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Tree Stump Mafia - OVER! Who lived happily ever after in the forest?

mentosman8

BRoomer
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Jul 27, 2006
Messages
153
Location
Naperville, IL
About Mentos:

He agrees with stumping replacing lynching. However, he considers the possibility of lynching, at all. That's no good. Stump only is obviously better than anything else. There is nothing to consider. He should know better, in the same way that Brockin should have known the benefits of posting logs. However, unlike Brockin, he saw the benefit of logs, which makes me believe he must be able to see the benefit of stumping only. I am as sure of this as I was of Brockin, but you should be able to see the difference.

He focuses on numbers and rules rather than motives.

Spoke as though he was absolutely sure I was town, yet he still wanted me, his strongest town read, to stump. Not just desired, but based his whole early play around ensuring that it would occur.

His reasoning for questioning Brockin was bad, and cannot be corroborated at any rate. I think he just did it so he wouldn't be accused of parroting.
To the first point, we cannot win the game without lynching. If we focused on finding a lynch, the worst that would happen? We aim for a townie and they stump, and we're in the same place as we would be if we had focused on a stump to begin with, without needing the time to build up votes if they refuse to stump due to being scum. Either focus ends up with either townie stump or mafia lynch. Really neither is highly advantageous, both having their ups and downs, but given the fact that it is not a mylo/lylo situation yet, neither presents any major advantage or disadvantage, and neither has any more risk. Also, I have since said since my consideration of lynch focusing the very thing that neither is highly advantageous with the deadline drawing near enough that we'll have to decide what to do about a lynch before long.

The second line I'm not sure I entirely understand.

The third section, I believe I explained. Yes, you were my strongest town read. However, you had also made a deal with Heatstroke and not followed through. Every post you made not doing so slowly chipped away at the townie feel I had of you, and had you not stumped, whether it was the next day or later, I would have begun to consider having read you wrong and that you may be scum. Not to mention, at the time, if I was right you were town, I was one of very few who backed you at all. The majority of the town thought you scum immediately, and the focus would have been too much on you and not enough on people I thought would have a chance to flip scum.

The final section, no my questioning of Brockin was not superfluos. If he had still said that he wouldn't post the logs despite what had happened since the origin of the issue, it would have actually leaned me more to the town side, and I wouldn't have wanted to stump him as early. At that point,as scum, they would have had absolutely no threat saying "oh yeah, I understand now, I would have posted them," but much higher threat to say "Even if the town all wanted it, and having the benefits clearly spelled out, I wouldn't post them." Rockin, and I believe Swords, are both intelligent enough to realize this as scum, and would go with the lesser risk. Standing by an action that was considered scummy by half the town looks completely different than changing your opinion once it no longer makes a difference.
 

Cello_Marl

Smash Rookie
Joined
Nov 4, 2009
Messages
0
Mentos said:
To the first point, we cannot win the game without lynching. If we focused on finding a lynch, the worst that would happen? We aim for a townie and they stump, and we're in the same place as we would be if we had focused on a stump to begin with, without needing the time to build up votes if they refuse to stump due to being scum. Either focus ends up with either townie stump or mafia lynch. Really neither is highly advantageous, both having their ups and downs, but given the fact that it is not a mylo/lylo situation yet, neither presents any major advantage or disadvantage, and neither has any more risk. Also, I have since said since my consideration of lynch focusing the very thing that neither is highly advantageous with the deadline drawing near enough that we'll have to decide what to do about a lynch before long.
Actually, if we focus on finding a lynch, people will be using their votes instead of virtually voting. Which means that the three stumps won't be actually weighing in with their votes. Which gives mafia 33% of the vote strength instead of 25%. Also, a townie lynch means 3 dead townies and 1 dead mafia.

He focuses on numbers and rules rather than motives.
I meant exactly what I said. One of my favorite ways to appear active (especially as scum) is to comment on rules and numbers. I beat that horse to death in Left 4 Scum. Your analysis of motives, when it exists at all, is piss-poor. See below.

Mentos said:
The third section, I believe I explained. Yes, you were my strongest town read. However, you had also made a deal with Heatstroke and not followed through. Every post you made not doing so slowly chipped away at the townie feel I had of you, and had you not stumped, whether it was the next day or later, I would have begun to consider having read you wrong and that you may be scum. Not to mention, at the time, if I was right you were town, I was one of very few who backed you at all.
You're missing the point. Making sure that I stumped was all that mattered to you in your dealings with me. Why are you trying to claim credit for backing me at that time?

