Mr. Peepee
Smash Journeyman
- Joined
- Sep 28, 2020
- Messages
- 382
Doesn't having Fighter 8's reveal a month after Steve seem a bit too early for a reveal?
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Yes, but remember we haven’t got a double reveal yet in FP2, and in FP1 both Hero and Banjo were revealed in less than 15 minutes gap between.Doesn't having Fighter 8's reveal a month after Steve seem a bit too early for a reveal?
Idk there kind of is something stopping anything from happening this month and that's Steve or rather the implications surrounding him. I'm not get into the ins and outs but instead am gonna ask why people are flat out ignoring why we aren't getting the next character next month. I get wishing for the most optimistic outcome but people actually saying it's plausible and providing reasoning as to why it is while also flat out refusing to acknowledge what actively suggesta December or January which is arguably stronger reasoning based on precedent from the Smash team itself is just puzzling to me. I'm not trying to be rude or anything, it's just that I see people not at all acknowledging the stuff going against it but fully go through the ins and outs of why it is likely when we have stuff which pretty much actively suggests not next month. I honestly want to know whether I'm missing something or people are just intentionally avoiding it as I never see it brought up, only the positives for why the next character is arguably likely for next month.Okay, the current tournament/Challenge cup for Smash Ultimate concludes on Sunday the 1st, that much is clear. The longest we've waited so far for a Smash reveal after a tournament conclusion was after the September 26, 2020 Challenge Cup which was exactly 5 days on October the 1st. The only thing that could potentially hold up a reveal for the first week of November is the final re-release of Sword and Shield with the DLC
Purple Star Piece:I am 100% certain this has been done before, but I have a couple ideas for what spirit battles with certain SMRPG characters would be like.
Frogfucius: A green alt Greninja accompanied by two small black Greninjas representing the tadpoles and a gray Kirby representing Mallow. The Greninjas prefer to jump and use aerials. Pies occasionally spawn. The stage is Hanenbow.
Boshi: A blue alt Yoshi along with various other colors. The blue Yoshi is aggressive and has a boosted movement speed while the other colors are passive and generally just mind their own business. Donuts frequently spawn and all of the Yoshis including the blue one will immediately rush to eat them. The stage is Yoshi's Island Melee.
Booster: A red WarioWare alt Wario assisted by three black Meta Knights representing Booster's Snifit henchmen. Wario prefers to use f-smash or side-b, while the Meta Knights spawn with various shooting items. Bob-Bombs occasionally spawn and Wario will attempt to use them against you. The fight takes place in the tower portion of Mushroom Kingdom U.
If you really wanted to get nutty with the Frogfucius fight, there could be a Toon Link spamming the Wind Waker taunt representing Toadofsky.
Another Square Enix rep in Volume 2 and his Mii Costume returning in that character's wave are the only two things I can think of; but I don't believe either of those are happening.Also, I wanna say something that'll spook everyone (including me) is there anything that could potentially deconfirm Geno? The only thing that can come from the top of my head is that Nintendo could go with a different Square rep.
If anything I'd say 2B is his biggest competitor. The game did great. I just cant inagine Sora being a possibility with all the legalities and disney.Another Square Enix rep in Volume 2 and his Mii Costume returning in that character's wave are the only two things I can think of; but I don't believe either of those are happening.
For the record, I think Sora would've been able to co-exist with Geno in the same pass. Despite both being from games developed by Square Enix, Sora is all-Disney in terms of ownership, and Geno is still technically a Mario character, that balances them out from my perspective.
If anything Lara Croft may be Geno’s biggest competition. Lara Croft is one of the last gaming icons left to join Smash and Tomb Raider being Square’s 3rd best selling franchise over 80 million units sold. I don’t know what makes 2B so likely that fact Nintendo has never given any support to the nier or the drakengaurd series. Not even a costume or an obscure spin-off. Not a definite disconfirm, but Sakurai’s first time meeting the creator was like back in December 2019 when the Fighter’s Pass was most likely decided before. Sakurai tends to meet the creators when it comes to their characters like Nomura and Horii. Possible but unlikely.If anything I'd say 2B is his biggest competitor. The game did great. I just cant inagine Sora being a possibility with all the legalities and disney.
Oh, yeah, I can agree with that. I worded what I said about Sora ("would've") very specifically for a reason.If anything I'd say 2B is his biggest competitor. The game did great. I just cant inagine Sora being a possibility with all the legalities and disney.
I mean, if we're being totally honest to ourselves, I don't think Geno had any Square Enix competition since i'm confident that Nintendo chose him, lol.Wouldn't Sephiroth or Crono be bigger competition than 2B? 2B wasn't in the Seven Squares Vergeben leak if I recall correctly.
I pretty much agree with what you've said.So now that the topic of other Square Enix reps has been brought back, I'll give my thoughts on each one and their likelihood of being chosen.
