Or maybe I'm just more observant than you?
Go ahead Bardull, enlighten me. Fill in the gaps in this game. Tell me who is what alignment right now, and why they're acting the way they are.
This is such a broad question and it would take me more than an entire day to answer completely, so I'm not going to bother with it. However, I will try to explain Kary's intent toDay though and why I feel he needs to get lynched above pretty much anyone else at this point.
Coming right out of the gate, Kantrip asks Sword what Kary's alignment is, as seen here:
Oh damn you are correct. I was just looking at Jdietz on the living players list and thinking of him in terms of PoE not remembering any actions, and I was remembering Bardull's actions.
That makes it a lot easier (otherwise I would be kicking myself for not picking Jdietz with my NA).
Circus wasn't on me? Circus, explain.
Swords, tell me what alignment Kary is.
Kary if you have results hold onto them please.
However, Kantrip doesn't indicate that he has used an ability yet on Kary. One can argue that the post immediately following Kantrip's question of Sword is indicative that Kantrip may have targeted Kary (Kantrip's thought process goes from asking Sword what Kary's alignment is to asking Kary not to out his results yet), however Kantrip had yet to claim and thus Kantrip's investigation of Kary was still not easily predictable for Kary to prevent.
This may have hinted to Kary as well that something was up between Kantrip and Sword WRT the Kary slot, but again, Kantrip's investigative result wasn't completely obvious and was in fact shrouded in a degree of uncertainty.
It depends. Does poison kill at the end of the next Night phase, or in the regular place where Kills occur in the NAR?
But yeah, it was.
Confirmation. Nothing obvious.
This could have raised red flags from Kary's point of view, which suggests that OS' theory of Kary somehow planning this all out (Kary being scum with Kantrip/Sword seems impossible at this point however) is legitimate and he really IS trying to get himself lynched to secure the win for scum, however the following posts are more indicative of the fact that Kary was trying to play away from Kantrip's guilty claim:
i'm too drunk for this ****.
when i first saw the flip i thought it was a joke... then i re-read what J said and thought we'd lost already.
i'm fine holding onto my results for the time being
I'm a little surprised that Kary didn't react to Sword calling him scum here. Seems a little off. Was Kary really drunk? He may have actually been drunk or feigning ignorance, but Sword is in something of a power position in Town as he has verifiable Voyeur results in accordance with other players from what I can remember, so Sword's assertion of Karyscum should have been considered an immediate threat. If we assume Sword is Town though, the most likely scenarios occurring is that either Kary couldn't necessarily stand up to an accusation from Sword as a result of Sword's positioning, Kary really was drunk, or Kary was feigning confidence and ignoring Sword's assertion.
Kary I take that back, out your results now. It's fine that you're drunk, it doesn't involve any thinking (unless you're scum).
Circus has some explaining to do wrt his Night Action choices.
Kantrip asks Kary to out his results. Of course, Kary is not aware that Kantrip has a guilty on him, so unless Kary is The Mentalist, Kary can't foresee that Kantrip/Sword have a guilty on him as a result of Kantrip investigating Kary. This means that Kary could not have predicted that Kantrip investigated him, and thus Kary's initial motive walking into Day 6 did NOT involve Kary committing suicide. I will further elaborate on this point in the following:
hmm
no-one visited me last night
Oh snap. Hard body time. There's really not much to say here. Kary's role is fake (as we all know at this point), so Kary could not have known with any sense of certainty how many people checked him. Personally, I would have looked at the red flag raised by Sword and said "OMFG SOMETHING'S UP" and perhaps tried something gutsy, but Kary didn't. I'm pretty much chopping it up to be either Kary really was drunk (lol) or he did not have the foresight to avoid the play that was coming towards him.
Joker stfu you are scum.
Kary is lying.
THE CALLOUT.
if kanty is town
what the **** is going on
This is the part where I'm certain my theory regarding Kary is correct. Kary suggests here that it's possible Kantrip is scum and feigns that he has absolutely no idea what's going on. Of course, this is the only strong play Kary can make as a result of not having the foresight to predict Kantrip investigating him. The only true solution to the problem here is for Kary to force a trade situation between himself and Kantrip and hopefully getting Kantrip lynched as a result before Kary himself is lynched the following Day.
Now I can explain my role.
As you've already seen my flip, you know what I'm called.
Town Consulting Detective.
The Detective part is a standard cop. The Consulting part is the part I didn't want to explain yesterDay.
