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Official Next Smash - Speculation & Discussion Thread

SharkLord

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Babylon's Fall failed to meet expectations when it released in 2022, a lot of staff started to leave, including Kenji Saito and Takahisa Taura, the directors of Metal Gear Rising and Astral Chain respectively, Kamiya leaving the company, pretty much everything around Bayonetta 3, Project G.G, which was announced in 2020, is rumored to be cancelled...

Yeah, it's been a rough couple of years for Platinum.
I believe half the problem was that upper management was pushing for live-service elements and microtransactions, including for Project G.G. Babylon's Fall is just the most visible part of the issue, being a live-service (I think?) game that did release and absolutely bombed
 
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Gorgonzales

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Been thinking about how WayForward sent some PNGs of Shantae and Risky to Nintendo in hopes they'd be used for something, and then they learned that they made it as spirits in Ultimate through that last pre-launch Smash direct.

We've been talking about copyright recently so I thought it'd be interesting to discuss this. Especially since it has never really sat right with me. Surely it cannot be that simple? You'd think Wayforward would have to do some paperwork and whatnot and the heads behind the studio would be kept in the know. Unless this was part of a longer-term agreement that was decided upon a lot earlier. Idk, it's a weird case.
 
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TheFirstPoppyBro

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Babylon's Fall is just the most visible part of the issue, being a live-service (I think?) game that did release and absolutely bombed
Yeah it was originally supposed to come out in like 2019 I think but then was said to be a game as a service in like 2021 when it showed up at E3, was slapped with heavily negative reviews, only had a concurrent player count of like 1000-1200 on Steam, dropping to literally one guy in 2 months (it released in March and Rock Paper Shotgun interviewed the only guy still playing it in May).

Was very bad for Platinum and one of Square's several live service flops.
 

Hadokeyblade

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Been thinking about how WayForward sent some PNGs of Shantae and Risky to Nintendo in hopes they'd be used for something, and then they learned that they made it as spirits in Ultimate through that last pre-launch Smash direct.

We've been talking about copyright recently so I thought it'd be interesting to discuss this. Especially since it has never really sat right with me. Surely it cannot be that simple? You'd think Wayforward would have to do some paperwork and whatnot and the heads behind the studio would be kept in the know. Unless this was part of a longer-term agreement that was decided upon a lot earlier. Idk, it's a weird case.
I mentioned this a while ago but sometimes getting into Smash is all a matter of two people being in the same room together and one of them thinking:
 

GoldenYuiitusin

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Speaking of Shantae, how likely do you think her inclusion is? She was noted to be a popular request alongside Dante, Lloyd and Dragonborn.
Re-posting my thoughts from when she came days prior.

Her odds are non-zero given Matt Bozon is clearly willing to work with Nintendo for it.

But that's about the best I can see it; non-zero.
 

TheFirstPoppyBro

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Been thinking about how WayForward sent some PNGs of Shantae and Risky to Nintendo in hopes they'd be used for something, and then they learned that they made it as spirits in Ultimate through that last pre-launch Smash direct.

We've been talking about copyright recently so I thought it'd be interesting to discuss this. Especially since it has never really sat right with me. Surely it cannot be that simple? You'd think Wayforward would have to do some paperwork and whatnot and the heads behind the studio would be kept in the know. Unless this was part of a longer-term agreement that was decided upon a lot earlier. Idk, it's a weird case.
I mean Matt Bozon specifically said they sent artwork to Nintendo "to be used at their discretion, on the off chance they could include her in some way", so I would assume they knew it was for Smash, but didn't know to what capacity? I mean if I remember right Nintendo also asked Ubisoft for Rayman art as references so they could make a model for his trophy in 4, but Ubisoft sent a model instead, so I imagine it'd be a similar situation.
 
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Lionfranky

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Is Tarnished from Elden Ring even that likely? I'm not disputing the massive success of Elden Ring. What I want to bring is look of Tarnished.
At least, Dovahkiin/Dragonborn has unique aesthetic... and arguably more recognizable appearance. And, he is put in front cover and spotlight a lot more than Tarnished. I think aesthetic aspect plays a lot more important factor than people realize. Smash is platform fighter in which look of each character is very important.
 

