here are some sales numbers for Rhythm heaven
2006 | GBA | Rhythm Tengoku | 0.22 | |
2008 | NDS | Rhythm Heaven | 3.04 | |
2011 | Wii | Rhythm Heaven Fever | 0.89* | |
2015 | 3DS | Rhythm Heaven Megamix | 1.00 | |
there are a few things to note here
1 Rhythm Heaven Megamix came out WW a the year after it released in japan
2 Tengoku is exclusive to Japan
3 Megamix is digital only outside of Europe and Japan
4 Europe is a surprisingly strong market for Rhythm Heaven
5 Fever was a post 2010 Wii game so abysmal sales are to be expected
6 A switch entry would do 5mil unless it really sucks and no growth is achieved
7 the games are cheaper to produce so none of them were big failures relatively
8 As of April 2020 there was no new game in production, at least no production with Tsunku but he is the main person behind the series so I doubt Nintendo would work without him
9 Visibility for the serious has increased tremendously since Megamix
10 Dev cycle isn't too long for the game
11 A smash bros character could do wonders for a potential new entry coming soon
12 The series has had a Smash character who was scrapped from the game in the end
im going to ask what are the chances for a RH rep based on all of this?
I personally think if we are going to get a new 1st party franchise for characters it would be Rhythm Heaven.