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Official Newcomer/DLC Speculation Discussion

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Will

apustaja
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I think the biggest problem is that the game simply wasn't finished. While I haven't played chapter 2 (by my understanding, it seems ridiculously bleak), from what I've seen, there's a whole bunch of set-up towards a third chapter that never actually happens (including one character hijacking a Metal Gear, which seems like a big deal but will likely never be followed up on).

Still, I don't see how anyone can say it's a bad game, and there are infinitely worse Metal Gear games out there:

Man, I legitimately forgot about Survive. Probably because people don't even treat it like a Metal Gear game lmao. Perkilator Perkilator yeah this is a definite change now,
 
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Cutie Gwen

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I never made a blanket statement saying all characters from popular games don't have moveset potential. No idea where you read that.

Fact is, dismissing a character based on how many copies their game sold or whether or not their game was liked is a really crappy way to speculate. Fates could've bombed and been the most controversial game in the franchise, but that wouldn't take away from Corrin and his ability to transform into a dragon. Same thing applies to other games where I see the "shouldn't get in because their game sucks" argument used. Doesn't matter if you loved XC2 or not. Rex and the driver mechanic has a lot of potential either way. Paper Mario? Sure, I can admit that I don't like the newer games as much as the older ones, but does that mean I don't see any potential in the Paper Mario who exists in SS, CS, and OK? Not at all.

There's a lot of great characters who probably don't get the recognition they deserve, and that's largely because people are focusing too hard on the game and not the character.

Also, when did I ever say PP never had moveset potential? I'm one of the few people in this thread who defends its inclusion because there's so very few characters capable of doing half the stuff it does.
I can dislike characters because I simply don't like them. If they're from a game I don't like, then I won't be thrilled that a game I don't like got included instead of one I do like. If I don't like how a character could work in Smash, them officially getting in won't make me change my mind. I know how Rex could work as I've seen many fans suggest the same ideas, but I don't find those ideas fun, not worthy of my precious 5.99. Would it be unique? Absolutely, but having to wait for Pyra and/or Mythra catch up with Rex to be able to fight effectively doesn't sound fun to me at all. If you can't dislike a character because you don't like them, don't like their game or don't like how they'd play in Smash, what good reason is there for someone to dislike a character? Movesets are important but the characters they're attached to are just as, if not, more important.

Not really, most people are more open to smaller franchises, because they like those games and characters.


I used PP specifically because it's one of my favourite examples of making a moveset out of nothing. Sakurai has made fully fledged fighters out of a literal toy, a yoga instructor, a dog that only ever laughs at you and more, so saying characters from highly beloved franchises don't have moveset potential is dishonest, unimaginative and hypocritical. Your whole post read as "You can't dislike characters I want, that's gatekeeping, I'm allowed to dislike characters you might want though, they don't have moveset potential". There's also examples of people not liking the movesets given to characters like say, Shulk, who plays drastically different from his source game, and not because it's a different genre. I just don't get how movesets are the end all be all but only for 'smaller' franchises like Mario and Pokemon whereas some large franchises suddenly don't have moveset potential because you said so without any examples because for what I can only assume is because you knew fans would go "uh no you can easily make a moveset from a character from Halo/RE/Tomb Raider/Madden Football, etc."
 

DarthEnderX

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Aren't you the guy who wants Arthur from Ghost 'n Goblins in Smash? Cause that game looks so brutally unfair I'd hesitate to even call it "good".
Very true. NES GnG isn't good. But I genuinely like Super Ghouls 'N Ghosts. As well as the Gargoyle's Quest games(which he reps the franchise).

By that logic every console and computer game before the 5th gen of consoles sucks because arcades existed and had better hardware.

Which is a weird point of view for a dude whose support list is just a bunch of NES characters.
Because technology doesn't make a game good. Mega Man 2 isn't nearly as advanced as arcade games at the time, and is still an amazing game. Not "for the time" or "on that platform". Just an amazing game. Full stop.

G&W games are not good games. And someone else made the implication that that badness should be forgiven because they were impressive at the time. But they weren't impressive at the time(I dunno if he thought G&W was way older than it was or what), but those games weren't good even compared against it's other video game contemporaries at the time.

Alright then, let’s list the series in the roster that have had at least one genuinely less-than-favorably received game.

So yeah, nearly every single series in the roster might as well get Thanos’d because they have bad games.
Literally the EXACT OPPOSITE of what I said. I said you should have to have at least ONE GOOD GAME to be in Smash. Not that one bad game should disqualify you from Smash.
 