Mentos said:
The majority of the town thought you scum immediately, and the focus would have been too much on you and not enough on people I thought would have a chance to flip scum.
So, you didn't think I'd have a chance to flip as scum? Just die.

Mentos said:
The final section, no my questioning of Brockin was not superfluos. If he had still said that he wouldn't post the logs despite what had happened since the origin of the issue, it would have actually leaned me more to the town side, and I wouldn't have wanted to stump him as early. At that point,as scum, they would have had absolutely no threat saying "oh yeah, I understand now, I would have posted them," but much higher threat to say "Even if the town all wanted it, and having the benefits clearly spelled out, I wouldn't post them." Rockin, and I believe Swords, are both intelligent enough to realize this as scum, and would go with the lesser risk. Standing by an action that was considered scummy by half the town looks completely different than changing your opinion once it no longer makes a difference.
You say you think they were intelligent enough to realize they should have around and admit they should have posted their logs, as scum? How is this different from if they were town? In either case, they'd want to get out of the fire.

You said yourself that "...after the logs had been banned is the first time he says he would be willing to do it". You knew exactly what answer they would give. They already said they would have done it if the reasoning had been explained to them. I gave them too much credit by saying I thought they'd have realized why they should have just posted the logs (or said they would) from the beginning (no insult intended to Brockin; you were just playing it safe). I just thought you were confirming that, like you were with my stumping. Your excuse of support against their "convictions" is ridiculous, but I didn't say anything at the time (other than Brockin's flip will help determine your alignment) since I was so sure Brockin was scum.



I've changed my mind. Let's give Mentos the lynch that he wanted. Lynch Mentos.
 

mentosman8

BRoomer
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Not nearly as much as other people. Not to mention, from what I've seen from you in games, you wouldn't back yourself into a corner like that as scum. However, as I said, it became an issue of the longer you didn't stump, the more I would question that fact, and most of the town was entirely focused on you, which would hinder looking at other people. At the time did I think there was a chance you would flip scum? No. If we had hit D2 and you hadn't stumped yet? I would have been leaning scum instead of blinking townie.

As for your response to my explanation of my Brockin question, I didn't know which answer they would give. They even could have said "No, I wouldn't have posted them anyway because now that I know why people wanted them, it's too gamebreaking for me to be willing to" and I would have been against there stumping. The big thing for me was whether the chance would change to the safe route once it didn't matter, or if they would stick by their original opinion. Scum are a lot more likely to flip opinions once it's safe than town.
 

SummonerAU

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Mentos, if you had a choice of stumping now and then being in complete control of what we do for the rest of the game(i.e you become King) would you stump?
 

Cello_Marl

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Nov 4, 2009
Messages
0
@tHe-Man: If communication between your heads is the problem you've been having, then cut one off. Replace in as a single person so you can start playing again.

@Nick: On the 27th, who were you trying to find a replacement for?

Mentos said:
Not nearly as much as other people. Not to mention, from what I've seen from you in games, you wouldn't back yourself into a corner like that as scum. However, as I said, it became an issue of the longer you didn't stump, the more I would question that fact, and most of the town was entirely focused on you, which would hinder looking at other people. At the time did I think there was a chance you would flip scum? No. If we had hit D2 and you hadn't stumped yet? I would have been leaning scum instead of blinking townie.
Just leaning scum? Then why were your first six posts virtually dedicated to having me stump? You said it was because town was too focused on me. But, isn't that what beginning to happen here? You make no comment on my new views on other players, being, instead, content to let my focus lay on you. Also, in the quote above, you are thinking about my actions in terms of what I would have done.

Mentos said:
As for your response to my explanation of my Brockin question, I didn't know which answer they would give. They even could have said "No, I wouldn't have posted them anyway because now that I know why people wanted them, it's too gamebreaking for me to be willing to" and I would have been against there stumping. The big thing for me was whether the chance would change to the safe route once it didn't matter, or if they would stick by their original opinion. Scum are a lot more likely to flip opinions once it's safe than town.
But, here, you keep saying things like "Scum are..." and "...than town". However, isn't the issue what Brockin would have done in this situation? What was the difference? Don't you know how Rockin thinks more than you know me, having played with him more often?

