly likely that we might see Koolaid vs Leo instead. There's almost no chance Mystearica
beats Dabuz, but for another possible semis upset I could see Blacktwins
giving Raito a run for his money. If everything does go according to seeding (Or Raito/Koolaid make it out in winners), we might see
vs
, a matchup I'd really love to watch.
L207: DarkShad
vs Tweek
and Abadango
vs MVD
. DarkShad's going to be coming into TBH7 with a lot of momentum, and if he picks it up from where he left off, I'd say he's pretty likely to beat Tweek. Generally, Aba seems to be able to handle MVD with Bayo, which I think we'll see continue here. I don't think any of the other four people in winners (Light
/ BestNess
/ Yura
/ K9Sbruce
) could upset the four projected ones here, with the best bet probably being MVD vs K9.
M201: VoiD
vs Mr. E
and Mistake
vs Zinoto
. Mistake vs Zinoto at face value looks to be fairly even, and while I'd favour mistake slightly there's no real telling who comes up on top. VoiD vs Mr. E seems more straightforward, and VoiD will probably fight the winner of the other two in top 32. The biggest chance for a true upset here is probably in Mistake vs Nom
in semis, with Nom having a win over Captain Zack and generalyl being pretty solid. This is also the pool full of lower tier heroes, with a good
(Daybreak),
(Raffi-X), and even
(Komota in losers) in here. Daybreak unfortunately fights VoiD, but Raffi vs Mr. E looks to be more even.
M203: Javi
vs Larry Lurr
and tyroy
vs Komorikiri
. I'm of the opinion that Javi is a very underrated player, and I'd give him avery good shot to take out Larry, especially sinc he fights Xzax
right before, which could warm him up for Fox. Komo'll probably beat Tyroy easily, but Tyroy could suprise me. I also think Pugwest
could upset Tyroy in semis, but that'd be a pretty entertaining set to watch. Not much else of note here.
M205: Captain Zack
vs ANTi
and Nairo
vs Locus
. I'm really curious about Nairo vs Locus. No doubt Nairo will have studied that matchup after losing to DarkShad at GTX, and he's already lost to Locus at civil war. I'd bet on Nairo here but it's a very real possibility for Locus to come out on top. ANTi vs Zack also looks to be really fun, and if all four of these people make it here this is going to be glorious. I think the biggest chance of an upset lies in Zack vs Sinji
in semis. After SSC(?) Sinji seemed really confident in the Pac-Bayo matchup and I really doubt Zack has all that much Pac-Man experience. if everything goes according to seeding, we'd be seeing Locus vs Sinji and Zack vs Ryuga
losers finals, both of which could have really high upset potential. Keep an eye on this one.
M207: Ned
vs Mr. R
and Marss
vs Ally
here. Mr. R will probably mop the floor with Ned, but Ally vs Marss looks much more even and I can't really declare a winner just from looking at it. Unfortunately, nobody else on winners side looks like they'll manage an upset (but who knows?), with the closest probably being 8BitMan
vs Ned.