Instead of receiving my results, they go to players that target me in the same Night. Hence me asking Circus for Kary's alignment at first, only to find out from Swords that he didn't target me, and a kill did instead. Whomever poisoned me also got the result (I'd laugh if it was Kary and he gets a PM telling him he is mafia). So since Swords targeted me, he gets the result of who I visited. I targeted Kary (with confirmation that my action went through), and Kary says he wasn't visited. Not only this, but Swords got my result, and Kary is mafia.
Joker trying to discredit me right now is disgusting. I was targeted with a Kill and am dying by poison apparently, Joker. Treat me as clear for the Day or go **** yourself.
@Swords: OS getting targeted with a kill is hard for me to explain. With so many swingy things in this game there IS an explanation, I just don't want to try to come up with it because the chance of me actually getting it right is slim to none.
Not much to say here. Kantrip explains his role and explains why Kary must be, without a doubt, scum.
swords i take it you did receive a pm of some description
kanty you get confirmation that your action went through? how so?
Kary begins to question the legitimacy of Kantrip's claim. This is the only play Kary can make as scum as a result of Kary committing himself to claiming that he was visited by NO ONE. This is because, as scum, his only two options include feigning ignorance and instilling the seeds of doubt in Kantrip's claim, because to do anything else is to essentially throw his hands up in the air without putting up a fight, which is to directly go against his win condition in the first place. This wasn't some kind of pre-planned ridiculous play as OS suggests, but rather Kary had committed himself to no one having visited him and followed up accordingly with how scum would have followed up.
I got a note last Night saying that Kary is mafia.
This is confirmation of Kantrip's claim.
what about OS shooting safely? presumably if OS could shoot safely toNight he could've done so last night. so why didn't he?
the hell's going on already. kanty, who's scum?
Feigning ignorance whilst questioning Kantrip. What other choice does he have at this point?
I want to make a note here Kary HAS NOT thrown his hands up in the air yet and subsequently given himself up to a lynch. He is still fighting here as seen in this post. The assertion that Kary had every intention of selling himself off toDay is completely ridiculous and makes absolutely no sense when you consider the intent in his play leading up to the coup de grace.
The reason I chose Kary over JTB or other question marks/possible scum is because I would be able to check if his ability is real as well as giving someone else a result on him.
Swords' reaction to me asking for Kary's alignment says to me that he did receive my result, confirming he targeted me as well as confirming I targeted Kary. Kary saying no one visited him is a lie from Kary. Swords' result saying Kary is mafia came BEFORE this lie, and serves to reinforce it.
There is a 0% chance of Kary getting out of this. Joker, that was when you should have started bussing. You've sealed your own fate as well.
There is no discrepancy, there is no inconsistency, there is no question.
Swords targeted me, not Kary.
He got the result on Kary because of my role.
Nothing was interfered with.
Further elaboration and repetition from Kantrip. *brofist* SuperScumKary must be scum, yada yada.
aight there is way too much **** going on. beginning to think my role may be bogus if kanty did visit me, because it looks like the only alternative is kanty being scum, which makes his J vote yesterday hella weird. regardless, don't like his play today, too rushed. but whatever.
Kary feigns ignorance and IS STILL PLAYING TO HIS WIN CONDITION AT THIS POINT IN TIME. He is not throwing himself off a cliff intentionally at this point in time. There is no miracle scum play at work here. And now, for the coup de grace:
Hey, guys. I logged in just long enough to get my NA's and skim some ****.
I decided to investigate Kary last Night because he had been an itch I'd been wanting to scratch for while and J's flip (another recruiting role?!) had made me wary of listening to Kantrip.
My results were that Kary is a female who does not go to Yasogami High School. I'm not sure if that fits with Kary's claim or not yet because I don't remember what he claimed, but it sounds like Kary's claiming that no one visited him last Night, which is a flat out lie.
I can tell I'm definitely going to need to do some rereading.
Also, I really ****ing thought I had Jscum yesterday (which we technically did, but not the way I thought). THIS. ****ING. GAME.
I'll get more into this in a bit when I get a chance to really read the thread and organize my thoughts, but I think it goes without saying that we need to start planning out our final moves here. Kary's looking like a good option toDay already, but I encourage everyone to chill for a second and read before anybody casts a vote.
Kantrip, can you tell me what your plan was when you asked me to target you yesterDay? Maybe you've already answered this; I haven't read thoroughly yet. I just want to know what the strategy was.
