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Sony still has presence in japan tho. microsoft has virtually none. even if both are appealing to western markets first sony still has software that has appeal first and foremost in japan.
78: Chosen Undead
Is Soul Calibur considered niche? I was honestly shocked by how many people didn’t know Terry, so I guess I don’t have a pulse on which fighting games are known by Normies & which aren’t lmao
Maybe it could be a Gen 4 Pokemon for the probable remakes? I feel that would go over a lot better too since there’s a nostalgia factor going on there too.
I think if a pokemon gets in FP2 then it'll most likely be Gen 8
SKX31
and
Rie Sonomura
for the source I mentioned before:
NO WAY THAT'S GOING TO HAPPEN!
What about Corrin?
I'm in a similar position to yours, I think characters like Dante have a decent shot but I wouldn't bet money on them. The one I was confident about was Crash, but he wasn't FP7 which was the spot I thought they would give him if he was in the Pass.
Only in the west
Corrin's game was released in Japan several months before s/he joined Smash.
My predictions are:
Gen 9? Even if Game Freak hasn't learned their lesson about rushing games, it still wouldn't be ready for the end of the pass.
Hmm, now that's really interesting regardless. 0,71 % is a realistic estimate given that the ca. 710K total playerbase (5-50K interested in competitive) would be roughly in line with the numbers of total players / competitive spectators elsewhere. Going by that estimate EU West seemingly would have roughly 20 million (give or take) LoL players total and 50-100K competitive spectators just to give a very rough estimate from Twitch stats.Alright, so tagging
Based on the Riot API, it was possible to determine the percentage of players corresponding to each server. Japan's percentage, as of 2017, was 0.71% of the total playerbase. I tried to find more recent data, but couldn't.
According to this data from 2017, League had a total of over 100 million players (by 2019, that number had increased to 115 million). Keep in mind this is only an estimation, but to my knowledge it's the best we have.
So by doing some math, this means that in 2017 the League playerbase in Japan was roughly 710K strong.
According to this site (take it with a grain of salt, as they don't name all their sources for these numbers), that would be more than the japanese sales of the original Banjo-Kazooie, the first Crash Bandicoot and even GTA III.
So basically, even if Japan is the third smallest LoL server (if we go by ranked population), these numbers are still decently strong. It's not like Japan hates League - it's just that PC gaming culture isn't as strong there, hence why I'm expecting a rise in the playerbase with Wild Rift coming to mobile and eventually to consoles - like the Switch.
That is a legitimate issue - sure, Riot's created a Smash mod in the past themselves, but neither Riot nor Tencent were historically interested in the console side of things to begin with. There was a rumor that Arena of Valor / Honor of Kings (Tencent's mobile LoL) was created because Tencent asked Riot about a mobile LoL back in 2015, but Riot didn't want to do so. That did probably strain the relationship between the two. Understandably so from Riot's PoV: especially when Tencent is notorious within China for copying anything and everything under the sun as I've talked about in the past. The Chinese hardcore was not kind to Pokemon Unite because of the notoriety.
Realistically I think if its most of the typical speculated characters (Waluigi, Toad, Paper Mario, Kamek, etc) then it does feel less likely the further away we get from the initial anniversary announcement.
If I'm not mistaken, they even have a special server in China just for the top players - likewise something that only happened because of Tencent running the servers, I think.
To play devil's advocate for a second: while I wouldn't call League a frontrunner, I also think people really underestimate its chances and how much interest both companies could have in working with each other, especially with Tencent's Nintendo dealings.
i feel like that’s Somthing someone from the geno thread would say
3BitSaurus
SKX31
while were on the LoL train. I know again, Glitch Theory is spotty but check this out:It's an incredibly big red flag for me personally. While a character doesn't have to be chosen solely for promotional reasons, there is something to be said about how both Min Min and Steve were specifically revealed around promotional materials for their games. Like, we have pretty good amount of evidence that Steve was ready to be revealed way back in the beginning of September, but they specifically skipped over his blog posts and waited so it'd be closer to Minecraft Live.
I do think it's weird, but Honestly, even then I wouldn't exactly count it out. Nintendo not only has a hand in picking the fighters, but also probably picks the order in which they release (and which ones get released first).
I don't believe there is any time limit for a Mario character and if one was planned to be in the pass, I don't think they would have taken the 35th anniversary into consideration. Adding a character other than Mario in context with his anniversary just wouldn't make sense as that would shine importance to them instead of Mario as silly as that reasoning sounds.
I don't think there's too much co-ordination between character reveals and anniversaries.
From someone who has been playing a range of fighting games for many years, I knew Terry Bogard ever since playing the likes of Capcom Vs SNK 2: Match of the Millenium and the King of Fighters: Maximum Impact back in the PS2 days.
I don’t see any more Konami reps for the remainder of DLC. the only exception could be Raiden from Metal Gear Rising but I’m not holding my breath
I think their likelihood took a heavy hit with the anniversary thing, but it'll slowly begin to rise as we move away from the celebration. The reason could be that they just released too late. Still, I'm not expecting then until the last two Challenger's Packs, and even then I'm pretty iffy on their chances.
There's certainly options from Konami but given that three of the best known franchises are already in in some form (Castlevania, Metal Gear, & Bomberman) , and the other is a little tricky to incorporate given its content (Silent Hill) its either double/triple dipping for more or going with the more niche IP's. I'd love to have a Sparkster, or Contra character (and plenty wouldn't mind someone from Suikoden), but a lot of what's left does feel like Mii Costume territory.
That's still very interesting since if Steve was ready by early September, then FP8's at the very least decently far into development. I won't say with any confidence how far, but they've been apparently focusing on FP8 for about a month, maybe a bit more.
I'm gonna stay cautious on this - while I could see the resemblance, I'm not going to say that that's indicative of much. Not just because the Theory itself is spotty, but also since there's a small but noticeable difference between Daisy's and Ahri's models. (Also, doesn't 2B have a similar length with her skirt? Etc.)
The Challenger Ahri skin seems pretty CERO safe too
Huh. Glitch theory is bogus imo, but I didn't know there was actually an "Ahri 4 Smash" twitter account. Neato.
The Challenger Ahri skin seems pretty CERO safe too
Yeah, with Bomberman as both an Assist and DLC costume, as well as Goemon being a costume, I don't see a Konami rep happening.
2B doesn’t have a crown, though... I guess we’ll see nevertheless
I wonder if the remake will be Sinnoh or Let's Go Johto.
