Did someone say ARGUMENT? I love those!
I'm pretty sure the statement about the leak that ruffled Square Enix's feathers was made around the same time Spawn Wave hinted at Sora. Don't quote me on that though. Which leak do you believe it was?
Well, I've been thinking hard about it for a while, and to me the only thing that makes sense is the LeakyPandy rumor. Yes, I know they are not credible, but I personally don't think being wrong before means you're going to be wrong forever. I'm not saying I believe it, but it does line up pretty well with what we know so far. I'll try to explain what I mean:
- I believe it lines up perfectly with the supposed leak happening around September/October, and the rumor itself was very quickly dismissed due to the person (people?) it came from, so most everyone just sort of overlooked it and threw it in the trash right away. People don't trust LeakyPandy, and I'm sure it's for very good reason. I don't know enough about them to really have an opinion myself.
- Spawn Wave claimed something similar. I actually hear that he claimed it first and that LeakyPandy is just taking Spawn Wave's rumor and spouting it as their own. Though, if that were the case, I don't see why LeakyPandy would add stuff to it that wasn't in the original rumor. If the rumor turns out being true, but nothing they added to it did, then it would just worsen their reputation when they could have just played it safe by claiming exactly what SW said and leaving it at that. If they're lying and trying to ride the success of someone else's rumor, then they aren't being very smart about it. I get the impression that they're trying to better their poor reputation, so I would think they wouldn't want to take an insane risk like that. This makes me think that LP and SW probably received this information from different sources.
- The information in the "leak" seemed to be rather specific and odd if it were all just made up. Saying things like
"The plan is having the reveal ride the hype of the franchise being awarded as best in genre this year",
"Marketing is concerned the game will stay just as a nominee due to possible resistance from the jury as a political move against the game", and
"historically, Game Awards judges have favored U.S. made games, so uncertainty rises as what could get nominated in this category is somewhat loose so, while nomination of the franchise is very much guaranteed, the award isn't" doesn't sound like info someone would make up just because. It reads like it's from someone involved in SE's marketing or maybe even someone involved in setting up the VGAs or something like that. It kind of paints this picture that they want to make the announcement of this franchise's arrival into Smash a pretty big deal. If they really want to hype up DQ and its entry into smash, info like this leaking out would definitely upset the company. It's not the strongest argument, but it's something to consider, I think.
- I once saw someone on here say that it's probably fake because making a DQ announcement at what's mostly a "western focused event" would be weird, or something along those lines. However, to me, this makes the rumor seem even more risky for someone to put out. Especially LeakyPandy who seems to want to improve their image, I think. DQ is a very risky franchise to hint at being in Smash for various reasons, especially for someone who wants to appear legitimate and hopefully seem right due to a lucky guess or something. To hint that a DQ character will be announced at the Game Awards of all things, it just doesn't seem like a smart thing for a fake leaker to do. This tells me that they may have actually heard this info from somewhere, and that they truly believe it whether it tuns out being true or false. Due to the circumstances surrounding it at the moment, I'm starting to think that there may be some truth to it, even if some of it is wrong.
- I believe Vergeben pointed out how they knew that a Square Enix character would be DLC before that had even been confirmed to be the case. This probably doesn't mean anything, but it's still interesting to note. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't believe even Vergeben was sure if the SE rep was DLC or not. It could be argued that they just took Spawn Wave's rumor, but I already explained why I'm doubtful that this is the case.
- Lastly, it has yet to be proven false. In fact, they actually got Skull Kid not being playable right. The closest it's gotten to being disproved so far is Skull Kid not being a boss, but instead an AT. However, Rathalos proves that it is indeed possible to be both, so it'd be impossible to confirm it right or wrong until someone plays through "World of Light" and finds out.
It's all very interesting, but the main thing holding it back is LeakyPandy's track record. It really gets me thinking, but I'll admit that I'm someone who's always overthinking things. It's probably nothing and they're just playing with my poor DQ-loving heart.
Sorry for the long-winded post.
I hope I don't anger anyone by entertaining the thought that LP
could be right, even though they're not credible.