*Sora: There is absolutely no doubt in my mind that Sakurai/Nintendo had attempted to get Kingdom Hearts in Smash at some point. Sora is one of the most requested characters in pretty much every region, and I wouldn't be surprised if he was the most requested Square Enix character in the actual Fighter Ballot. The only issue with his inclusion is, of course, Disney. If Square Enix wasn't able to keep Sora forever in their own game, it's obvious that the rights for licensing him are pretty high. Nintendo probably thought the price was too much, and so they moved on. Sora is very unlikely.
*Lara Croft: Not happening. People seem to forget that Tomb Raider is developed by Square Enix Europe. The main division of Square Enix has no agency to try to include Lara, a character from a subsidiary that they don't really have any involvement in, instead of characters that they do have direct involvement in. Also, if we were to get any "generic gun user", it probably would have been a Resident Evil character, and we know how that worked out.
*2B: Sakurai had met Yoko Taro, director of the Drakengard/NieR series, for the first time in a Christmas livestream in 2019. In the Byleth Presentation, recorded in November, Sakurai said that all of the character choices in FP2 were finalized. The timeline just doesn't work out. It's a shame, considering she's one of my most wanteds. If there really are more DLC characters beyond FP2, and if the NieR: Replicant remake sells well (which it should, the original is one of my favorite games and the remake just seems to be better in every regard), then I think 2B would be the most likely Square Enix character. It also helps that Sakurai and Yoko Taro seem to be on pretty good terms now, as I can't recall any other people that Sakurai has frequently replied to on Twitter. And no, just because the Drakengard/NieR games have never been on a Nintendo console does not mean they wouldn't consider her. If you honestly think Master Chief had/has a shot, then you have no reason to discount 2B for the same reason.
*Crono: IMO, Geno's only competition right now. Chrono Trigger is a legendary game, with many considering it the best JRPG on the SNES, if not of all time. Square Enix themselves seem to view Chrono Trigger as one of their "sacred games" alongside FFVII. It also helps that Sakurai is a fan of the game. There isn't really much else to discuss, I just think he would make sense as a character.
I don't think I really need to go into the details of why Geno is the most likely Square Enix rep, but since the two most likely characters are both one-off characters from acclaimed SNES games, Square Enix would probably be fine with either character getting in. They may even want to include Geno more, as Sakurai probably brought up his fan demand at some point during the discussions. However it is important to keep in mind the possibility of someone (Nintendo) shooting down Geno. If that were to happen, I think Crono would be the next in line.
This strikes me as a statistical impossibility. Even if Nintendo/SE opted for a character beside Geno, there is literally zero sense in not rereleasing the two already-existing costumes. There's pretty much no programing to be done on those. It's free money to rerelease. That said, getting Geno as a costume beside a different SE character would literally be the worst-case scenario for us.So, what if enough Square Enix character besides Geno happens...but the Geno costume and Chocobo hat don't return?
Welcome to nobility Smash Lord.Hey ya'll! Just posting to flex the fact that I finally hit 1K messages!
We continue to chase down hope like rodeo clowns trying to capture a bull.So, what if enough Square Enix character besides Geno happens...but the Geno costume and Chocobo hat don't return?
The Heroes weren't very demanded for Smash, but they were still included. Sometimes the "iconicness" of the game holds more weight than if they were heavily requested or not. Crono's visual similarity to the Heroes is a valid argument though. That could be remedied a little bit with the other party members showing up for Dual Techs and stuff to better differentiate the two.The only two things I think might hurt Crono are that the demand for him to be in Smash isn't as high as other Square characters, and the fact that his very distinct Toriyama artstyle might look very samey when placed next to fellow DLC character Hero.
Agreed. I will say this: If Geno gets costumed again, I'm calling it as proof that despite Sakurai's claims that he wants Geno or that Geno fits in Smash, either he, Nintendo and/or SE just flat out don't care to ever see him Smash as an actual character. And yes, I include Sakurai in the list of blame because he had every chance to put Geno into the base game when he had full creative control and opted not to. I won't even bother to list the characters he prioritized instead. And before I get the inevitable "BuT mAyBe It WaS sQuArE tHaT wOuLdN't GiVe HiM tHe RiGhTs", I refuse to believe that. We've gotten Banjo. We've gotten Steve. We've gotten Hero. If he really wanted to twist their arm, there's no way they would've denied him. The only possible reason they wouldn't have given him Geno was because they wanted Dragon Quest represented first, but even then, if that was truly the obstacle and he really wanted Geno, then he could have put Hero in the base game and immediately planned for Geno in FP1. That didn't happen. In fact, since FP2 wasn't even planned at the time FP1 was in development, we can only conclude that Geno was an afterthought of an afterthought.We continue to chase down hope like rodeo clowns trying to capture a bull.
As for me, this is my last rodeo.
