Official Newcomer/DLC Speculation Discussion

[Goombaic]

Bandana Dee and Reimu's placements were pleasant surprises, being the highest-rated first party and indie character, respectively (Not counting Steve, who's in anyways). Especially impressive when you consider their competition, like Isaac, Waluigi, Shantae, and Shovel Knight.

The poll did take place before the ARMS tease so first parties weren't really voted for that much. Only 9 cracked the top 50. I summarized the results for the first parties when that poll's results came around.

Anyway here are the top 50 52 first parties from that poll for those that would rather have more first parties or just don't care about third parties.

Spoiler: First Party Party

1. Bandana Dee
2. Waluigi
3. Isaac
4. Dixie Kong
5. Rex & Pyra
6. Paper Mario
7. Porky
8. Skull Kid
9. Elma
10. Toad/Captain Toad

The characters onwards didn't make top 50 overall

10. Rillaboom
11. Impa
12. Karate Joe
13. Krystal
14/15. Chibi Robo
14/15. Midna
16. Cinderace
17. Akira Howard
18. Octoling
19. Toxtricity
20. Chorus Kid
21. Gen 8 Pokemon
21/22. Toad
21/22. King Boo
23. Captain Toad
24/25. Magolor
24/25. Marx
26/27. Ring Fit Trainer
26/27. Ashley
28/29. Sylux
28/29. Felix
30. Sceptile
31/32. Lyn
31/32. Funky Kong
33/34/35/36. Euden
33/34/35/36. Ninten
33/34/35/36. Vaati
33/34/35/36. Lip

Characters onwards didn't make top 100 overall.

37. Adeleine & Ribbon
38. Ganon
39/40. Grovyle
39/40. Mike Jones
41/42. Andy
41/42. Edelgard
43. Tingle
44/45. Tom Nook
44/45. Spring Man
46. Rhythm Heaven
46/47. Saki Amamiya
46/47. Fawful
48. Medusa
49. Black Shadow
50/51/52. Viridi
50/51/52. Takamaru
50/51/52. Fiora

Felix from Golden Sun is the only name I'm surprised got as many votes as they did.

 

[Guybrush20X6]

Where's the link to these results of Mega Source Gaming?

Mega Smash Poll Ultimate: The characters YOU want for Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Fighter Pass 2!

It’s time for the first results from our Mega Smash Poll Ultimate edition! We conducted this poll back in March 2020 and asked the community a number of questions about how they play Super Sm…

sourcegaming.info

Scroll down and open the spoilers to see the full results

 

[BlondeLombax]

View attachment 288676
Hmm yes, let us hope so.

Unfortunately for my other most wanted...
View attachment 288677
He is not so lucky.

Could have been worse. You could have been me.

 

[Deleted member]

Got back from work to say Atelier not being in contention for Vol 2 was to be expected but a bit of a shame. Ryza was probably too little too late for DLC since the reveal to release of the game were around the same timeframe as the supposed Vol 2 negotiation timeline.


That isn't to say Ryu Hayabusa is now the only candidate left in contention for a KT rep. You still got Dynasty Warriors characters like Zhao Yun and Lu Bu, and I'd even throw in William from Nioh as a darkhorse candidate as well.

 

[Michael the Spikester]

Satisfied to see Phoenix Wright make it into the top 10.

 

[venomthebest]

Huge side tangent but man I wish someone would make a monster hunter mod on byleth.

 

[epicmartin7]

Question. Anyone know if europe got amiibo restocks in June?

Need it for some Amiibo Theory stuffs.

 

[Aerospherology]

I wonder who that was

The semi-joke of mine

 

[Perkilator]

Where does Sakura Shinguji stand on that poll?

 

[PeridotGX]

I revised Source Gaming Mega Poll for what characters smashers want for Fighter Pass 2 and noticed that Steve/Alex got the 7th place, so I think that he/she can be considered a fan favorite character. He/She clearly had some fan demand, otherwise, he/she wouldn’t get to the top 10 (Master Chief got the 8th place, so it was the most wanted Microsoft rep).