NotGenerico

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Is Tarnished from Elden Ring even that likely? I'm not disputing the massive success of Elden Ring. What I want to bring is look of Tarnished.
At least, Dovahkiin/Dragonborn has unique aesthetic... and arguably more recognizable appearance. And, he is put in front cover and spotlight a lot more than Tarnished. I think aesthetic aspect plays a lot more important factor than people realize. Smash is platform fighter in which look of each character is very important.
I get what you're saying about looks being important, but there's no one in Smash who looks quite like this:

 
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Undella2

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If nothing else, Shantae is in a prime position to join Shovel Knight as a guest Assist.
As I previously noted, I think Shantae and Shovel Knight are among a group of maybe 4-5 indies of whom any I could easily see as the series' first indie playable. If none of them are playable in the next smash game, an expansion of their current level of representation would also not be surprising.
 

SharkLord

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Speaking of Shantae, how likely do you think her inclusion is? She was noted to be a popular request alongside Dante, Lloyd and Dragonborn.
I feel like she's been discussed fairly often. The gist of it is that her titles don't have raw sales and mainstream recognition like some other indies have, but the series has been going on semi-consistently for quite a while and developed a solid cult fanbase, and the Half-Genie Hero Kickstarter dropped during the initial indie Kickstarter boom, was able to capitalize on that fanbase, and dropped at the right time to channel some of that energy into the Smash ballot. This all leaves her with a decent level of support in the Smash fanbase, enough for Sakurai to take note and secure her a Mii Costume. Plus, WayForward's a pretty solid supporter of Nintendo systems, so if Sakurai ever felt the need for Shantae, the negotiations shouldn't be too difficult.

Also, tying into some other discussion of Smash's lack of people of color, I will note that Shantae's SWANA-coded and has more melanin than like 90% of the current roster combined. I don't think there's any one ethnicity she's planned to be; her games seem to be more of a generalized "Arabian Nights" sorta thing, though I believe someone's looked at the inspiration for her dances and the geography of Sequin Land and theorized she's Turkish (Though I'll have to dig up that theory for reference). But yeah, worth noting.

If nothing else, Shantae is in a prime position to join Shovel Knight as a guest Assist.
I've wanted to say I'm kinda averse to "(x) could be an assist" comments, less because I think it's an insult to the characters and more that, well... I don't think many of these characters would actually make good assists. I get the appeal of giving characters a shoutout even if they're not on the roster, but a lot of these assists boil down to "person shows up, runs around, and throws out a couple different attacks" and it only makes me think "Man, I wish I could play as that guy." Prime examples of those "sorry, not a fighter"-type assists are Zero, Black Knight, Alucard, and the aforementioned Shovel Knight. I don't want to single out your comment in particular, it's just part of a general feeling I've had
 
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The Stoopid Unikorn

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Could always opt for Malenia to represent Elden Ring instead given she had high prominence in marketing and is seen as a mascot for the game.




She's recognizable and distinct enough, I'd say.
She should be DLC so she can come with a "Let Me Solo Her" Mii Outfit :4pacman:
 

AreJay25

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Shantae has the distinction of being in the Mii Costume wave that Sakurai specifically said was comprised of popular requests, so at the very least she's a character he has in mind.

I guess the main things are competition and whether or not Sakurai is down to give indie characters playable spots to begin with.
 

GoldenYuiitusin

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I've wanted to say I'm kinda averse to "(x) could be an assist" comments, less because I think it's an insult to the characters and more that, well... I don't think many of these characters would actually make good assists. I get the appeal of giving characters a shoutout even if they're not on the roster, but a lot of these assists boil down to "person shows up, runs around, and throws out a couple different attacks" and it only makes me think "Man, I wish I could play as that guy." Prime examples of those "sorry, not a fighter"-type assists are Zero, Black Knight, Alucard, and the aforementioned Shovel Knight. I don't want to single out your comment in particular, it's just part of a general feeling I've had
As someone who wanted Shovel Knight in Ultimate, I'm just glad he got something worthwhile and wasn't just ignored, my grievances with the lack of Mii Costume like other indies aside.

By all means, he didn't need to be one. But he's here anyway, and if that's the best I could hope for, so be it; at least someone like him made it in to begin with.
 
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SharkLord

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As someone who wanted Shovel Knight in Ultimate, I'm just glad he got something worthwhile and wasn't just ignored, my grievances with the lack of Mii Costume like other indies aside.

By all means, he didn't need to be one. But he's here anyway, and if that's the best I could hope for, so be it; at least someone like him made it in.
Yeah, from a representation standpoint, I totally get it. There's only so much time and resources on hand, and therefore only so many fighters that can be added, so it makes sense to throw in those little shoutouts. But from a gameplay perspective, it's basically just an unplayable budget fighter who shows up for a bit, throws out some attacks, and leaves. Even if they're not a fighter, I prefer when the ATs have some sort of support function that makes them more than just a budget fighter, like Isaac's hands or Shadow's Chaos Control.

