OK, time for me to pitch in. It took me a while to get a grasp on everything, my apologies again. I would appreciate any corrections people can make if I missed things or misunderstood. This is my second mafia game, and the conditions and logic are rather different.
First, thoughts on the logic. If I'm not misunderstanding; the game ends when the mafia dies, and the team with the most members win. If this is the case, Cartoon Voice Actors wants to lynch scum, and Meat Handlers want to lynch Cartoon Voice Actors. However, Cartoon Voice Actors wouldn't mind lynching a Meat Handlers' power role if they can, since an elimination challenge or scum votes could potentially make or break their lead position right now. Correct?
Thus, much standard mafia logic goes out the window. "Kill scum" isn't necessarily optimal play for a large portion of the town right now, since it
might literally cause them to lose on the spot. "Lynch All Liars" as mafia logic also goes out the window, since claiming a power role for either team means half the town now wants to lynch you in addition to the mafia members wanting to kill you.
Overswarm's post here:
I'm not discussing anything about anyone's team color. I'm hunting mafia. You should too. We can discuss your colors when mafia is dead.
either means he hasn't realized this himself, or is CVA and hoping Meat Handlers won't realize this. And I suspect a lot of players haven't grasped this yet.
Everyone who currently has had their team revealed is currently a lynch target by the other team as well as a NK target by the mafia (as everyone who HASN'T revealed the team is a scum suspect).
Have I been incorrect yet?
Next, thoughts on plays through the game.
These are ordered in the order I started taking notes on each player in my notepad document, usually based on the first point at which the user became noticeable to me in the thread.
Overswarm ***** D1, but a bit too overconfident in his own abilities; I didn't get the sense that he's grasping the logic changes necessary for this game from the quote I posted above and some of his other posts. He's just scumhunting and not giving focus to win conditions.
Gheb is the scummiest player in the game. Unfortunately, he seems to also have been confirmed blue early on in the game by describing the color of his role PM. It is possible that this was a gambit; it's not even that risky, because it was a fairly logical statement, and no one on the blue team wants to confirm to everyone else what team he was on. Still, it's a risk, and not a risk Gheb seems like one to take, so the likelyhood is that he is still blue team.
When I say he is the scummiest player, I mean: His logic doesn't always seem to benefit his team, and he refuses to give good answers to questions posted his way. SSBF was very accusing towards him, and Gheb refused to address what SSBF was asking.
Frozenflame behaved oddly on D1. He defended Kirbyoshi and aggressively questioned everyone who was pushing for Kirbyoshi's lynch. He also went out and agreed with everyone who was suggesting not lynching Kirbyoshi, which was SSBF and TDA. His play outside of D1 is fine...but D1 is suspicious.
http://www.smashboards.com/showpost.php?p=10638638&postcount=132
Sir Bedevere on D1 behaves oddly as well. He jumps on the "agree with Overswarm" bandwagon, but tries to agree with Overswarm while suggesting not killing Kirbyoshi.
http://www.smashboards.com/showpost.php?p=10640538&postcount=159
This actually strikes me as
more scummy than Frozenflame; scum love jumping on bandwagons. This post lets him go with the public view while not actually contributing his vote, letting him float under the radar. I don't like it.
ThePaprikaKiller seems to fly under the radar by not posting very much, but his posts aren't particularly offensive; nor do they contribute. ThePaprikaKiller is now
me, and my playstyle tends to be rather aggressive scumhunting; so expect a bit of a reversal here. That said, the mechanics of this game throw me off; because as I said, my style is aggressive scumhunting, but scumhunting isn't always the optimal style of play depending on your team situation.
Thedocsalive seems to advocate the Kirbyoshi lynch...but makes one strange statement that I don't understand:
If Kirbyoshi flips town, it does more to confirm OS in my head as town than make me suspicious of him. xD
I dunno if he shares a Mason with OS and wants to back OS as the town hero, or if he's scum and wants to bandwagon on the "praise OS" bandwagon.
Sworddancer, I...seem to be having a hard time getting a read on. I somehow managed to get to page 12-13 and discovered I didn't take a single note related to him. :/
Now, Adumbrodeus claims to be a CVA roleblocker. Summoner, a MH power role. Gheb, CVA.
Riddle's big post seems to make it obvious that he's not Meat Handlers; he could be CVA or scum. It's a pretty dumb post regardless; if he's Meat Handlers, and mafia listen to him, he screws his team over; if he's CVA, he just revealed his identity, making him a lynch target AND a NK target. And he's now a suspect to be investigated as scum, if he is scum.
Xonar's reply:
Riddle did you just claim to be non-green?
Tells us that he's either green, or he's blue and
not in the masonry. (Or scum)
As to the events of last night, we know Adumbrodeus is CVA and is in the masonry as he stated, and he accidentally roleblocked a fellow teammate. The question is if scum was roleblocked, or their target was protected. The CVA protector is dead, which means he was either protected by the Meat Handlers (which means the mafia probably tried to kill a meat handler, as protecting a CVA player would be stupid!), OR, the roleblocker correctly identified a member of the mafia.
I think this is our best lead:
Either:
A: Meat Handler's Interrupter knows who the scum is, right now
or
B: The Mafia tried to kill off a member of the Meat Handler's team last night.
If scenario A, we will probably not find out; it is against Meat Handler's best interests to reveal the scum right now, unless the elimination challenge kills off a CVA member, in which case revealing the scum results in a tie game?
I need to keep thinking on this and see if I can pick out the best course of action.
@ Mod/Chibo, if the last Scum is lynched and the teams are tied, who wins?