I was thinking this. Am I right?
Given the fact that our boy has the Mushroom Logo as a Spirit, it means that they acknowledge him as part of the Mario saga. I thought for example that Geno can be independent, like Yoshi or Wario who has their own logos/sagas, their own autonomy, but that is because those 2 are their own heroes in their own worlds, not like Geno, who is a Side Character, but with the Mario logo. What I mean, is that Geno totally makes sense with the Mushroom logo, being part of Mario’s world; rather than having a SMRPG logo, which I thought before.
Also, correct me if I’m wrong, but Reggie said that DLC Fighter Pass would be people from Non-Represented sagas, maybe characters from sagas that aren’t Assists, Spirits and Fighters currently, of course.
With that being said, Geno couldn’t be part of the FP cause he is already “represented”, same way for example Skull Kid, Knuckles, Shadow, and thousand more. With that logic: Joker, Hero and Banjo brought completely new material to the game.
So my point is, probably Geno (if we take Reggie literally), not gonna be part of the FP; cause he is already represented (being from Mario saga, and/or being a spirit). Others could say that he can be DLC character 4 or 5 from SMRPG own world, which I doubt cause he has the Mario logo in his spirit, so Smash already recognize him as part of Mario World, where he belongs.
Said that, actually for me is way more probably that our boy will be announced as a BONUS DLC (in between characters) or maybe after the Pass; to begin (Plant) and conclude (Geno) the DLC with Mario characters.
In conclusion, I still think our boy will be a FIGHTER, but not in the Fighter Pass. Sakurai is saving Geno for the last moment to close the roster. It wouldnt make sense to announce him after Banjo or in a couple of weeks. They have to overcome the previous characters and I think that ONLY GENO has that power now
I think that our boy has so much in his favor like never before: story demand, claimed songs and lack of Mii costume. I don’t think that Spirits deconfirm, I just think that he fits better (under Reggie words) as a Fighter from Mario Saga, so after the Pass. I think the only thing that would kill Geno, is adding the costume later; but now, he is more alive than ever
EDIT: English is not my first language.