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Official Smash Ultimate Discussion

Almost one month has passed since release. In retrospect....

  • This is by far the best Smash ever. Like, I don't even know how they will top this.

  • Pretty freakin' good; I have a few qualms over things like internet play, balancing issues, etc.

  • It's ok, but [insert Smash game here] is better.

  • I'd rather play Parcheesi.


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kylexv

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uh
so
what's going on. I'm confused

What I'm getting at is that the guy that supposedly leaked Cloud before his reveal is saying there's a real leak out somewhere. Can somebody explain what's going on?
 

Ramen Tengoku

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-That Karate Joe leak where someone posted photos of the memories post from the Blog, with detailed pictures of the box of the game and the manual (and the stickers that came with it). This is the only leak that was credible and was never debunked aside of being ignored after Isabelle was announced instead of him.
Didn't that leak list him as #68 though? (at least, I think)
Isabelle is already #68
 
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TyrantLizardKing

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I was absent and I didn't read all the discussion, but I think someone "credible" said that Nintendo is in trouble because of a leak that people overlooked but it's legit? What?

Well, I don't know if this is true or what, I don't know anything about this really, I just read about it 2 minutes ago... but those are my guesses:

-The Japanese Playlist leak (the fact that it's updated 10 days before a Direct, and people noticed it; maybe Nintendo delayed the Direct because it was "leaked" this way).

-That Karate Joe leak where someone posted photos of the memories post from the Blog, with detailed pictures of the box of the game and the manual (and the stickers that came with it). This is the only leak that was credible and was never debunked aside of being ignored after Isabelle was announced instead of him.

I don't know what else could be.

EDIT:
Or maybe it's just the Spirit Mode; the name of the mode was found by removing the blur from a censored picture and maybe they didn't expect that to happen.
Blog leaks are easy to fake, the KOS-MOS one tried something similar. Though it was hard to judge that Karate Joe one because everything was so damn tiny.
 

Icedragonadam

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I'm also surprised the Protonmail rumor is still alive. So far Simon and Isabelle(it didn't say she was an echo) is in. The only ones left on the list are Lloyd, Heihachi, and Waddle Dee on the list. But it also said more. So I'm hoping for the Ryota & Lloyd picture or Protonmail to be the Waldo.
 
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Potato_

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uh
so
what's going on. I'm confused

What I'm getting at is that the guy that supposedly leaked Cloud before his reveal is saying there's a real leak out somewhere. Can somebody explain what's going on?
nah that's pretty much it. Apparently others are also in the know about the supposed "real leak" but nobody wants to spill the beans so...
 

CosmicQuark

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FINALLY--I think I found it: Tansut from ResetEra. Is this the leaker everyone's talking about? I'll have to look into him.
 
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D

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Alright, now what would everyone's reacton be if the final two newcomers were Senran Kagura characters?
 

Iko MattOrr

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Didn't that leak list him as #68 though? (at least, I think)
Isabelle is already #68
Yes, but it's not that hard to switch the posts in a blog before they are published... IMO it can still be real, even if it may be unlikely.

The thing that could debunk it is that Isabelle's trailer came with the announcement of a new Animal Crossing, so it was likely planned to be there and it's unlikely that it was a last minute change... but the game is announced for 2019 without an actual date so it's still possible too.
 
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Rie Sonomura

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I'm also surprised the Protonmail rumor is still alive. So far Simon and Isabelle(it didn't say she was an echo) is in. The only ones left on the list are Lloyd, Heihachi, and Waddle Dee on the list. But it also said more. So I'm hoping for the Ryota & Lloyd picture or Protonmail to be the Waldo.
it also was titled "part 1". I wonder if part 2 already happened and we didn't know of it?
 

Luigi The President

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Well someone needs to be a hero and compile all the leaks still standing.

I can give you one, and that's the notorious "sassy Geno" which has never been disproved and is a quality render.
 

Potato_

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Well someone needs to be a hero and compile all the leaks still standing.

I can give you one, and that's the notorious "sassy Geno" which has never been disproved and is a quality render.
I wouldn't do that until we're absolutely sure it isn't the Ken one. Would take WAAAAY too much time.
 

