"At close range Lucario is not only outranged but MK attacks faster. Lucario has nothing to fight MK with at close range. He he has to camp him."
Again, you underestimate Lucario's close range game. Luc's jabs, grabs, and tilts aren't that much slower than MK's. Ftilt has great range and dtilt has IASA frames. Sure, MK's are better, but a smart Lucario won't be taking the fight at close range. Luc's goal in this fight is to space well, keep MK away, and harass him with his long range.
"You keep mentioning Lucario's Bair, but it's really not that good. Range is decent, but it's not all that fast and it's one of Lucario's laggier aerials."
It's the same as fsmash. If Luc is spacing well, then MK can't do jack **** about it.
"How is Lucario going to be killing more reliably? With F-smash? If he is using that to wall MK then it will usually be weakened and MK can still get early gimps before Lucario is damaged enough to get a significant boost."
Again, how often is an MK going to get low % gimps in a competitive match? Gimps are certainly beneficial to MK, but MK can't rely on them to win the match every time. And, honestly, MK doesn't really destroy Lucario all that worse offstage than others. MK gimps everybody, but people still find ways around it.
Onstage, Lucario will live very long and his attacks will be devastating. At high aura, fsmash can kill as low as 80, and bair, AS, and dair will kill well also. Don't forget that BAS does, like, 12%, too. And if attacks start to get stale, then Luc's crazy fast grab pummel can replensish his moves easily. Excluding gimps, Lucario should have a much easier time landing KOs in this match.
The bottom line: MK has advantages over speed and gimps, but Lucario outranges him and lands KOs better. How can anyone say that's not even?
Again, you underestimate Lucario's close range game. Luc's jabs, grabs, and tilts aren't that much slower than MK's. Ftilt has great range and dtilt has IASA frames. Sure, MK's are better, but a smart Lucario won't be taking the fight at close range. Luc's goal in this fight is to space well, keep MK away, and harass him with his long range.
"You keep mentioning Lucario's Bair, but it's really not that good. Range is decent, but it's not all that fast and it's one of Lucario's laggier aerials."
It's the same as fsmash. If Luc is spacing well, then MK can't do jack **** about it.
"How is Lucario going to be killing more reliably? With F-smash? If he is using that to wall MK then it will usually be weakened and MK can still get early gimps before Lucario is damaged enough to get a significant boost."
Again, how often is an MK going to get low % gimps in a competitive match? Gimps are certainly beneficial to MK, but MK can't rely on them to win the match every time. And, honestly, MK doesn't really destroy Lucario all that worse offstage than others. MK gimps everybody, but people still find ways around it.
Onstage, Lucario will live very long and his attacks will be devastating. At high aura, fsmash can kill as low as 80, and bair, AS, and dair will kill well also. Don't forget that BAS does, like, 12%, too. And if attacks start to get stale, then Luc's crazy fast grab pummel can replensish his moves easily. Excluding gimps, Lucario should have a much easier time landing KOs in this match.
The bottom line: MK has advantages over speed and gimps, but Lucario outranges him and lands KOs better. How can anyone say that's not even?