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If you can start calling them out without writing my entire posts off as "sarcasm" then maybe we can discuss things. I look at the good things in Geno's favor and analyze them until I have to say that they're just as good for other characters, at which point they, by definition, become meaningless to Geno specifically. Or, maybe I analyze them until I figure out that they're baseless, at which point they stop being evidence and start being supposition or worse.It's less about being in denial and insulting you and more that your takes are blinded by your negative bias.
You look at all the good things in Geno's favor and somehow come to the conclusion that it's gotta be someone else. It almost feels like you are living in a false reality.
It's fine if you aren't as confident in Geno's chances, but some of the things you say with this mindset are incorrect, and I'm not afraid to call them out.
You know, like saying Neku suddenly has a good chance to get in over Geno, or that Neku is a very popular choice when all the data says he really isn't.
Four characters in a row now have been absolutely absent from speculation and not the kind of thing that insiders mentioned. Sakurai's enthusiasm for Terry sold me on Terry, how brilliantly fun to play Terry is sold me on Terry, I love Terry, so never let it be said that I have something against him, but no one was talking about Terry, no one was speculating Terry, no one was leaking Terry... Until Nintendo leaked Terry. The soothsayers on Era and Twitter clearly had a mountain of evidence behind their closed doors that Byleth was going to be the next character, and we have Fatman to confirm that they had a spirit board and a stage nailed down and somehow these people just shrugged and said "well can't be Byleth"... And then it was. ARMS is in a situation similar to Terry except Nintendo intentionally let us know, but no one would have considered ARMS before that, and then we have Steve. Steve, who much like Byleth, had a lot going in his favor and it was slept on, intentionally, to push the narrative of Master Chief.
A lot of what we consider evidence is just the words and vague hints of inside inforamation... Why would I trust the word of these insiders? What could they possibly have to say to me after nearly two years of Smash DLC that could give me any confidence that they know the first damned thing about a character who is in the planning stages? Exactly how long am I expected to just trust that this shoddy information of theirs has a shelf life that's still good if we just give it a little more time? That's not how anything works and surely you have to see how that's just lunacy.
There's a few things that I still hold onto. Cacomallow is still on the table, yes, even a year later, due to these awful circumstances. If it's a mod, it is inexplicably well made for the time it was made, and this mystery modder has not come out of the woodwork to dance on our graves. It's unfortunately not hard proof and viewing it as such is incorrect.
The Mario tournament still holds a bit of hope, and we have until the week of December 5... Hell, I'll even give it the following week. There's some things that make me doubt that delay meant anything, but I can't really nail them down as facts.
Past that, I guess the Legacy XP thing is the only item of any interest to me, but it means just as much for Waluigi as it does Geno. Hell, it means just as much for Metal Sonic, if we really want to split hairs.