And if we revised the poll made for the first fighter pass (before Banjo got announced), Steve/Alex got the 6th place. Its clearly that there was always demand for them. Its good that Nintendo has heard us haha. Hope they continue with this streak and get more fan favorite characters

funny thing about that poll - my two most wanted characters are right next to each other

shout out to the 57 people of culture

 

[Rie Sonomura]

1. Where is Elma on that poll?
2. Neku?
3. KOS-MOS?
4. Did Octoling make it at all?
5. How about Black Shadow?
6. For the lulz, where’s a League rep, any one?

aaaand I think that’s about it

 

[Professor Pumpkaboo]

1. Where is Elma on that poll?
2. Neku?
3. KOS-MOS?
4. Did Octoling make it at all?
5. How about Black Shadow?
6. For the lulz, where’s a League rep, any one?

aaaand I think that’s about it

click the link and find out

 

[Sari]

The link to the poll is here:

Mega Smash Poll Ultimate: The characters YOU want for Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Fighter Pass 2!

It’s time for the first results from our Mega Smash Poll Ultimate edition! We conducted this poll back in March 2020 and asked the community a number of questions about how they play Super Sm…

sourcegaming.info

Quote made it in the top 50! I'm pretty impressed.

Also one person aside from me actually voted for Kyo Kusanagi. I wish I knew who they were.

 

[Curious Villager]

I wonder who that was
View attachment 288708
The semi-joke of mine
View attachment 288711

Isn't Uniracer that one racing game starring sentient unicycles from the SNES?

Was unironically one of the first games I ever played as far as I can remember, always thought that game was a childhood fever dream for the longest time...

 

[3BitSaurus]

6. For the lulz, where’s a League rep, any one?

329th, I'm afraid. On the bright side... guess who?

EDIT: there's also a general "League of Legends Rep" at 543rd, with 2 votes. And Annie, Irelia, Lux, Sion, Teemo, Thresh, Yasuo and... Fiddlesticks... all got 1 vote each, at around 727th

 

[Droodle]

Optimistic take: Nintendo isn't unveiling the Lloyd, Geno, and Monster Hunter mii costumes; because they plan on upgrading one/some of these characters to a full blown fighter.

Pessimistic (but slightly more realistic take): Nintendo isn't unveiling Lloyd, Geno, and MH costumes because they realize it's free real estate if they hold back 3 highly requested fighters (if they are costumes), people will just create free advertising for them. They know exactly what makes the community talk. Regardless of if someone like Geno gets promoted, I fully expect him to be in around at the second half.

 

[7NATOR]

You know there is something I wonder

If FP1 was just it, Was Geno's Costume gonna be Regular, or was it Gonna be a Premium costume like Sans?

 

[Rie Sonomura]

KOS-MOS and Elma are 42 and 44 respectively. Top 50, not bad

Octoling is 70, top 100 material. still good

Neku is 73, still top 100

but ooof.... Black Shadow (and Mecha-Fiora) are 145 and 148 respectively

 

[Perkilator]

Where does Sakura Shinguji stand on that poll?

Never mind, found her:

 

[Evil Trapezium]

My favourite characters rankings. Sgt. Cortez is first place with 3 votes so that's like 1187 votes away from being number 1. Time to split!

Poor Cormano from Sunset Riders didn't get any votes.

 

[SKX31]

Question. Anyone know if europe got amiibo restocks in June?

Need it for some Amiibo Theory stuffs.

Hmm... the closest I've been able to find is (sadly) a rumor post on the case. The amiibo subreddit thread mentioned Luigi, Peach and Boo. Tried Wayback, but that only seemingly had results from 2015.

It isn't direct confirmation, but those two add up to "Seems so".

329th, I'm afraid. On the bright side... guess who?

