If you did not try to sound so smart in your post it could have been more understandable and less contridicting..
I conveniently posted my conclusion on the bottom which was confirmed by Meta_Sonic64, that he was never arguing that Ness was deconfirmed, merely unlikely. If you aren't familiar with probability my reasoning you didn't have to read it (it was a pre-emptive measure for people who know a lot on the topic, and all that related to the issue was summed up quite nicely).
Suffice it to say, there were no contradictions, however without a grasp of quantum mechanics and probability it seems that way.
You say that whether Ness will be in brawl or not has been noticed..then you say we don't know what the decision is but it has been decided, then you say he can be either in or out...then you go on to say its been decided and can't be changed...then you say his chances are equal for bad and good (50/50), then you say no one should expect it to be equal.. then you say it depends on which side you are on (support...against)... Then you say he might not get into brawl, then you say he might not appear or he could appear...then you say his appearance could change due to an unknown event...
Then you give a summary of something you didn't even talk about making it not a summary at all...
So basically... you said Ness could be in or out like 4 times... and that the decision is not known.. then you finished it by saying his chances are slim.
...Next time just say "Ness might not make it in brawl", although I believe he still has a chance.
Erm, no, you misread. I said nothing about equality, just two possible states (the classical definition of probability requires one break down most events into smaller events to the point where they have even probbility, the resulting event need not, for example, getting 3 heads from 3 coin tosses, each toss has 50% chance of getting heads, however the odds of getting the event you want is 12.5% because it's dependant upon a certain outcome from the previous events, and while the discrete events have even porbabilities, the final event only occurs in the way you want if all the prevous events occured in the certain manner, thus 12.5).
Now, understand my point, I am not disagreeing with either you or Meta_Sonic64, I am merely pointing out a misunderstanding between the two of you.
As I previously stated, the decision has already been made about Ness' appearance, however since we don't know what that decision is, we're not dealing with the probability of whether an event WILL occur, we're dealing with the probability that an event HAS occurred.
The event in question is the decision to place Ness in the game (or from the negative prospective, the decision not to). Did that decision occur? We don't know for sure because he has not been deconfirmed. The argument is therefore, "what is the probability that such an event occurred based on what we know". Meta_Sonic64, by saying that Ness is out, is saying that the odds are very low that the decision to put him in the game was made. This is very different from saying that Ness is deconfirmed (and though, these are often used to mean the same thing, he clarified what he meant by it).
So, you've won, congrats, but nobody was arguing with you. Almost nobody on the thread actually believes that Ness was deconfirmed. There are plenty of people who think that the odds that the decision was made to place him in Brawl are quite low, disagree with them if you believe them wrong, but do not act as if they are saying he is deconfirmed., because nobody is arguing that, at least not on this thread.