I told you, I don't dislike Geno. I just find that his chances are next to non-existant. And if you really think that I am wrong, then give me a reason to be wrong, instead of saying I am wrong, and not really backing it up. Tell me why Geno had more to do with the plot of the GAME and not just his own story line.
Geno's chances and disadvantages
Before this discussion carries on any longer, I want to clarify something: Geno does not have a 100% chance of being in this game and those that believe he does are just too swept up in the moment.
As the situation stands, he will either be playable or he won't show up at all. Why? Because he's technically third party and there'd be no point in just having him as an AT especially when 1. the Mario franchise already has two, 2. there has already been 18 ATs confirmed and 7 of the already confirmed represented franchises like Zelda and DK don't even have one yet, 3. how there are tons of smaller franchises that Nintendo hasn't yet tapped into yet.
Now, here's what Geno has going for him:
1. The 5 mentions in Sakurai's journal
2. SMRPG being the most requested VC game in both North America and Japan since it was basically first announced.
3. SMRPG's director now working for Nintendo as the founder of the second party, Alpha Dream. (The man who is presumed responsible for getting Geno into Mario and Luigi: Super Star Saga)
4. Pretty much a moveset given to the developers on a silver platter.
5. His appearance in both the 2001 Melee poll and the 2006 Brawl poll.
6. Nintendo offically classifying him as a Mario character rather then third party. (Geno only has appeared in Mario games)
7. Nintendo having the upper hand when it comes to Geno's legal situation and thus making him much easier to obtain then other third party characters.
8. Him being the only original Mario RPG character besides Fawful, Bow and Parakarry to appear in more then one game and play some sort of role.
9. Yoko Shimomura (the composer who did the music for both SMRPG and M&L:SS) being one of the composers for Brawl.
10. Nintendo and Square Enix being on good terms especially when you consider they've made two joint projects in the past year and there are a ton of SE games on the way for the DS and Wii.
Here's what Geno has going against him:
1. Square Enix still having the power to say no if Nintendo refuses whatever "rental agreement" SE might establish.
2. The chance that Nintendo/Sakurai won't even bother asking Square Enix in the first place.
3. His overall obscurity. (Which Sakurai likes)
That's basically the situation laid out in black and white. Granted, 2 doesn't seem likely since the situation is basically win-win for both companies (Nintendo gets to use a wanted character and SE makes some money for a character that's basically worthless to them) and 3 really isn't a factor considering how the likes of the Ice Climbers and Mr. Game and Watch have come back from the "dead." Number one is the biggest concern and if Geno was completely first party, I'd probably bump his chances to 85%. The ultimateum of whether or not Square Enix will agree to the deal is what ultimately will decide if Geno makes it in or not. Granted, this is the situation with all third party characters but it should be noted despite Geno's legal situation being somewhat different.
So there you have it. I think with all this said, I think our reasons for supporting this character and beliefs that he has a decent chance are well founded and don't dive into sheer fanboyism like some people suggest.