Though, it's not always fun to get rattled by those interferences, so I may be off the mark here. Then again, it's not always fun to get ganged up on by another player and a powerful assist's attacks either, so...
 

Dukefire

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Been thinking about how WayForward sent some PNGs of Shantae and Risky to Nintendo in hopes they'd be used for something, and then they learned that they made it as spirits in Ultimate through that last pre-launch Smash direct.

We've been talking about copyright recently so I thought it'd be interesting to discuss this. Especially since it has never really sat right with me. Surely it cannot be that simple? You'd think Wayforward would have to do some paperwork and whatnot and the heads behind the studio would be kept in the know. Unless this was part of a longer-term agreement that was decided upon a lot earlier. Idk, it's a weird case.
Wayforward is in a weird case for me. They release games year(s) apart while being available to various systems. (Sometimes just system exclusive like Marble Knights for Apple) Also, deals for the games already released. They don't do much, but make sure people KNOW about their games and the deals. Quality over quantity.
 

Pupp135

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So, what do we think of Astral Chain nowadays?
While I haven’t played Astral Chain, it would be cool to see another game come out for its fans. In terms of its chances for a sequel and addition to SSB6, I‘m a little less certain on these. As the game was financially successful (1.3 million copies based on the most recent update), a sequel is not dead in the water, and it may have taken a long time because of other priorities/setbacks taking place. Regarding chances of an Astral Chain fighter being added into SSB6, I think Astral Chain would be one of the five most likely Nintendo IPs getting their first fighter (the others are Ring Fit Adventure, Famicom Detective Club, Golden Sun, and Excitebike) as it is a fresher IP (i.e. introduced during the Switch era), and Sakurai may find Officer Howard to be an interesting fighter.

Speaking of Shantae, how likely do you think her inclusion is? She was noted to be a popular request alongside Dante, Lloyd and Dragonborn.
I think Shantae is one of the more likely indie third party characters to join the roster given her popularity and WayForward’s willingness to collaborate with Nintendo.
 
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Lionfranky

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I get what you're saying about looks being important, but there's no one in Smash who looks quite like this:

It's not just about being contrary to Smash roster. It's about standing up among general perception. I mean we don't have anyone in Smash who look like Call of Duty or GTA protagonists, but almost no one expects them for a good reason. You may argue that Tarnished has more distinction, but from my perspective... I don't think so. I am viewing through average/casual gamer's perspective or even outside of gaming.

Could always opt for Malenia to represent Elden Ring instead given she had high prominence in marketing and is seen as a mascot for the game.




She's recognizable and distinct enough, I'd say.
Yeah... I was considering mentioning her... but somehow got lazy~
 

CapitaineCrash

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I get what you're saying about looks being important, but there's no one in Smash who looks quite like this:

I think the point isn't really about the character aesthetic, but more about his personality and what he can bring on the table. I feel like there's pretty much nothing Tarnished can do that something like Monster hunter (or any other fantasy rpg avatar) couldn't. The tarnished is meant to be a generic avatar that can wield different weapon. It's not really the type of character that we usually see in Smash (as Monster hunter itself got representation through bosses instead of playable character). Sakurai also said that he need to "see the character dance", or see him do unique thing. I don't really see what Tarnished could really bring on the table.

If anything I'd like to have Elden ring have a similar representation to Monster hunter: bring one of the game bosses as an assist.
 

SMAASH! Puppy

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I think the point isn't really about the character aesthetic, but more about his personality and what he can bring on the table. I feel like there's pretty much nothing Tarnished can do that something like Monster hunter (or any other fantasy rpg avatar) couldn't. The tarnished is meant to be a generic avatar that can wield different weapon. It's not really the type of character that we usually see in Smash (as Monster hunter itself got representation through bosses instead of playable character). Sakurai also said that he need to "see the character dance", or see him do unique thing. I don't really see what Tarnished could really bring on the table.

If anything I'd like to have Elden ring have a similar representation to Monster hunter: bring one of the game bosses as an assist.
That's not really true though? If anything, fantasy RPG avatars have more difficulty with the fact that they have too much to pull from.

Monster Hunter is probably the easiest to do. Their name is itself their theme, and while we technically do have monster hunters like the Belmonts, no one on the roster is laser focused on that theme. Given that their weapon in crossovers is usually a greatsword, you could make them into a heavy swordfighter trapper, which is a niche no other fighter currently fills as well.

