ToiseOfChoice
Smash Ace
Here's what I see happening:
[Super Mario Bros.]
Mario
Luigi
Peach
Bowser
Yoshi
- The core group, no need to add to this (and putting anyone else on equal billing with the classic team seems off). If there was a new addition, it'd be Bowser Jr., but I get the feeling Sakurai likes it this way.
- Yoshi kinda counts as a part of this, so I'm putting him here.
[Wario Land/WarioWare]
Wario
Captain Syrup/Mona - decent chance, Mona more likely due to Sakurai probably not knowing anything about Wario Land
- Seems like Sakurai is completely unfamiliar with Wario Land, so my guess is:
1. he takes Mona because of WarioWare's popularity
2. he takes Captain Syrup on the basis that Mona fighting is "out of character" like Animal Crossing, and actually recognizes Wario Land this time around
3. he takes neither because A) he doesn't feel the series is that popular/recognizable or B) he doesn't think Mona should fight and it turns out he's never heard of Captain Syrup
[Donkey Kong]
Donkey Kong
Diddy Kong
Dixie Kong - decent chance, but probably not as likely as K. Rool
King K. Rool - excellent chance, if he's not in we probably get at least Dixie
- Could potentially get both Dixie and K. Rool (DK's sales/fame rival that of Zelda's), but Sakurai seems to have it in for DK. It took him until Brawl just to add Diddy, despite being on par with Zelda for sales and popularity, so I'm not expecting much.
[Legend of Zelda]
Link
Zelda
Sheik
Ganondorf
Toon Link
- Same situation as Mario: we have the core group of Link, Zelda, and Ganon, with Zelda having her transformation into Sheik and the alternate version of Link (which Sakurai mentioned as being pretty important). Most likely newcomer would be Tingle, but I think Sakurai likes keeping it as the original Triforce team.
[Metroid]
Samus
Zero Suit Samus
Ridley - excellent chance, seems to hinge on whether Sakurai can make him work as a regular fighter instead of a boss
- Not much else to say, Sakurai realizes how important Ridley is but even he admits that designing him may be tricky, so it comes down to how well he actually ends up working as a character. I personally think he'll make it.
[Kirby]
Kirby
Meta Knight
King Dedede
- What's your favorite Kirby power? Mine's chocolate!
[Star Fox]
Fox
Falco
Wolf
- Some of you would prefer getting rid of Wolf, but I think he fits in pretty well (though I don't doubt that he has a chance of not returning); most likely newcomer would be Krystal, but there's no real reason to just drop Wolf for Krystal, and four is too much.
[Pokemon]
Pikachu
Pokemon Trainer:
-Squirtle
-Ivysaur
-Charizard
Jigglypuff
Mewtwo/New Pokemon - keep in mind Mewtwo was supposed to be in Brawl, also he probably beats out any currently existing Pokemon
Lucario
- A lot of people have this misguided notion that "repping all the gens" is important, though it's obviously not, especially when there's Pokeballs and stages to provide dozens of cameos anyway.
- The Pokemon Trainer will definately stay, and I feel like Sakurai doesn't wanna mess with his Pokemon since that's three new movesets for no real reason. There won't be an additional Pokemon Trainer, it's too much to balance and it takes away from what makes PT unique in the first place.
- Jiggs will probably stay.
- If we get any "new gen rep", there will only be one, and it may result in no Lucario or Mewtwo (though it'd likely be stylized after them if that happens); here's what will probably happen:
1. we get a new Pokemon that functions like Mewtwo/Lucario
2. we get a new (unique) Pokemon and keep Lucario
3. we get Mewtwo and Lucario because all of the hot new Pokemon are legendary space whales and work better as stages/Pokeballs, or alternatively he just really really wants Mewtwo and Lucario to stay
[F-Zero]
Captain Falcon
Samurai Goroh - very likely newcomer, unless Sakurai keeps hating on F-Zero
Black Shadow - not too likely, but I'm not ruling him out since Sakurai may decide to bump up the series and/or give Ganon a sword
- Samurai Goroh takes precedence over Black Shadow for two reasons: 1) he's been more prominent in Smash thus far and 2) Sakurai probably doesn't care about the Ganon-sword thing.
- If Star Fox can have 2 reps with 2 games in Melee, or 3 reps with 5 games in Brawl, surely F-Zero can have 3 reps with 6 games and an anime, right? I get the feeling Sakurai doesn't like F-Zero much, but that's just me. Anyway, I like the whole "The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly" thing going on here, so here's hoping.
[Mother/EarthBound]
Ness
Lucas
Claus/Porky - not too likely, but I wasn't expecting Lucas either, so maybe he'll pull a Star Fox and add a 3rd?
- Claus is supposedly more popular with Mother fans, but Porky is obviously at least KNOWN by Smash fans; either one works, but if I had to guess, Sakurai would take Claus.