Besides, you talk about scum taking the safe route. Isn't that exactly what you did by backing off from saying I was townie when Heatstroke was pressuring you for those comments? Where were your convictions then? Why say "I have NEVER said Cello is clear...there's some scumminess around him"?

On the note of safe routes, why did it take you 54 hours to declare your support against Brockin after he posted his answer? If it was so game-turning for you, why didn't you drop that line in? You said you had a party, but that's just one day, not two, and you could have easily said "I support Brockin stumping". Also of note, I stumped myself after you dropped by to let us know about your party. If that isn't a "safe route" for scum, I don't know what is.
 

Cello_Marl

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Summoner, would you stump yourself to confirm someone else as town? Ignore how it would come about, consider it hypothetical.
 

SummonerAU

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If I could pick who it was definitely yes. If I couldn't, probably depending on the person. I get the impression people sometimes get lazy when they're cleared.
 

Nicholas1024

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Joined
Mar 14, 2009
Messages
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Cello, let me be honest with you.

You may be fairly good normally, (as shown in popcorn, werewolves), but this game I think you've played extremely badly. You've been pushing lynches over small meaningless stuff (the logs thing, roxy checking the thread before the game started), and basically used the idea of stumping yourself to get a townie to stump. Not that pressure is a bad thing, but you need to learn Xivii's concept of a surface-level scumtell.

About Jester/Nick:

In Jester's one post, he claims that he wants to prevent lumberjacks from getting nightkills, but also claims to want to wait until Day 2 to start stumping. When asked about this, he gives no response, and instead replaces out. I think newer players as scum are much more likely to quit in this fashion (compared to town), since they don't want to drag down their teammates.
I can't answer for why he wanted to wait until Day 2 to start stumping. Perhaps its because he wanted to keep overly aggressive people from stumping left and right and putting us near mylo before we have a lot of information. (glances meaningfully at Cello)

Also, the newbie scum replacing out thing is crap. Guus replaced out early D1 in UCM, he was town. (In fact, EE tried playing that exact same card against Virg (who replaced Guus) late-game.)


In his large post, using Chibi cat's system, many times his awarding of points seems arbitrary and contradicting. For example, I was given a -1 for being pushy, but nothing added or subtracted for essentially saying "I think [name] is town, but I want to lynch him" or for when I said I lied and he said he didn't like it at all. He also gives tHe-Man +2 points in a "quality post" in which tHe-Man said he agreed that Pierre was scummy but doesn't say why (he, in fact, never has). Further, almost all of the points added and subtracted are for me and tHe-Man.
You've been way too pushy this game. I mean, you've been heavily involved in all three of the townie-stumpings, including your own. We're only 25-some pages into the game, and if Pierre turns out to be town and gets modkilled, we'll be in LYLO. (And then you'll try to get me to stump for the game-loser.)

So I wasn't entirely consistent with my numberings. The output I gave was still correct, I thought the_man was town, that you were scum, and a lot of other people were close to neutral.

Also, is it any surprise that most of the points added and subtracted would be for the two players that had been extremely active and had a large impact?

It's as though he knew who he would be focusing on and only bothered to award points to us, especially since I got deductions for "being pushy", making a point that Nick misunderstood, requesting an extension (is that really a scummy action to you Nick?)
Yes, wasting our one deadline extension in D1 when we have the least information IS scummy. Wait until we need it. For example, in UCM on the second-to-last day, we could have used that deadline extension.

and I was the only person to receive a deduction for a point someone else made. I ended at -3, whereas Roxy, Brockin, Omis, and SSBF were at -1. But, he couldn't exactly support my stumping if someone else had a worse score than me, could he?
Sure I could, you'd just be a secondary target.

Consider that his current scum reads include Pierre for pushing against Heatstroke then backing off. Where was the criticism of that early on? Also,
Um, I'm pretty sure I mentioned in my first quality post that Roxy's reading the thread thing was indeed something pointless to lie about. After reading further, seeing how it ballooned and forced a townie to stump, I thought it scummier.
Is that why you were pushing for him? (Rhetorical)
You're talking here as though you know Pierre is town.
I was thinking worst-case-scenario there for a second. You know, game-losing (or nearly so modkill), which this could end up being.