View attachment 288712

EDIT: there's also a general "League of Legends Rep" at 543rd, with 2 votes. And Annie, Irelia, Lux, Sion, Teemo, Thresh, Yasuo and... Fiddlesticks... all got 1 vote each, at around 727th

That does add up to 15 votes still, which would place LoL's total at tied 174th. Together with Gunvolt, Cadence, Cranky Kong, NiGHTS and Story of Seasons' Farmer.

I'm going to say that the probable Wild Rift (or any other LoL Switch) port will likely cause its support to start moving upwards.

Never mind, found her:
View attachment 288720

Sakura in the same spot as Thrall and Urbosa, that's... not what I expected at all.

 

[TheBeastHimself]

How did Conker rank in the 50s in that poll? Are there other weirdos out there like me?!

 

[Guybrush20X6]

I've got a question.

Was Five Nights at Freddy's anywhere near as big in Japan as it was over here? Were there Niconico stars loosing their crap over Chuck E Cheeze jump-scares or were they freaking out over all those cool Japanese horror games that didn't get translated?

 

[P.Kat]

Alright, not bad, not bad.

 

[pupNapoleon]

That isn't to say Ryu Hayabusa is now the only candidate left in contention for a KT rep. You still got Dynasty Warriors characters like Zhao Yun and Lu Bu, and I'd even throw in William from Nioh as a darkhorse candidate as well.

I don't think you believe this.

 

[Megadoomer]

That poll came out quite a while ago, didn't it? I'm not sure if my top three most wanted (Geno, Dante, and Doomguy) being in the top five is a good thing or a sign that I'm unoriginal.

 

[Arcadenik]

Zelda has a whole has argubly great reprsentation in Smash. Hell every mainline 3D Zelda has a stage in Smash. Its lack of characters compare to say Mario is due to the lack of reoccurring characters. Most Zelda games will always focus on Link, Zelda, and Ganon. The series doesn't have many recurring characters in fact a lot of its supporting characters and secondary villains are one offs.

The Zelda series still has some recurring major characters that could work in Smash as playable fighters.

Cucco - it could be the Piranha Plant of the Zelda series; it could be the first item to be upgraded to a playable fighter

Spoiler

Default - Cucco

Alt 1 - Cucco skeleton from A Link to the Past

Alt 2 - Flying Rooster from Link's Awakening

Alt 3 - Cojiro from Ocarina of Time

Alt 4 - brown Cucco from Twilight Princess

Alt 5 - Lorulean Cucco from A Link Between Worlds

Alt 6 - Dark Cucco from Hyrule Warriors

Alt 7 - colorful Cucco from Breath of the Wild

Ganon - the trident-wielding pig demon from the NES and SNES games

Impa - she is the most important non-Triforce recurring character in the Zelda series

Masked Link - you only play as Deku Link, Goron Link, and Zora Link and they are recurring major races in the Zelda series

Tingle - he might not be a major recurring NPC in the main games but he is the only one who got his own spin-off games

Spoiler

Default - Tingle

Alt 1 - Ankle from The Wind Waker

Alt 2 - Knuckle from The Wind Waker

Alt 3 - David Jr. from The Wind Waker

Alt 4 - dark pink Tingle from Hyrule Warriors, based on Pinkle from Tingle's Rosy Rupeeland

Alt 5 - purple Tingle from Hyrule Warriors

Alt 6 - Dark Tingle from Hyrule Warriors

Alt 7 - normal Tingle from Tingle's Rosy Rupeeland

Toon Zelda - semi-clone of Zelda

 

[CureParfait]

Kind of rip that my most wanted Darkrai got only 1 vote and somehow Goku got 28 votes.

 

[pupNapoleon]

If I'm reading a room talking about a random poll, I must not have a life.

 

[Lamperouge]

Rex & Pyra are in the top 20

 

[chocolatejr9]

I've got a question.