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DaybreakHorizon

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Oh god I just realized we just got the Piranha Plant of this DLC cycle we haven't even had the Joker yet
Plant was likely intended for base game.

Furthermore, the two passes will likely not be analogous to one another in terms of picks. While Min Min is probably not the largest reveal this pass has to offer, I wouldn't go in expecting another Joker-tier reveal.
 

GoodGrief741

Smash Legend
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I'm not an MGS fan, but wouldn't the more fitting answer for "less than favorably received" game go to that most recent MGS game that tried to be a zombie game or whatever?
Thankfully that game was just a fever dream I had and never actually came out. Yep. All good.
Because technology doesn't make a game good. Mega Man 2 isn't nearly as advanced as arcade games at the time, and is still an amazing game. Not "for the time" or "on that platform". Just an amazing game. Full stop.

G&W games are not good games. And someone else made the implication that that badness should be forgiven because they were impressive at the time. But they weren't impressive at the time(I dunno if he thought G&W was way older than it was or what), but those games weren't good even compared aga
I'm sorry that the first handheld games ever are too primitive to your liking, but the sheer innovation that led to their existence is impressive.

As for whether they're good, well, Game & Watch games are still enjoyable today in a very pick-up-and-play manner. Of course, you can disagree, it's a matter of taste. But "G&W games were never technically impressive and are objectively bad" is just untrue.
 

cashregister9

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Furthermore, the two passes will likely not be analogous to one another in terms of picks. While Min Min is probably not the largest reveal this pass has to offer, I wouldn't go in expecting another Joker-tier reveal.
I could have worded the original way better
I meant to say that we still have 5 whole characters left and I got exhausted and excited
 

FJA147

Smash Cadet
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Oh god I just realized we just got the Piranha Plant of this DLC cycle we haven't even had the Joker yet
Yeah I had noticed that a bit because it lines up well. Min Min was a first party character out of left field like Piranha Plant. Then if your going by the rest of it you’ll get a big universal wanted third party character which could be Crash, Geno, or Rex which fits this spot. Then a highly requested character by the Japanese audience of smash. Probably Reimu or a tales character. After followed by another character highly requested character by smash Western audience who I think will be Master Chief, Steve, Dante, Doomslayer, or Shantae. This where I think they will change the role of the promotional character which will just be a reveal around December if they reveal a character in July and September. I think will be a Gen 8 Pokémon to promote the Frozen Tundra dlc. Then finally another character that I don’t know if it’s going to be a highly requested character or a niche character. I could be completely wrong in my thought and my character choices.
 

Cosmic77

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As of now, I'm pretty optimistic about this pass.

Personally, Min Min is my favorite DLC character so far. She feels WAY different from the rest of the roster, and I had some history with her game of origin prior to her announcement. I know most people would probably place her toward the bottom because ARMS isn't a big deal to them, but I'm more than satisfied with Min Min, even if she wasn't even my first or second choice.

Don't think I would've bought the pass just for her, but if I can get just one more character that brings just as much (or more) hype as Min Min, I'd consider this pass a win for me.
 

Calamitas

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I know how Rex could work as I've seen many fans suggest the same ideas, but I don't find those ideas fun, not worthy of my precious 5.99. Would it be unique? Absolutely, but having to wait for Pyra and/or Mythra catch up with Rex to be able to fight effectively doesn't sound fun to me at all.
Don't worry, for the perfectly accurate Xenoblade 2 experience Rex would have the slowest walking and running speed in the game. You know, to emulate how the characters move around at a crawl in battles in 2. So, no worries about having to wait until your Blade catches up!

Yes, Waluigi has a good shot this time.
Anniversary.png
 

Will

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Yes, Waluigi has a good shot this time.
It's not solely due to an anniversary date though, his 20th year really doesn't matter to the main team. You're just setting yourself up for disappointment if that's all you're clinging on.
 
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SharkLord

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Don't worry, for the perfectly accurate Xenoblade 2 experience Rex would have the slowest walking and running speed in the game. You know, to emulate how the characters move around at a crawl in battles in 2. So, no worries about having to wait until your Blade catches up!



View attachment 278411
^
If anniversaries truly meant anything, we would've gotten Min Min a week early. It was the perfect opportunity-The dates lined up so well, the fruit was practically on the ground... And they didn't take it. Not even a mention of an anniversary, except maybe the official ARMS Twitter. If Min Min's overview didn't drop on the anniversary, then none are going to.
 