Circus claims to have investigated Kary. That's TWO discrepancies in Kary's claim. Without much choice, and with Circus/Sword/Kantrip/Myself looking at Kary with pitchforks and torches, Kary figures out that he can no longer feign ignorance/potentially undermine Kantrip's role any longer because he'd have to undermine Circus as well, OR he'd have to write up a compelling novel about how Sword/Circus/Kantrip must be scum together. However, this is pretty much impossible at this point because Kantrip was confirmed Town but then revived by an Indy, the same Indy that was forced into a you/me situation with Circus (Circus claimed guilty on J/Ran). This means that Circus CAN NOT be scum aligned with Kantrip unless there was some BS alignment change that occurred between yesterDay and toDay because Circus being scum with J/Ran would be absolutely ******** at this point. Finally, Sword has verifiable Voyeur actions according to other players and is in pretty high standing as Town. This is mostly why I find OS' assertion of Kary making some kind of miracle play highly unlikely, and that it's a thousand times more likely that Kary realized he could not weave a compelling enough tale to discredit Circus/Sword/Kantrip while also under the pressure of myself.
ok. spent so long thinking about this. here's how this goes down. i'm
Shadowy Shadow Skipdiddly-do Mitsuru of Shadows, Shadow Ice-Executioner
toDay i'm kingmaker
i'm tired of this game.
mafia, would you like to win right now? if so please vote swords. this obviously involves trusting me, so ehh.
i think that's everything?
This is the white flag. However, Kary's claim doesn't even begin to make sense for a couple reasons. The first reason is that Sword has a MAFIA guilty on Kary, that's numero uno. Secondly, Kary advocating to help the mafia win on the premise of Kary being an Indy doesn't even begin to make sense either. If there IS scum intent here, perhaps he's trying to rush the lynch? I'm a little confused though at why he chose Sword. At first I sensed that Kary was intentionally trying to wifom against Sword, because to go for Sword at this point is odd considering Kary was initially gunning for OS...I don't really know what to make of this play at all, really.
Kary you tramp, you're forcing me to make a judgement call.
My result said that you're mafia Kary, but you're claiming indy.
If you're telling the truth, then town has lost this game. We need to quick lynch you. I can't risk that you're lying.
Vote: Kary
@Everyone: Executioner cuts the votes required to lynch by half. If Kary is actually executioner, then it will only take three votes to lynch me.
This bugged the crap out of me because Sword disregards Kantrip's Mafia guilty on Kary. I don't really know what this means either. If Sword's is Town, then he was either being silly or he did not trust Kantrip at that point in time.
You're gonna believe a floundering condemned scummie over the result you got and try to rush the lynch?
Don't worry so hard, Swords. He's just trapped in a corner and trying to do whatever he can to help his team before his death. Don't make that easier for him.
JTB did you get something as a result? I never really understood how your role works.
These are my thoughts exactly. o_O.
(Quickly on another note, @Kantrip, do you think it's possible that Kary is aligned with Sword? I don't remember EVERYTHING that's happened, but there are a few things that are bugging me. Not to seem like I'm spreading FUD and potentially setting myself up to gun for Sword, but his reaction to Kary just feels off.)
ah wait, no, sorry.
i'm probably not the indy in this scenario, am I? That would probably be OS.
If I was indy and he was mafia, this game would be over. two votes on me confirms it.
I'm Shadow Mitsuru, Mafia Traitor Ice-Executioner
Can we please kill someone already? OS is probably the safest shot in case he has a kill, but hell, i'd love to stab Swords in the back right now.
this game should be OVER! :D
"Stab Sword in the back." I really don't understand why he picked SWORD above anyone else, especially when Sword has fairly good positioning. This is mostly why I've begun to suspect Sword just a bit, alongside the fact that July died as a result of Sword's presumed Voyeur ability. If you guys recall, everyone Sword has targeted has also been targeted by a kill ability...I THINK. OS, July, and Kantrip come to mind IIRC.
Either way, the entirety of my case in a nutshell is that Kary is without a doubt the play toDay, and anyone suggesting that he isn't (OS) needs to jump off a proverbial cliff. Kary's intent going into toDay was to, after claiming no one visited him, feign ignorance and attempt to undermine the legitimacy of Kantrip's role. After Circus claimed that he also visited Kary, alongside pressure from myself and Kantrip/Circus/Sword, felt that he had no other choice but to surrender and potentially spread FUD and WIFOM. He may or may not be intentionally distancing himself from Sword, but I'm not entirely certain.
OS, I can't even begin to understand why you're trying to trust Kary at his word. He is CONFIRMED SCUM. Jesus.
This needs to be reiterated.