Was Five Nights at Freddy's anywhere near as big in Japan as it was over here? Were there Niconico stars loosing their crap over Chuck E Cheeze jump-scares or were they freaking out over all those cool Japanese horror games that didn't get translated?

Finally, an excuse to give everyone THIS terrifying thought:

Joke, yes, just a funny hah hah... yes... *sweats nervously* pic.twitter.com/C3ce36smpb

— Rucklefukle (@Rucklefukle88) October 1, 2020

Though to answer your question, it DOES have a Japanese fanbase. Don't know how big it is, however.

 

[Shroob]

If I'm reading a room talking about a random poll, I must not have a life.

No one who willingly spends time here and debates nightly who should get into a children's party game does, to be fair.


We do it for a sense of community.

 

[Slime Master]

Yangus isn't even on that list, does that mean I have the most obscure taste on the planet? Am I maximum hipster?

 

[Guybrush20X6]

Finally, an excuse to give everyone THIS terrifying thought:

Joke, yes, just a funny hah hah... yes... *sweats nervously* pic.twitter.com/C3ce36smpb

— Rucklefukle (@Rucklefukle88) October 1, 2020

Though to answer your question, it DOES have a Japanese fanbase. Don't know how big it is, however.

I'm gonna be awaiting a jumpscare in the next Mii Costume trailer, I'mma say that much.

 

[CapitaineCrash]

That does add up to 15 votes still, which would place LoL's total at tied 174th. Together with Gunvolt, Cadence, Cranky Kong, NiGHTS and Story of Seasons' Farmer.

I'm going to say that the probable Wild Rift (or any other LoL Switch) port will likely cause its support to start moving upwards.

To be fair, each voters could vote for 6 characters, so it's possible that the same person voted for multiple LoL characters. I agree that if the poll has been done more recently, LoL could have been higher, especially if it was done near the Trials of mana spirits event when people start talking about the LoL in Smash "leak".

The problem with franchises with no main characters is that it's hard to really tell how much they're popular. In that poll the same thing happen with Rhythm heaven. Karate Joe is the highest with 63 votes being in the 59 position. In total there's 8 RH characters in the poll: Karate Joe, Chorus kids, Rhythm heaven (probably for general RH character), Barista, Tibby, Tap trial girl, Marshal, and Reporter + wrestler. If you add them all, there's actually 159 votes for Rhythm heaven, which would put the franchise at the 33 position, right under Scorpion, Porky, Monster hunter and Sol badguy and just higher than Shadow, Prof Layton, Lara Croft and Shovel knight. Yeah... as mush as I like Rhythm heaven, just adding all the votes isn't really a good metric of how popular the franchise is, and I think it's the same thing about LoL. There's definitely some fans that have voted for the same franchise twice in those cases.

 

[SKX31]

Kind of rip that my most wanted Darkrai got only 1 vote and somehow Goku got 28 votes.

I can only imagine home many votes Goku would've gotten in the alternate timeline where James Bond becomes playable in 64, Shrek becomes playable in Melee or Brawl and Home Depot becomes playable in Sm4sh...

 

[Smashoperatingbuddy123]

Oh by the way the whole ryu hayabusa game title can't be shown thing if that's the case

2:30

why is persona 5 shown? And you all know dang well persona 5 is rated M

 

[AceAttorney9000]

Oh by the way the whole ryu hayabusa game title can't be shown thing if that's the case

2:30

why is persona 5 shown? And you all know dang well persona 5 is rated M

Because the circumstances that lead to M-rated game logos not being shown didn't happen until the period of time between Terry and Byleth.

 

[Shroob]

With all the smoke around Hayabusa though, and the fact his trilogy is coming to Switch and PS4 early next year, I think his chances are better than ever. Say what you will about Verg, but he's supposedly heard talks with Koei for Smash specifically.

 

[Michael the Spikester]

At this point, I think Ryu Hayabusa is the closest character we have almost to a lock.