Yeah Crash was always likely/had a good shot. But with the new game leaked, some people here are acting like he's practically confirmed at this point.
The new game literally does nothing for his chances, tons of characters get new games all the time. He's still just as likely as before, and in Smash terms likely means something like a 50-60% chance to get in.
I'm more of the thought that Geno is more likely to be 8 then 7. While Geno is highly requested, it isn't on the level of the likes of Ridley/Banjo and he's still "nicher" than them in the grand scheme of things. I think the next character on
that level is Waluigi, but I dunno if he'll get in. If he does, then I'd think Geno is pretty unlikely due to being another Mario rep. My bets are on Rayman/Crash/ to be revealed at E3 this year (maybe a potential Rex, especially if the character ends up being Springman).
EDIT: That is to say if we do get an "E3" reveal this year. Who even knows at this point.
Friend sent me this:
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Crash still has a shot, but it does hurt my confidence a bit.