ZelDan

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Soooo…what Spirit Event or tournament do you think will be announced this week?
"3rd party Extraganza!"

"In this super special spirit event we are going to feature popular characters from 3rd party companies including Capcom, Konami, Square Enix, and Namco! Even Microsoft is on board with this. you won't want to miss out on these dozens of spirits!" :4pacman:

Seriously though, imagine Sakurai dropping a bloodbath like this suddenly on a Tuesday night
 

Will

apustaja
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^
If anniversaries truly meant anything, we would've gotten Min Min a week early. It was the perfect opportunity-The dates lined up so well, the fruit was practically on the ground... And they didn't take it. Not even a mention of an anniversary, except maybe the official ARMS Twitter. If Min Min's overview didn't drop on the anniversary, then none are going to.
People were talking about how 2018 was Banjo's year because of a 20th anniversary. He showed up the year after. I don't know why people cling so hard to anniversary dates like they mean something. Like what, is being in Smash supposed to be a birthday gift or something? That's a pretty ****ty reason to add a character if you ask me.

Now something like the Octopath Traveler anniversary Spirit event makes sense, that's a way easier compromise.
 
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EricTheGamerman

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What does any of that have to do with sales and reception though?

Point I'm trying to make is that you can still get a very unique character despite people not liking the game they originated from. A lot of people didn't like the battle mechanics in XC2, but that doesn't mean Sakurai couldn't make someone like Rex a really fun and orginal character. SwSh is extremely controversial, but would a Gen 8 Pokemon's moveset suffer as a result? Probably not. More likely than not, they'd fit right in with the other ten Pokemon.

People should be able to understand by now that sales and the popularity of a game has very little effect on a character.
"There's a lot of great characters who probably don't get the recognition they deserve, and that's largely because people are focusing too hard on the game and not the character."

I was responding to that line of your post. The game absolutely matters a ton in the decision making process. Min Min was built around ARMS, Ryu, Ken, and Terry around traditional fighting game aspects, everything in the world for how Hero played ETC.

And it's just absolute bull**** to imply that sales and popularity of games don't matter or even matter "little." It's not a coincidence that Smash has traditionally focused on more successful recent series with a couple of rare passion projects dedicated to much more obscure options. It's not an accident that Smash has pushed certain series so hard as well. It's also not an accident that of every single Japanese video game series that has sold more than 30 million copies as a franchise outside of PES is in Smash with all but three playable (Tekken, Resident Evil, and Monster Hunter). Is it the sole deciding factor of a decision? Of course not! But you'd be incredibly foolish to imply it doesn't play a significant role. I mean, Dragon Quest and Castlevania are two immediate examples of franchises that Nintendo knew they wanted to include in Ultimate on the back of their popularity. They chose broad strokes of the franchises and then decided the actual representatives later. Inkling was absolutely made a priority for being a massively successful game first and foremost.
 

Will

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Soooo…what Spirit Event or tournament do you think will be announced this week?
Have they done the 2010s rendition of decade-theme events yet? Don't' know when it comes to deconfirms, they might bring in **** to celebrate the Pokemon DLC when the second half releases. Get all of the new Regis and legendaries out.
 
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CapitaineCrash

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Also about the "Anniversary theory" keep in mind that if there's a direct next week, the announcement there was most likely planned to be at e3 (June 12), so the date means nothing. I doubt Sakurai would be like "Cancel the next fighter, we're developing Waluigi because Nintendo changed the date of the direct and it would be so cool for it's anniversary".
 

DarthEnderX

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I'm sorry that the first handheld games ever are too primitive to your liking
For ****'s sake, dude. G&W didn't invent handheld electronic games. They'd already been around for 4 years before the first G&W game was created. Things don't just start existing only when Nintendo does them.

But "G&W games were never technically impressive and are objectively bad" is just untrue.
They are only impressive in the same sense that Super Mario Land or Castlevania Adventure are impressive. Which is to say "This is ONLY impressive because it is portable. It is worse in every other way than games in the same series from 3+ years earlier."

And, I'm sorry, but JUST BEING PORTABLE DOESN'T MAKE A GAME GOOD.
 
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3BitSaurus

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"3rd party Extraganza!"