TheCJBrine

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Yes, but it's not that hard to switch the posts in a blog before they are published... IMO it can still be real, even if it may be unlikely.

The thing that could debunk it is that Isabelle's trailer came with the announcement of a new Animal Crossing, so it was likely planned to be there and it's unlikely that it was a last minute change... but the game is announced for 2019 without an actual date so it's still possible too.
What were the pictures/blogs or whatever numbered, not the character itself?

If the numbers have been taken up by currently-shown blogs and such, it's fake.

I wouldn't do that until we're absolutely sure it isn't the Ken one. Would take WAAAAY too much time.
According to Tansut, it's not the Ken leak. He said he's heard things, but doesn't want to say what incase the character is wrong and he sets people on an emotional rollercoaster for nothing though he kinda already did that.
 
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CosmicQuark

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Yep that's him, who is legit as he knew about and teased Cloud prior to the reveal.
Yeah, knowing his name now I was able to search these forums to see where it originated on here. Now I can search through his history to get the actual quotes, rather than relying off of people's conflicting interpretations. :p
 

kylexv

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If nobody wants to spill the beans about it, then it must be pretty big.

IIRC, the ESRB leak was passed around to a bunch of different people until one of them decided to spill the beans.
 

Opossum

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What if the leak going around is the completed box or mural?
 

Luigi The President

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I wouldn't do that until we're absolutely sure it isn't the Ken one. Would take WAAAAY too much time.
Hah, good point. Well, that's the most likely one, thought he explicitly said it wasn't Ken though.

What if the leak going around is the completed box or mural?
You think Incineroar and Ken would be big at this point, Opo?
As in big enough to hide it?
 
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Verde Coeden Scalesworth

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Yes, but it's not that hard to switch the posts in a blog before they are published... IMO it can still be real, even if it may be unlikely.

The thing that could debunk it is that Isabelle's trailer came with the announcement of a new Animal Crossing, so it was likely planned to be there and it's unlikely that it was a last minute change... but the game is announced for 2019 without an actual date so it's still possible too.
It's not about blog posts, though; Sakurai already has given characters specific numbers. It's doubtful he'll change them. He has a planned character per number and every character is already in the game. There's nothing to change switching aroundblog posts that aren't playable characters if the situation calls for it.

Or, to be more clear, the blog order of what characters are shown doesn't matter so much as the actual character number itself. Isabelle was always going to be 68 from the best we can understand. All new characters are supposed to be revealed in a strict order.
 
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Little update about the 'Bar theory', Arcade Mtl just posted:

Arcade.png


It basically says: ''The game (that will be showcased) will be revealed tomorrow. Note that streaming will not be allowed. Therefore, what happens at Arcade MTL stays at Arcade MTL''

I don't really know if this means anything, just wanted to share the info. People in the comments seem to be hoping for a Direct or a demo event.

I'm not sure but it feels like they're are going to announce a new Switch game or something... tbh idk
 
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KingofKoopas

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Alright, now what would everyone's reacton be if the final two newcomers were Senran Kagura characters?

and i never even played seren kagura but i would gladly pay to watch the idiot puritans screech at nintendo and acting like totalitarian dipsticks over a character or two from a seires they think is heretical getting into smash. Id even be ok with box theory being true at that point lol
 

Rie Sonomura

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Well someone needs to be a hero and compile all the leaks still standing.

I can give you one, and that's the notorious "sassy Geno" which has never been disproved and is a quality render.
I'll add a few more:

- Protonmail (pending part 2?)
- Ken image leak (we knew that much)
- Ryota Hayami and Lloyd Irving render leak
- Skull Kid/Rayman/Waddle Dee image leak
- Bar event rumor
- Hiroyuki Sawano rumor/Sakurai's mech toy rumor

did i miss any?
 

N3ON

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Link to this post if people need context.

Yeah, I feel like I'm the only one who learned in school how to cite sources. :p A lot of the confusion and conflicting information could be cleared up by saying who he is ("some guy" doesn't suffice) and citing where they said it so there's one source to go to, and not multiple "he said, she said" to reference.
Fair point, here's context for those trying to keep up. All the posts (so far) from Tansut:
Okay Detetctive GA...er, Era...

