I'll attempt this. Apologies for any incorrect formatting.
Angelina Jolie:
Chance: 40%
As many others have pointed out, Lara's definitely a sleeper pick. She's a gaming icon, and there's no denying that. While her initial design was questionable, to say the least, she deserves infinite credit for pioneering the concept of female video game protagonists alongside Samus. Lara's the star of a successful multimedia franchise which Square Enix has kept relevant for decades, helped establish the video game movie genre (with mixed results, I would argue, but she still helped blaze that trail), and is a character that manages to appeal to both western and eastern audiences, which few other potential newcomers can rightfully claim. As far as I'm concerned, Lara has unquestionably earned her place in Smash, and absolutely deserves a spot. Ironically, the company that made her a star is probably the biggest factor holding her back. Square has a notoriously weird history with Smash, and I'm not fully convinced that we're even getting another character from them on the second Fighter's Pass. And even if we are, Lara has stiff competition among other Square reps. Geno and Sora are far more highly-requested characters from Square, and I just can't see Lara being picked over either of them. Lara may be prominent to the industry at large, but she isn't nearly as popular within the Smash community, which I think may be her undoing.
Want: 60%
I'll be honest, I have zero experience with the Tomb Raider games. I have seen the movies, though, which is something, right...? I'm mostly neutral on Lara, though I do think she's got some unsung moveset potential based on what little of her gameplay I've seen. I appreciate her mostly in an academic sense though, alongside characters like Crash, who I acknowledge have the pedigree to be in this crossover even if I don't have an emotional attachment to them. I'd be happy to see her join, but if she isn't, I'm not going to lose any sleep over it.
Velma Dinkley:
Chance: 10%
Putting aside my personal love for her series, Elma is a longshot, for sure. Not only is she hardly a popular request in the Smash community (rarely scoring well at all on numerous polls), she faces competition from Rex, who is an undeniably more highly-anticipated newcomer among both eastern and western audiences. It doesn't help that Rex hails from a far more financially-successful game that isn't stuck on a dead console, or that Rex was planned for the base roster but was screwed due to timing, so he's got something of a sympathy factor fueling his support. Not to make this about Rex, but after Byleth and Min Min, it's not unreasonable to assume that the timing issue concerning 2017/2018 titles isn't an issue for this next Fighter's pass. But Byleth and Min Min didn't have a Mii costume. Why would Sakurai even include that if he were planning to add Rex at a later point? Rex is in such a weird spot, and absent his presence, Elma would be the next best rep for Xenoblade, unless they decided on another XC1 rep (Fiora or Melia, perhaps) to coincide with Definitive Edition. Maybe there's an enhanced port or sequel for Xenoblade X in the works that Elma could promote, since there aren't many Wii U games left to bring over, but that's just speculation. And all of this is assuming that we even get another Xenoblade rep at all. While I do think that it and Pokemon are the most likely series for first-party newcomers to hail from, for all we know, it could be only third-party picks from here on out. Of course, we also don't know when they committed to the second Fighter's pass, but the fact that Elma's best chances hinge upon another character not being added speaks volumes to her likelihood, as much as I like her.
Want: 90%
I think you can tell by my pic that I'm a fan of Monolith, so I would be ecstatic to see Elma on this Fighter's Pass. I'm starved for new Xenoblade content in Smash, so I'll take whatever I can get at this point. She's got an incredible amount of moveset potential, since Xenoblade X has such a fun combat system. Between her dual-wielding weapons, to her Overdrive mechanic, to potentially involving her Skell in some way... The sky's the limit. The only reason she isn't at 100% for me is because, at the end of the day, Xenoblade X is my least favorite game in the series (marginally) and since I do have a slight preference for Rex and his title, I would rather have him as our next Xenoblade rep, though Elma would still be beyond hype for me.
Noms: Klonoa x5