@Summoner
Which people would you stump to clear?

@Cello again
As far as me trying to find a replacement for someone... I was considering replacing out. I only replaced into this game because Marshy asked me too, my heart wasn't really in it at first. Still though, now that I've (nearly, still need to read pages 21-26) caught up, I think I'm in it for the long haul.

@Everyone
Give me your top 3 scum reads, reasons behind them, and how they'll be influenced should pierre flip town or scum.

For me, it'd be

SSBF,Pierre,Omis

(reasons detailed in my last large post)

I don't remember a lot of SSBF's interaction with Pierre, I'll have to reread for him.

If Pierre flips town, Summoner would shoot down into my scum reads, as summoner basically attached to Cello early game, when Cello was suspecting Pierre, Brockin and Roxy (all of whom would be town in this hypothetical situation.) Omis would also stay down in my scum reads, due to every single one of his targets in his lynch list flipping town.

If Pierre flips scum, Summoner would edge towards the townie side of my radar, and Omis would still be down in my scum zone, as Pierre was only #4 on his lynch list. (As a scum, I'd be happy trading 1 buddy for 4 townies, which would be what Omis would have managed).
 

SummonerAU

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Nicholas, if you mean who would I wish to clear after I stump myself, I'd pick between mentos and paprika. I'd have to go into depth when deciding though and I don't really want to do that unless I really have to.

Also, what do you see me as now? You say I'd shoot down into scum if Pierre is town, but your last paragraph suggests I'm just neutral.

Why do I get the feeling you know Pierre is town and I'm being set up for a lynch later on in the game?
 
D

Deleted member

Guest
no summoner, as you aren't dead yet, you are not allowed contact outside topic.
 

Xiivi

So much for friendship huh...
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You may only communicate outside of this thread if your role PM explicitly states that you can. Stumped players are not given new role PMs.

Pierre the Scarecrow has been sent another prod. If he does not post within 24 hours he will be modkilled for inactivity. (1 week without a post.) Modkills end the day if the player is town-aligned, but the day continues if the player is anti-town aligned.
 

SummonerAU

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hmm I seem to remember a rule about a quicktopic being set up but I guess it was removed.
 

Xiivi

So much for friendship huh...
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GreenRoom QuickTopics are only given to deceased players when they are part of the game's ruleset. Stumps are still living players able to be targeted for night kills.
 

Nicholas1024

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Nicholas, if you mean who would I wish to clear after I stump myself, I'd pick between mentos and paprika. I'd have to go into depth when deciding though and I don't really want to do that unless I really have to.

Also, what do you see me as now? You say I'd shoot down into scum if Pierre is town, but your last paragraph suggests I'm just neutral.

Why do I get the feeling you know Pierre is town and I'm being set up for a lynch later on in the game?
You're neutral now. Early game, you attached yourself to cello, while cello was suspecting three people: Pierre, Brockin (town), and Roxy (town). If Pierre flips town, you'll shoot down towards the scum side of my radar, if he flips scum you'll shoot up towards the town side of my radar.
 

Xiivi

So much for friendship huh...
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Day 1 Vote Count X-5

mentosman8: SummonerAU (
)
Omis: (0)
Nicholas1024: (0)
Pierre The Scarecrow:Nicholas1024 (
)
SummonerAU: (0)
Super Smash Bros. Fan: (0)
Sworddancer.: (0)
tHe-Man: (0)
The Paprika Killer: (0)
Not Voting:
mentosman8, Omis, Pierre The Scarecrow, Super Smash Bros. Fan, Sworddancer., tHe-Man, The Paprika Killer (
)

Living Treestumps:
HeatStroke (Town)
Cello_Marl (Town)

Brockin (Town)

5/9 to lynch.
Deadline is May 8, 11:59PM EST.
 

Rockin

Juggies <3
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You may be fairly good normally, (as shown in popcorn, werewolves), but this game I think you've played extremely badly. You've been pushing lynches over small meaningless stuff (the logs thing, roxy checking the thread before the game started), and basically used the idea of stumping yourself to get a townie to stump. Not that pressure is a bad thing, but you need to learn Xivii's concept of a surface-level scumtell.
Wasn't you in support of our lynch because of the log issue? o.o
 

Brockin

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FFFFFFFFF tired myself is I. ignore that plz

but the question still remains. >>;;
 

Xiivi

So much for friendship huh...
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'Rockin' & 'SwordsRBroken' share the account 'Brockin'.
'Ryker' & 'Xonar' share the account 'tHe-Man'.

