Alright, so i'm going to bring something to your guys' attention that I found a bit interesting
I'm gonna tag
Fatmanonice
here but hopefully he won't mind. He's pretty much always been the "head-honcho" of this thread and I feel like he'd be interested in this stuff as it could add to some of his theories, namely that Six would've already been released, in April, by now.
So we all know how the surprise Mario Maker 2 update was announced yesterday out of absolutely nowhere. In that trailer, it had a Super Mario Bros. 2 mushroom for the Super Mario Bros. style, a SMB2 style was something that was highly fan requested from the Mario Maker community. Most of the other stuff in that trailer was similarly of the "high requested" variety. Koopalings, Worldmap Maker, new Powerups. Things people thought wouldn't get into the game but somehow did. Ironically, new game styles was one of the things people DID expect to get into the game, and even though it didn't happen in the end, it seems like that might've not always been the case.
https://twitter.com/imranzomg/status/1252420215767351297
Futhermore, Imran himself, in a resetera thread discussing said Mario Maker 2 update, went on to say that he was "speculating" this and the new Mario Kart Tour update that added some builder costumes to the game would've originally been planned for a larger event during this month that would've focused exclusively on Mario. Interestingly, this backs up some previous claims from NateDrake, who said to expect an April event of some sort before he later backtracked on it and said plans had changed due to COVID complications.
NateDrake then went ahead and backed Imran's statement, probably meaning that the statement itself wasn't really "speculation". I notice that resetera insiders tend to do this a lot when they want to report on rumors they heard but not have said rumors be latched onto by marking them as speculation.
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(as a recap, nate had been hinting at some sort of April announcement for a while, before backing down a few weeks ago when he believed said event was cancelled)
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I think this could possibly pertain to Smash DLC as this would've been prime time to announce a Mario character, be it Geno, Waluigi, whatever, in a Mario Direct.
A counter argument would be that the first character would not even have been specified yet, but as Fatman clarified, he believes six was originally meant to be an April release which could have put it ahead of this "hypothetical" Mario Direct.
After Nate spilled the beans, Imran seemed to clarify that said announcements in this hypothetical direct have been spread out over time, some delayed
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Make what you will of this, but I thought it was worth posting. Imran is pretty credible and i'm sure most of us have talked about Nate one point or another.