Axel Stone
18.38% Chance - 64.14% Want
Winner of predictions was
DrifloonEmpire
with 17.32%
Concept: Civilization series stage with music (Standalone)
0.92% Chance - 38.29% Want
Winner of predictions was
Sari
with a near-exact 0.95%
This is the concept with the lowest chance ever.
Concept: Gen 8 Pokémon
31.31% Chance - 25.44% Want
First time we rated this it got 10.49% chance and 16.16% want. We did know about Joker by this point in time and first party characters were looking unlikely, but this and Three Houses were still the boogeymen of speculation. Last time we rated this it got 12.73% chance and 17.89% want, which was between E3 and Terry's reveal. This was a low point for first parties but its chances went up - maybe it was because marketing was heating up and people were getting to know the contenders, but the release date seemed prime for FP5 to take the shill spot. As you can see, both scores soared since. Want is self-explanatory, the games themselves came out and some people grew fond of some of its characters. As for chance, these are comparable to Edelgard's pre-Joker rating, so I'd say we're in a similar situation where people are expecting Nintendo characters and promotional picks - and ARMS out of the gate not only seemed to confirm that, but also that being old news is no issue. I find it wild that the concept got its highest score ever after a Spirit Event, but ah well...
Winners of predictions were
Jomosensual
and
BowserKing
with a precise 30.00%
This is still the least wanted concept.
Concept: Level-5 rep
38.33% Chance - 71.67% Want
Winner of predictions was
Ridrool64
with 37.75%
Earthworm Jim
5.06% Chance - 30.00% Want
Winner of predictions was
DanganZilla5
with a precise 6.00%
Concept: DLC music packs
1.57% Chance - 76.95% Want
Winner of predictions was
Sari
with 1.50%
Twintelle
25.68% Chance - 48.94% Want
Winner of predictions was
Calamitas
with 27.86%
A lot of you seem to hate Twintelle, which was surprising to me given her status as the favorite of the non-ARMS fan. Hype backlash, or sympathy towards ARMS fans and their choices? Aside from that, the common consensus seemed to be that having hair ARMS is a killing blow to her chances.
Byte & Barq
1.42% Chance - 44.50% Want
Winner of predictions was
Calamitas
with 1.32%
Byte & Barq take Master Mummy's spot as the least likely ARMS fighters.
Kid Cobra
4.64% Chance - 42.58% Want
Winners of predictions were
Perkilator
and
Sari
with a precise 5.00%. Fun fact, the runner up was Calamitas, which means they almost swept the triple day.