I knew some of the old arguments can still be brought up. Still, when I said for now, I meant some of the old arguments may be revived over time if Geno does not get into next game. I should have made that clear, should I?
Well, some of those arguments are valid right now, and will continue to be valid until something fundamentally changes regarding Geno. For example, there is no end foreseeable to Geno being a spin-off character owned by Square. Even if we get a SMRPG2, he will still be those things.
It's true that the arguments of dormancy may be revived if things don't pan out for him or the future of SMRPG, but those weren't all the old arguments.
But still, the arguments you listed, First off, Geno is not a minor character. That would be something like one of the towns people in any town in the game. Geno has a much more important role in that. Even if he is not the main character of his own game, know that while Sephiroth was not really like Geno in that role, as he was more so the villain of Final Fantasy VII, but that broke the thought that some people had that only one character could represent their respective series if they were third party.
Read the rest of that sentence. He's a very minor character
in his series as a whole.
As for being a spin off character, there are other spin of characters that are wanted, like Waluigi. Now, I know Waluigi has been in more games than Geno, is an actual Nintendo character (though Camelot made him), yada yada yada, but he is a spin off character, nonetheless, and that should count if anything. Sure, Waluigi is not yet playable in Smash, but he is pretty damn wanted and popular, and other spin off characters from different games I can imagine may be popular as well, even if there aren't too many.
Characters that aren't yet included aren't good counterpoints for why that wouldn't matter.
Waluigi is a spin-off character, and it's a mark against him too. He's got a great shot, but he's Waluigi. And this is the sixth Smash Bros game, by the time he's playable, there will have been over 100 fighters in this series. And his series already has nine characters (not counting Yoshi and Wario), which really narrows down the remaining competition. And he's Waluigi.
Plus, should the case of third party characters and the case of first party characters really matter? In the end, it is just video games. The same should go for characters that don't star in their own games as third parties. Sakurai wanted Geno in Smash before, and he was considered for the fourth game, so if anything, he does not care.
In general it shouldn't matter. That's why people want both first and third parties.
In terms of gauging chances, of course it matters. The two get in very differently.
Also Geno was considered for Brawl, not 4.
As for the remake still being a one off, well, while these are Nintendo games (and not referring to the characters in those games, mind you), check to see if Duck Hunt and Ice Climber got any remakes of their game and tell me. They may be older than Super Mario RPG, but Super Mario RPG is still old, a classic, in fact.
Ice Climber got in because Sakurai allocated a spot for an NES character. That spot no longer exists, and Geno wouldn't fit anyway. This point has all the relevance of suggesting we could still get a Japanese-only character because we did in Melee. Criteria requirements change.
Duck Hunt got in as the surprise character. Geno wouldn't fit that either.
Also you're focusing on them being one-offs, looking past the fact that neither are spin-off characters, neither are third-parties, and all are main characters in their series. Even if that series is just one game.
Different spots have different criteria. Geno would get in as a fanbase pick. Those also eschew some typical criteria, like being current (ironically not a problem for Geno anymore) but, for non-rotational series, being a one-off is a hindrance that only gets bigger the more the series exists past your one title.
Look, I am in no hurry to see Geno in the next Smash, and I know and accept that may not happen, but some of the other things you said were putting words in my mouth, as in saying as if I actually thought Geno was wiped clean completely from the things against him. I did not say that.
Well, I didn't mean to put words in your mouth, so I'm sorry if I did, but you said the old arguments weren't alive right now. Which isn't true. There are plenty of the old arguments still alive. If you just meant the dormancy-related ones, that wasn't specified.
I mean, in terms of there possibly not being a Smash in development right now, it's true that nothing is 'alive' right now Smash-wise, but that would be the case for all characters, all arguments, and the same before this remake was revealed.
Plus, the reasons you gave for why Geno could not be in the next Smash? I know detractors will still use these, but to be honest, I said what I said above because I honestly thought that, at this point, those reasons were rather...weak.
So, if these other points are weak, am I to think that of the factors that held Geno back, being a "dormant spin-off, one-off, third-party who was minor in his series" the only part of that that holds weight is the dormant part? Because that's the only one that's changed.
That wouldn't even make sense considering dormancy is one of the things enough fan demand has already proven it can overcome. Were dormancy the only thing holding Geno back, were raising the other factors weak detraction... then that's basically suggesting
a mainline, recurring, major first-party
and
a spin-off, one-off, minor third-party
Have very little separating them.
But even if Geno was as dormant as could be, were he a mainline, recurring, major first-party, with the popularity he has, he would've gotten in a long time ago. Probably in Brawl.
That's not to say Geno won't get in. But Geno getting in would happen in spite of his remaining negatives. Not because he has none left.
One of the problems is you can't split up these obstacles and address each one with a different counterexample, because that misses the point that these all apply to the same character. Each one knocks him down further. Now one has been removed, and maybe the newfound absence of that impediment mixed with his popularity will bring him to the threshold of inclusion... but the points against him can't be addressed in isolation of each other. It's cumulative.