- $5 says that if Porky's in, he rides his EarthBound spider mech instead of the Mother 3 one.
[Fire Emblem]
Marth
Roy/New Lord - exact same situation as Mewtwo: supposed to be in Brawl, probably beats out any currently existing Lord, etc.
Ike
- I really doubt Ike is going anywhere, but I don't deny the possibility that he doesn't return
- Since Sakurai didn't mind the possibility of having three Lords in one game (and they're all male, sword-weilding main characters from their own continents), I expect him to add someone for the next game:
1. one of the next couple FE games has a cool new guy that Sakurai thinks belongs in Smash Bros.
2. there aren't any new Lords, Sakurai doesn't like any of the new Lords, or Sakurai otherwise feels compelled to bring back Roy
[Retro Series]
Ice Climbers
Pit
Mr. Game & Watch
R.O.B.
- I'm not expecting any new retro series to be here; some people seem to think it's a requirement that Sakurai digs up one or two classic series and fit them in the game, but he's also shot down most of the ones we have left for being way too obscure or not really working as characters too well (note that I don't consider Punch-Out!! to be retro).
[Single Series]
Olimar
Little Mac - does anyone here really doubt his chances of making it in?
Isaac - Golden Sun DS seems to be a bigger deal than any of the below series, so I think Isaac has a good chance
(New series character) - Sin & Punishment, Nintendo Wars, Custom Robo, Starfy, some new series that hasn't debuted yet, I don't know
- Olimar isn't going anywhere.
- Everyone agrees that Mac is extremely likely, possibly the most likely newcomer ($5 says he's in the SSB4 debut trailer). The guy seriously has nothing against his chances of making it in.
- I personally figure there will be two new series to appear alongside Punch-Out!!, one of them probably being Golden Sun, the other a toss-up between Sin & Punishment, Nintendo Wars, Custom Robo, Starfy, etc.; I really can't make any judgment here (and even on GS, I'm not totally sure), so... yeah.
[Third Party Series]
Snake
Sonic
Mega Man - most likely 3rd party, Capcom is on good terms with Nintendo and both Sakurai and Inafune have mentioned interest
- The most uncertain category. We don't know if Konami and Sega are going to renew the deals with Snake and Sonic, and we don't really know what any of the companies are thinking, but I wouldn't be too suprised to see a potential 4th guy here, probably from Namco (and almost definately not from Square-Enix).
[Super Mario Bros.]
Mario
Luigi
Peach
Bowser
Yoshi
- The core group, no need to add to this (and putting anyone else on equal billing with the classic team seems off). If there was a new addition, it'd be Bowser Jr., but I get the feeling Sakurai likes it this way.
- Yoshi kinda counts as a part of this, so I'm putting him here.
[Wario Land/WarioWare]
Wario
Captain Syrup/Mona - decent chance, Mona more likely due to Sakurai probably not knowing anything about Wario Land
- Seems like Sakurai is completely unfamiliar with Wario Land, so my guess is:
1. he takes Mona because of WarioWare's popularity
2. he takes Captain Syrup on the basis that Mona fighting is "out of character" like Animal Crossing, and actually recognizes Wario Land this time around
3. he takes neither because A) he doesn't feel the series is that popular/recognizable or B) he doesn't think Mona should fight and it turns out he's never heard of Captain Syrup
[Donkey Kong]
Donkey Kong
Diddy Kong
Dixie Kong - decent chance, but probably not as likely as K. Rool
King K. Rool - excellent chance, if he's not in we probably get at least Dixie
- Could potentially get both Dixie and K. Rool (DK's sales/fame rival that of Zelda's), but Sakurai seems to have it in for DK. It took him until Brawl just to add Diddy, despite being on par with Zelda for sales and popularity, so I'm not expecting much.
[Legend of Zelda]
Link
Zelda
Sheik
Ganondorf
Toon Link
- Same situation as Mario: we have the core group of Link, Zelda, and Ganon, with Zelda having her transformation into Sheik and the alternate version of Link (which Sakurai mentioned as being pretty important). Most likely newcomer would be Tingle, but I think Sakurai likes keeping it as the original Triforce team.
[Metroid]
Samus
Zero Suit Samus
Ridley - excellent chance, seems to hinge on whether Sakurai can make him work as a regular fighter instead of a boss
- Not much else to say, Sakurai realizes how important Ridley is but even he admits that designing him may be tricky, so it comes down to how well he actually ends up working as a character. I personally think he'll make it.
[Kirby]
Kirby
Meta Knight
King Dedede
- What's your favorite Kirby power? Mine's chocolate!
[Star Fox]
Fox
Falco
Wolf
- Some of you would prefer getting rid of Wolf, but I think he fits in pretty well (though I don't doubt that he has a chance of not returning); most likely newcomer would be Krystal, but there's no real reason to just drop Wolf for Krystal, and four is too much.