This is called a hydra account.
 

Cello_Marl

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Seeing Rockin's new avy blows my mind. I guess I just get too used to certain things.

@Nick: I already re-changed my mind about you this morning. I didn't expect the answer that you gave (you; I thought it was for Summoner), but I believe you are town.

Next, as a point of pride, the logs. I won't get into it with you, or anyone, for the sake of time, but it was not a "small issue".

Mentos and SSBF are scum, to me.

@Mod: If a lynch occurs, how much time after Daybreak does Pierre have before modkill?

I don't want Pierre to go to modkill. I'd really really rather lynch Mentos than that. Failing that, SSBF. Either way, I think a lynch is better now.
 

Xiivi

So much for friendship huh...
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If the game moves into Night, Pierre will be modkilled if he does not send me a PM notifying me of his presence within 24 hours of the Night beginning. If he does so, he will be modkilled after the first period of 48 hour absence for the remainder of the game.
 

Cello_Marl

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Guys, quicklynch Mentos. At least if Pierre dies during the night, then he won't cause it to go into Night. And if he's been absent this long I doubt he's coming back.
 
D

Deleted member

Guest
I first want to know where the hell Xonar and Ryker are. I mean 2 parts of a hydra being absent for a week? c'mon.
 

#HBC | Dancer

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Cello, can you explain why it's a bad thing to have Pierre be the one that sends us into the night? Also, what if they're both town, and Pierre never comes back? Scum wins then.

Pierre please come back.
 

Nicholas1024

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Messages
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Guys, quicklynch Mentos. At least if Pierre dies during the night, then he won't cause it to go into Night. And if he's been absent this long I doubt he's coming back.
I think mentos is town, so I won't support that lynch. However, we do both agree on SSBF being scum, shall we lynch him?

Also, what if Pierre is scum (like I suspect)? Then we lose the opportunity to nail a second scum today.
 

Omis

my friends were skinny
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including myself in your posts
Today:
#36: Pretty simple neutral post. Nothing really to be gleaned.
#110: Very....blank. A lot is said but not much is done.

SSBF:
#14: Seems to come off really harsh right off the bat. I dont really like it when a player just seems nervous and edgy from the outset of the game. It is understandable when they get pissed later but near the beginning it is odd.
#86: Responding to pretty much irrelevant material at that point. It seems like he was using this post as an easy way to make it seem like he is saying a lot when he isnt really.

The-Man:
#58: Plain and simple really strong town post. I like
#66: Extremelly agressive but I can understand why.
SwordDancer:
#22: Seems like he wants to jump on pretty little things here.


Pierre the Scarecrow:
#39: Seems forward thinking here which is always good.
#41: Im very interested in this post now that Heatstroke and Cello have been revealed as town. It seems like Pierre was really the first one to take up to serious suspicion against Heat while Cello took the mantle more up later. Something to keep in mind.
#122: Gives me townie vibes but is easy to fake.
Small thing I noticed is that The Man didnt call out Pierre on not wanting to post a lynch list while he practically exploded on me about it.


SummonerAU:
#116: A pretty blank post but with a weird insistence that he wants to stump. Might be trying to seem town since town shouldnt be paranoid about stumpin.
#152: Lies about how much substance he has made.


Nick:
#33: Absolutely horrid. He brings up wanting to get as many stumps in as possible but not wanting to start until the second days, discusses only stumping once or twice a day and overall just acts way too confused. Scum loves to confuse.


The Paprika Killer:


SwordDancer:
#130: Post looks huge but no substance like most everything SwordDancer has done.
#154: Pretty much nothing.
 

Omis

my friends were skinny
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including myself in your posts
Crap I accidentally posted that. Im still working on this post. I tried to save it to finish up later but ya. Im going out to my birthday party.

Please ignore the work in progress.
 

mentosman8

BRoomer
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Cello, for confirmed town, that's a stupid suggestion. If Pierre flips town and you lynch me, it's game set and match. I know you don't know that, but WHY would you quicklynch before seeing the flip? In a situation where one town death puts us in mylo, and two would be game?
 