It appears that we indeed have a legit leak on our hands. I'm not aware of the particulars, like even which leak it is exactly, but I know it's caused some ruffled feathers recently.

This should help get us out of the cycle of strawpolls and goofy theories.
I really don't know much more than what I said. I have a hunch as to which character it is, but I'm only volunteering what I already said.
The short of it is that a leak, I'm assuming one from somewhat recently, spurred some internal discussion.

I don't know which leak it is, but I would have to assume it was image-based to catch attention. Yes, this means that I have a decent idea of which character it is, but it's ultimately total speculation on my part because, again, I don't know which specific leak it might be. I only think I have an idea because of where I heard it from and what not.

What I mentioned originally is all I concretely am sure of. That's why I'm not being any more specific, because any specificities are just educated guesses.

So why even bring it up, you fairly ask? Because I love it when we analyze leaks. I also find the strawpolls and music/blog/box theorizing to be a little dull, so I'm trying to avoid more wheel-spinning in the thread.
It's not the Ken leak. If it was I wouldn't have bothered.
We've already seen whichever leak this is, too. I just don't know which one it is.
Y'all need to slow down, damn.

I keep trying to reply and then there's like a half dozen new posts after I type a sentence.

I don't know how recent the leak they're huffed about happened. As far as I know it could've come out like a month ago and they just now found out about it. Or it came out like two days ago and they immediately spotted it. I simply don't know much more than you guys. Which is partly why I mentioned it.

Thought it would be fun to take a more critical eye at image leaks.
Hb2 said:
How do you know it's not Ken if you don't know what leak is it?​
Based on things I am not at liberty to divulge.

Bard said:
You said you had some educated guesses about some of the possibilities, so what would they be then?​
I only am comfortable sharing what I know versus what I think for two reasons: one; if I'm wrong about who I think is in then I'll have put people through a rollercoaster of emotions for nothing. Some will be disappointed, others elated, still others angry, etc. Two; I don't like outright leaking anything.
IntelliHeath said:
1. You are already send people through a rollercoaster of emotion by implying there is a legit leak out there and people would jump into conclusion with certain "leaked" pictures. Like Geno and Skull Kid pictures here.

2. Then you should haven't share anything. You only did it because you got tired of those "repeated subjects" so you feel like you want to throw a bottle of oil into a dying fire.

I don't care if you can't or don't want to leak but you shouldn't brought it up if you aren't prepare to take a responsibility for it.​
That's fair, especially about the second point. I didn't want people to instantly jump to conclusions but I suppose I didn't think it through terribly well. I was just excited to talk about something else in a thread I always enjoy reading.

My hope was to simply say that there is a leak out there that is actually probably legit, because I wanted to see if we can narrow it down or pick apart pics we may have dismissed too easily.

I apologize for any heightened emotions already and just ask again that ya'll take a breath and calm down.

Apopheniac said:
I appreciate whatever you're willing to share.

Can you say whether or not it's an image that we've seen already?​
I would assume it's one that is already out there, otherwise I'm not sure why anyone would be talking about it.
I honestly doubt it has anything to do with the bar and NoC thing, but I can't say that with any certainty.
References:
Well Tansut did leak Cloud, so he might know something here.
Also:
There was a problem fetching the tweet
 
D

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If nobody wants to spill the beans about it, then it must be pretty big.

IIRC, the ESRB leak was passed around to a bunch of different people until one of them decided to spill the beans.
The only people who know about at though are the Tansut guy, and supposedly Rapture and Warchamp. Unless if y'all wanna ping Warchamp here, we most likely aren't gonna know anything for a bit or even a while.
 

Iko MattOrr

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What were the pictures/blogs or whatever numbered, not the character itself?

If the numbers have been taken up by currently-shown blogs and such, it's fake.



According to Tansut, it's not the Ken leak.
Oh I missed that detail... so it was the character number, I misread. At this point, it's way less likely... still not 100% debunked (changing the number of the character is also possible I think, but it has impact on the game since the character will be stuck with that number forever) but almost.

Anyway, yes, the blog posts are internally numbered and the Isabelle one had the same number as the supposed Karate Joe one too.
 
