Baldy McShootFace
As the guy who nominated him, I figure it's only fair I write a Long Post™ about him.
So, Hitman. Hitman is a stealth videogame series that started in 2000. 21 years, 8 games, and 15 million sales later, it's grown to be an iconic and highly influential franchise, with spin-offs, books, films, and of course, a legion of copycats trying to emulate its unique brand of social stealth. I don't think it's bold to claim that Hitman is the second most influential stealth franchise after Metal Gear, so in the "is it important enough to include?" department I'd say it's good.
Would Nintendo go for it? Well, here's the facts: there are two Hitman games on Nintendo consoles. One is Silent Assassin all the way back on the GameCube, and the other is this year's Hitman 3 on Switch. I think Hitman 3 is the game we should be looking for; Nintendo made a big deal that it was going to be on the Switch through the cloud, particularly with Hitman being known for its sprawling and visually stunning settings. So there is a relationship between the devs and Nintendo. Whether that's enough I don't know, but at least the franchise is on the radar.
Now to address what I'm expecting to be the most common points against 47. First, Square Enix. Square Enix sold the rights to Hitman to the developers, IO Interactive, in 2017, so Hitman hasn't been a Square Enix IP since before Ultimate even released.
Another common point is that Hitman is too mature or realistic for Smash. First, Snake. Second, Hitman is goofy as ****, and not even in the Call of Duty way where they at least try to pretend it's serious; these are games where a selling point is that you can kill people by smacking them with a fish while dressed like a giant flamingo if you please. Would 47 have his trademark fiber wire and pistols in his moveset? Sure, but aside from that, he'd probably be doing wacky **** like planting explosive rubber duckies or throwing claymores to the face; hardly the generic "gun man" that people imagine when thinking of realistic Western characters. Third, his profession as a hitman. I really don't see the issue here, again, not only is Snake a mercenary, but this community has considered the likes of Kiryu (a yakuza), Travis and Ezio (assassins) and countless thieves, outlaws, and generically bad people.
So, with all that, I think there's a good case to be made for 47. The only thing he lacks is popularity and, I guess, the backing of a Japanese studio (which ironically is what keeps him from being disconfirmed right now). He might be outprioritized by another character, but still, if the worst thing you can say about a character is that their odds are low because there's few slots left, then I think that character at least warrants some attention.
Chance: 14%
Want: 90%
I'm a fan of stealth games so of course I enjoy Hitman. Whether playing meticulously to be a ghost or just bull****ting around, I still have fun, which I think is the mark of a good game; there's no wrong way to play it. More importantly however, I think Hitman has earned itself a spot in this pantheon of gaming, so even if he doesn't get in this time around, I hope this at least creates some discussion of him, as I truly believe he makes sense.
Noms: Todd Mother****ing Snap x10
Excitebiker prediction: 10.88%