Also, we've seen generic avatars pretty frequently since SSB4 with Villager, Wii Fit Trainer, Mii Fighters, Inkling, Hero, and Steve, and that's if you don't count the Fire Emblem or Persona avatars. Most of them benefit from their series's charm and wacky concepts, but if a game is good/interesting enough to get a character, it has the charm/concept to pull from as well.
 

Arcanir

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I feel that sometimes fans underestimate how recognizable the default look for an avatar character can be. If you show someone the hunter in the Rathalos Armor they'd likely connect it to Monster Hunter, if you shown them the Dragonborn in their armor, people would think of Skyrim, and I think if you did the same with the Tarnished many would also connect them to Elden Ring due to the aesthetic and feel of the character. As long as the base look captures the feel and nature of the game they're from people will recognize them even if they are casual gamers, especially in a fighting game like Smash where such characters would stand out from the rest.
 

Goombaic

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I’m not a big advocate for Tarnished or a Dark Souls protagonist because as influential and iconic as those games are, I have very little faith that we’d get a character with an widespread moveset with some of the series’ most flashy spells or weapons. Instead, I think we’d get a fat-rolling, heavy weapon wielding knucklehead with maybe a fireball or two that only gets by with poise and stubborn persistence because, admittedly, that’s kind off just the spirit of the genre and it isn’t really something we’ve seen in Smash yet. I’m more inclined to getting a boss to represent the series instead like Monster Hunter.
 

Schnee117

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I feel that sometimes fans underestimate how recognizable the default look for an avatar character can be. If you show someone the hunter in the Rathalos Armor they'd likely connect it to Monster Hunter, if you shown them the Dragonborn in their armor, people would think of Skyrim, and I think if you did the same with the Tarnished many would also connect them to Elden Ring due to the aesthetic and feel of the character. As long as the base look captures the feel and nature of the game they're from people will recognize them even if they are casual gamers, especially in a fighting game like Smash where such characters would stand out from the rest.
Monster Hunters also have a lot of personality on display between the various emotes and poses you can have them do as well as some goofy run animations and the like. Hell Wilds' Hunter is a good mix of goofy and being a badass so it's not like you're making an emotionless blank slate that really only shouts a bunch.

A Greatsword moveset that also employs the use of Shock Traps, Barrel Bombs and Slinger tools is enough to convey the base essence of what the series is like and if you want specific stuff from individual games then use wirebugs from Rise as a recovery and pad out the moveset with some arts from GU.
 

BrawlX10

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Could always opt for Malenia to represent Elden Ring instead given she had high prominence in marketing and is seen as a mascot for the game.




She's recognizable and distinct enough, I'd say.
I have the feel they add Malenia for a Elden Ring rep rather than the MC as well, she's kind of the mascot of elden ring as you said.
I think Soulikes (well unless it has a set character like Sekiro) would be better represented by a playable boss, as the boss fights are one of the main draws of the genre, i feel. I think Malenia would be the most suited boss from the fromsoft games to be playable, she would be a hype first DLC pick ala Joker.

Speaking of Shantae, how likely do you think her inclusion is? She was noted to be a popular request alongside Dante, Lloyd and Dragonborn.
She's possible, but i think she's more likely to be an AT than playable, but we'll see.
I expect a UT rep first, honestly.
 

MBRedboy31

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Yeah, from a representation standpoint, I totally get it. There's only so much time and resources on hand, and therefore only so many fighters that can be added, so it makes sense to throw in those little shoutouts. But from a gameplay perspective, it's basically just an unplayable budget fighter who shows up for a bit, throws out some attacks, and leaves. Even if they're not a fighter, I prefer when the ATs have some sort of support function that makes them more than just a budget fighter, like Isaac's hands or Shadow's Chaos Control.

Though, it's not always fun to get rattled by those interferences, so I may be off the mark here. Then again, it's not always fun to get ganged up on by another player and a powerful assist's attacks either, so...
I think these types of ATs would be more fun if they acted like Nana instead of just going around and doing their own thing. Then, you’d have at least a small amount of control over them, and it’d feel like a proper team-up instead of them feeling like a neutral party that just happens to not be able to deal damage to the fighter who summoned them.
 

BrawlX10

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It’ll happen eventually. Definitely gonna get some “literally who” comments though. :191:
I honestly don't get that "literally who" mindset, discovering new characters, stages, items, franchises and etc that you don't know about is fun and part of what makes big crossovers fun, imo. Like i didn't know 90% of the cast of Project x Zone 1 back in 2013 and i still had a lot of fun with the game disovering all of that.
 
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DarthEnderX

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