well so far I understand what you are trying to say as to why the match will play out the way it does, but if you dont mind can you give us a little insight into your character, like common tactics, common traps you tend to use, specific techniques you employ, frequently used moves, things like that.
so far I do know that with the reduced hit stun, if you hit them with certain moves, they will z air out of hit stun early and if their positioning is right, they can tether the ledge right out of hit stun, and it allows them to quickly counter attack from the ledge.