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Nekoo

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Here are all of the "Leak" that I can see, that could "Ruffle feather" internally. So, let's go!

- The Celica leak from 4chan, who got Simon, Isabelle right and said that Celica and Geno were in.
-The 'Sassy Geno" a single picture from 4chan who said "risk everything by posting this" it's a high quality Render, but we should be careful, especially with that nice Isaac render from the Isaac website leak.
- Hashimoto, co-creator of KH, deleted Tweet about saying "Yes!" to someone asking for Sora in Smash
-Dante's ingame blurry picture with the Dante Leak supposedly in the Pokemon stage? I think?
- Spawn Wave who say that there is BIG NOISE about the first Smash DLC being announced at the VGA, that LeakyPandy (as **** as they are, they could get something right) also talk about
 

Gothitelle

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Well someone needs to be a hero and compile all the leaks still standing.

I can give you one, and that's the notorious "sassy Geno" which has never been disproved and is a quality render.
These leaks have been getting out of hand recently, so I've gathered a list of every character leaked by the following catalogue of leakers:
Vergeben: Decidedly the most reliable of sources here, Vergeben has an amazing track record for both this game and several others. Among many other things, he announced that Snake and Ice Climbers would return, that there would be no cuts from Smash 4, and that Ridley, Isabelle, and Simon Belmont would be added. Due to his reliability, anything he claimed would be in below is in green.
LaPailleDor (1): A leaker on French forum jeuxvideo, LaPailleDor claimed that Chrom, K Rool, Richter, and Simon would be playable, as well as Dracula as a boss and stage morph being an option, all later coming true. However, the mods of the forum claim that these were faked.
LaPailleDor (2): A 4chan leaker who claims to be LaPailleDor, giving several pieces of evidence of his identity.
WhisslBlank (1): More commonly known as the NeoGAF Leaker, WhisslBlank claimed that K Rool, Simon, and Chrom would be added.
WhisslBlank (2): A second NeoGAF account claiming to be WhisslBlank, offering possibly falsified evidence. As this is likely false, and the claim that Galacta Knight will be a Meta Knight echo is already soft-deconfirmed, anything that only he claimed will be in red.
Ken Leaker: A 4chan leaker who posted an image of Ken in the debug mode. This image has been proven time and time again to be watertight.
Loz18: A GameFAQs leaker who claimed that there would be a Smash direct in August that showed a full tour of the menus, that would show three modes, and that there would be a cutscene themed around heroes vs villains (which turned out to be K Rool's reveal trailer).
Senjougahara Hitagi: A leaker who has got several things right about other games. As Vergeben has backed up Senjougahara and claimed that the two share sources, leaks from them will also be in green.

[4] Ken: Vergeben, Ken Leaker (obviously), LaPailleDor (1), WhisslBlank (1)
[2] Geno: Vergeben, WhisslBlank (1)
[2] Isaac: LaPailleDor (1), WhisslBlank (1)
[2] Skull Kid: LaPailleDor (2), Loz18
[2] Sora: Vergeben, WhisslBlank (1)
[2] Steve: Vergeben, Senjougahara Hitagi
[1] Ayumi Tachibani: LaPailleDor (2)
[1] Bandai Namco Character: WhisslBlank (2)
[1] Black Shadow: LaPailleDor (1)
[1] Dixie Kong: Loz18
[1] Felix: WhisslBlank (2)
[1] Galacta Knight: WhisslBlank (2)
[1] Incineroar: Vergeben
[1] Katalina (or other Granblue Character): Senjougahara Hitagi
[1] Monster Hunter: WhisslBlank (2)
[1] Medusa: LaPailleDor (2)
[1] Ninten: LaPailleDor (2)
[1] Reimu Hakurei: LaPailleDor (2)
[1] Sable Prince: WhisslBlank (2)
[1] Shadow: WhisslBlank (2)
[1] Soren: WhisslBlank (1)
[1] Terra: WhisslBlank (2)
Italicised Names indicates the leaker was not specific about the character, but there is reason to believe they refer to that character.

Not included is the Richter Leak, as the story behind it is extremely unlikely. It claims that Gothitelle and Gardevoir will be playable.
It's old, but it still kind of holds.
 

Ramen Tengoku

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