[Pokemon]
Pikachu
Pokemon Trainer:
-Squirtle
-Ivysaur
-Charizard
Jigglypuff
Mewtwo/New Pokemon - keep in mind Mewtwo was supposed to be in Brawl, also he probably beats out any currently existing Pokemon
Lucario
- A lot of people have this misguided notion that "repping all the gens" is important, though it's obviously not, especially when there's Pokeballs and stages to provide dozens of cameos anyway.
- The Pokemon Trainer will definately stay, and I feel like Sakurai doesn't wanna mess with his Pokemon since that's three new movesets for no real reason. There won't be an additional Pokemon Trainer, it's too much to balance and it takes away from what makes PT unique in the first place.
- Jiggs will probably stay.
- If we get any "new gen rep", there will only be one, and it may result in no Lucario or Mewtwo (though it'd likely be stylized after them if that happens); here's what will probably happen:
1. we get a new Pokemon that functions like Mewtwo/Lucario
2. we get a new (unique) Pokemon and keep Lucario
3. we get Mewtwo and Lucario because all of the hot new Pokemon are legendary space whales and work better as stages/Pokeballs, or alternatively he just really really wants Mewtwo and Lucario to stay
[F-Zero]
Captain Falcon
Samurai Goroh - very likely newcomer, unless Sakurai keeps hating on F-Zero
Black Shadow - not too likely, but I'm not ruling him out since Sakurai may decide to bump up the series and/or give Ganon a sword
- Samurai Goroh takes precedence over Black Shadow for two reasons: 1) he's been more prominent in Smash thus far and 2) Sakurai probably doesn't care about the Ganon-sword thing.
- If Star Fox can have 2 reps with 2 games in Melee, or 3 reps with 5 games in Brawl, surely F-Zero can have 3 reps with 6 games and an anime, right? I get the feeling Sakurai doesn't like F-Zero much, but that's just me. Anyway, I like the whole "The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly" thing going on here, so here's hoping.
[Mother/EarthBound]
Ness
Lucas
Claus/Porky - not too likely, but I wasn't expecting Lucas either, so maybe he'll pull a Star Fox and add a 3rd?
- Claus is supposedly more popular with Mother fans, but Porky is obviously at least KNOWN by Smash fans; either one works, but if I had to guess, Sakurai would take Claus.
- $5 says that if Porky's in, he rides his EarthBound spider mech instead of the Mother 3 one.
[Fire Emblem]
Marth
Roy/New Lord - exact same situation as Mewtwo: supposed to be in Brawl, probably beats out any currently existing Lord, etc.
Ike
- I really doubt Ike is going anywhere, but I don't deny the possibility that he doesn't return
- Since Sakurai didn't mind the possibility of having three Lords in one game (and they're all male, sword-weilding main characters from their own continents), I expect him to add someone for the next game:
1. one of the next couple FE games has a cool new guy that Sakurai thinks belongs in Smash Bros.
2. there aren't any new Lords, Sakurai doesn't like any of the new Lords, or Sakurai otherwise feels compelled to bring back Roy
[Retro Series]
Ice Climbers
Pit
Mr. Game & Watch
R.O.B.
- I'm not expecting any new retro series to be here; some people seem to think it's a requirement that Sakurai digs up one or two classic series and fit them in the game, but he's also shot down most of the ones we have left for being way too obscure or not really working as characters too well (note that I don't consider Punch-Out!! to be retro).
[Single Series]
Olimar
Little Mac - does anyone here really doubt his chances of making it in?
Isaac - Golden Sun DS seems to be a bigger deal than any of the below series, so I think Isaac has a good chance
(New series character) - Sin & Punishment, Nintendo Wars, Custom Robo, Starfy, some new series that hasn't debuted yet, I don't know
- Olimar isn't going anywhere.
- Everyone agrees that Mac is extremely likely, possibly the most likely newcomer ($5 says he's in the SSB4 debut trailer). The guy seriously has nothing against his chances of making it in.
- I personally figure there will be two new series to appear alongside Punch-Out!!, one of them probably being Golden Sun, the other a toss-up between Sin & Punishment, Nintendo Wars, Custom Robo, Starfy, etc.; I really can't make any judgment here (and even on GS, I'm not totally sure), so... yeah.
[Third Party Series]
Snake
Sonic
Mega Man - most likely 3rd party, Capcom is on good terms with Nintendo and both Sakurai and Inafune have mentioned interest
- The most uncertain category. We don't know if Konami and Sega are going to renew the deals with Snake and Sonic, and we don't really know what any of the companies are thinking, but I wouldn't be too suprised to see a potential 4th guy here, probably from Namco (and almost definately not from Square-Enix).