Cello_Marl

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Mentos said:
Cello, for confirmed town, that's a stupid suggestion. If Pierre flips town and you lynch me, it's game set and match. I know you don't know that, but WHY would you quicklynch before seeing the flip? In a situation where one town death puts us in mylo, and two would be game?
Because I hate you. Fearmongering scum. Although, honestly, what difference does it make? If Pierre is town, then when we lynch you (and I'll doggedly pursue it, watch me) the same problems will exist. If you were town, then even your stump would be a loss.

You waited 54 hours. Die.

Nick said:
Also, what if Pierre is scum (like I suspect)? Then we lose the opportunity to nail a second scum today.
We don't lose that opportunity, in any case. If we quicklynch, then Night starts, and Pierre has 24 hours to come back. If he fails, then he's dead, as scum or town. If he's scum, like you believe, it won't matter as he's dead and Day goes on. But, if he's town, we're in the same situation we'd be in if we quicklynched Mentos (because he's scum, dammit), except that we'd force scum to make their kill in 24 hours to shift back to Day, making their decision hasty.

Regardless, Mentos is bad people. Read post #405 and ask Mentos why he didn't respond to the points I made.



I don't want to wait around and die of OPP (other people's prods [yeah, you know me]).
 

mentosman8

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Ah yes, your whole 54 hours thing. You do realize I have a life outside of this forum and sometimes don't have a chance to get on for a day right? It's not that uncommon. But, if you want a full rundown of why I didn't post between those, sure. Between those two posts(and yes, they were consecutive posts by me), I was with my friends at the party I had, fell asleep, woke up in the morning(read: afternoon) not in the best shape to be reading a mafia game, and needing to get ready for work and eat lunch. During work it's not exactly easy to keep up with a game, so cut to me getting home from work, at which point I needed to clean up the house where we were at, then went to sleep since I kinda needed it. My post the next morning came as soon as I was ready enough for work that day to have time to post it. Does it help knowing the fact that I do in fact have things I need to do, and while I do treat mafia games with as much time as I can spare, they need to fall on the backburner to things that actually affect my life?

You've also complained about how so much recently of my posts has been focused on you. It's kind of hard not to be when I'm thrown on the defensive, and many of the points you make involve you. It's hard to not focus on people involved in arguments you're defending against.
 

Cello_Marl

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@Mentos: Why did you consider my actions based on your experiences with me, but Brockin's actions based on what "scum do in general"? Why did you abandon me when you starting taking heat for it, thereby taking the "safe route", the very scumtell you used against Brockin?
 

SummonerAU

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.
Omis, with my #152, how am I lying? At that point I haven't posted much at all.

Also Cello, since there's less votes out than the number of scum, what do you think of the idea that they're waiting for the modkill? If Pierre is indeed scum, I don't see why they wouldn't be pushing a lynch at this point so close to a scum majority.
 

Cello_Marl

Smash Rookie
Joined
Nov 4, 2009
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I do think that they're just waiting for a modkill, which is why I wanted to quicklynch Mentos while there is a chance to.

I also don't like Omis's "oops". It seems something that's completely out of character for him. Especially since he was "working" on his post in the reply field rather than something like Notepad.

@Nick: If Pierre is town, will you agree to support me against SSBF, then Mentos? And if not that, will you go against SSBF, then Omis, then Mentos? In any case, I strongly recommend that you abandon your Summoner hate.
 

Nicholas1024

Smash Lord
Joined
Mar 14, 2009
Messages
1,075
I'll support you against SSBF and Omis, but I'm not sure about Mentos. Let me reread a little.
 

SummonerAU

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Nicholas, what do you think about this
since there's less votes out than the number of scum, what do you think of the idea that they're waiting for the modkill? If Pierre is indeed scum, I don't see why they wouldn't be pushing a lynch at this point so close to a scum majority.
 
D

Deleted member

Guest
I re-read Pierre's post and I currently have a null read on him. Some of his earlier posts were relatively scummy and I really didn't like them at all. I also didn't like his tunneling toward Cello Marl, who is now a confirmed townie. However, I did like some of the posts he made and he made an strong case against Cello Marl.

However, I'm leaning toward scummy because he is relatively inactive in the game and hasn't contributed in awhile.

Yeah, my analysis is coming up soon (Hopefully). Now I need to do some serious re-reading.
 
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