"In this super special spirit event we are going to feature popular characters from 3rd party companies including Capcom, Konami, Square Enix, and Namco! Even Microsoft is on board with this. you won't want to miss out on these dozens of spirits!" :4pacman:

Seriously though, imagine Sakurai dropping a bloodbath like this suddenly on a Tuesday night
Sakurai: "For me... it was Tuesday."
 

SharkLord

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"3rd party Extraganza!"

"In this super special spirit event we are going to feature popular characters from 3rd party companies including Capcom, Konami, Square Enix, and Namco! Even Microsoft is on board with this. you won't want to miss out on these dozens of spirits!" :4pacman:

Seriously though, imagine Sakurai dropping a bloodbath like this suddenly on a Tuesday night
That'd be absolutely brutal, but it would present an interesting scenario that would radically shake up the speculation scene. It would really force us to stretch our speculations and go for some more out-there picks.

Here's my concept of what an event would look like. The idea is three Spirits per company, plus a little extra at the end.
  1. Dante
  2. Phoenix Wright
  3. Monster Hunter
  4. Bill Razer
  5. Pyramid Head
  6. Frogger
  7. Crono
  8. Lara Croft
  9. 2B
  10. Solaire of Astora
  11. Lloyd Irving
  12. Agumon
  13. Master Chief
  14. Steve?
  15. Rash
  16. Sora
As a bonus, we get a Geno Mii Costume out of nowhere as a free update. Isn't Nintendo nice, handing out new Miis for free?
There you go. Everyone (Well, most people, at least) is dead. How does the speculation scene look after the massacre? Who's left to crawl out of the ashes and rebuild?
 

Will

apustaja
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"3rd party Extraganza!"

"In this super special spirit event we are going to feature popular characters from 3rd party companies including Capcom, Konami, Square Enix, and Namco! Even Microsoft is on board with this. you won't want to miss out on these dozens of spirits!" :4pacman:

Seriously though, imagine Sakurai dropping a bloodbath like this suddenly on a Tuesday night
And somehow Geno isn't on that Spirit Board. And isn't in the Fighter's Pass 2. Isn't even a Mii Costume.
 

Will

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Probably an E3-tier reveal that would get me the most excited is Scorpion. I feel like that would be neat for introducing another FGC.
 

GoodGrief741

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For ****'s sake, dude. G&W didn't invent handheld electronic games. They'd already been around for 4 years before the first G&W game was created. Things don't just start existing only when Nintendo does them.
Yeah, I'm aware. And I'm also aware that you don't think the ones that came before Game & Watch are impressive either, so I don't see the point in this rebuttal.
They are only impressive in the same sense that Super Mario Land or Castlevania Adventure are impressive. Which is to say "This is ONLY impressive because it is portable. It is worse in every other way than games in the same series from 3+ years earlier."
So... They are impressive. Cool, you agree then. Being impressive for a specific reason doesn't diminish the merit.
And, I'm sorry, but JUST BEING PORTABLE DOESN'T MAKE A GAME GOOD.
Nah dog, Game & Watch games are just fun, that's why they're good, everything else is icing on the cake.
 

SpectreJordan

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Plant was likely intended for base game.

Furthermore, the two passes will likely not be analogous to one another in terms of picks. While Min Min is probably not the largest reveal this pass has to offer, I wouldn't go in expecting another Joker-tier reveal.
At this point, I don’t think it’d be possible to top the surprise of Joker. His reveal opened things up so that speculation covers a much wider spread of characters than before. The only thing that could top him is a Sony character & that’s not happening lol

Yeah I had noticed that a bit because it lines up well. Min Min was a first party character out of left field like Piranha Plant. Then if your going by the rest of it you’ll get a big universal wanted third party character which could be Crash, Geno, or Rex which fits this spot. Then a highly requested character by the Japanese audience of smash. Probably Reimu or a tales character. After followed by another character highly requested character by smash Western audience who I think will be Master Chief, Steve, Dante, Doomslayer, or Shantae.
Dante’s pretty highly requested in Japan too from the looks of it. He’d be a pick to appeal to both sides instead of just the West.
 

LiveStudioAudience

Smash Master
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I will say that there's characters that I think would be huge deals within the general public when revealed at E3 vs. something I'd be thrilled about at the event.

For the larger public:
-Crash
-Master Chief
-Sora
-Dante
-Solaire of Astora
-2B
-Doomslayer
-Minecraft Steve

For me:
-Dixie Kong
-Bandanna Dee
-Geno
-Tails
-Rayman
-Amaterasu
-Terra Branford
 
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