Again, this is a totally improbable outcome for the same reasons as below:What if there isn’t another Square character? And Geno’s costume was just cut altogether?
They could have cashed in the free money with Hero but didn't. That leaves us with only two real options at this point:This strikes me as a statistical impossibility. Even if Nintendo/SE opted for a character beside Geno, there is literally zero sense in not rereleasing the two already-existing costumes. There's pretty much no programing to be done on those. It's free money to rerelease. That said, getting Geno as a costume beside a different SE character would literally be the worst-case scenario for us.
This is the worst scenario, just throw in the Fortnite guy, while they are at it.What if there isn’t another Square character? And Geno’s costume was just cut altogether?
Exactly. This is why I would honestly be horrified to see somebody from Fortnite get in. I don't see any scenario with Fortnite that ends well for Geno. Not that they are direct competition, but it would seriously have me convinced that Nintendo's priorities are very much opposite of mine. I mean, I could understand why they'd go that direction, but holy hell, my hype would disintegrate entirely.This is the worst scenario, just throw in the Fortnite guy, while they are at it.
Chrono is a sacred game, but Square has neglected the series for 2 decades outside of ports. We’re probably not going to see a remake anytime soon. For Nintendo, the Chono fanbase is very small to pull new fans to buy the game. Nintendo and Square doesn’t seem to have that much reason to prioritize Crono.So now that the topic of other Square Enix reps has been brought back, I'll give my thoughts on each one and their likelihood of being chosen.
*Sora: There is absolutely no doubt in my mind that Sakurai/Nintendo had attempted to get Kingdom Hearts in Smash at some point. Sora is one of the most requested characters in pretty much every region, and I wouldn't be surprised if he was the most requested Square Enix character in the actual Fighter Ballot. The only issue with his inclusion is, of course, Disney. If Square Enix wasn't able to keep Sora forever in their own game, it's obvious that the rights for licensing him are pretty high. Nintendo probably thought the price was too much, and so they moved on. Sora is very unlikely.
*Lara Croft: Not happening. People seem to forget that Tomb Raider is developed by Square Enix Europe. The main division of Square Enix has no agency to try to include Lara, a character from a subsidiary that they don't really have any involvement in, instead of characters that they do have direct involvement in. Also, if we were to get any "generic gun user", it probably would have been a Resident Evil character, and we know how that worked out.
*2B: Sakurai had met Yoko Taro, director of the Drakengard/NieR series, for the first time in a Christmas livestream in 2019. In the Byleth Presentation, recorded in November, Sakurai said that all of the character choices in FP2 were finalized. The timeline just doesn't work out. It's a shame, considering she's one of my most wanteds. If there really are more DLC characters beyond FP2, and if the NieR: Replicant remake sells well (which it should, the original is one of my favorite games and the remake just seems to be better in every regard), then I think 2B would be the most likely Square Enix character. It also helps that Sakurai and Yoko Taro seem to be on pretty good terms now, as I can't recall any other people that Sakurai has frequently replied to on Twitter. And no, just because the Drakengard/NieR games have never been on a Nintendo console does not mean they wouldn't consider her. If you honestly think Master Chief had/has a shot, then you have no reason to discount 2B for the same reason.
*Crono: IMO, Geno's only competition right now. Chrono Trigger is a legendary game, with many considering it the best JRPG on the SNES, if not of all time. Square Enix themselves seem to view Chrono Trigger as one of their "sacred games" alongside FFVII. It also helps that Sakurai is a fan of the game. There isn't really much else to discuss, I just think he would make sense as a character.
I don't think I really need to go into the details of why Geno is the most likely Square Enix rep, but since the two most likely characters are both one-off characters from acclaimed SNES games, Square Enix would probably be fine with either character getting in. They may even want to include Geno more, as Sakurai probably brought up his fan demand at some point during the discussions. However it is important to keep in mind the possibility of someone (Nintendo) shooting down Geno. If that were to happen, I think Crono would be the next in line.
Welcome home, Lord EnigmaHey ya'll! Just posting to flex the fact that I finally hit 1K messages!
Careful, if you call out Pope Sakurai like that someone's going to call you Wynn 2: Return of the Doomer and disregard your whole opinion.Agreed. I will say this: If Geno gets costumed again, I'm calling it as proof that despite Sakurai's claims that he wants Geno or that Geno fits in Smash, either he, Nintendo and/or SE just flat out don't care to ever see him Smash as an actual character. And yes, I include Sakurai in the list of blame because he had every chance to put Geno into the base game when he had full creative control and opted not to. I won't even bother to list the characters he prioritized instead. And before I get the inevitable "BuT mAyBe It WaS sQuArE tHaT wOuLdN't GiVe HiM tHe RiGhTs", I refuse to believe that. We've gotten Banjo. We've gotten Steve. We've gotten Hero. If he really wanted to twist their arm, there's no way they would've denied him. The only possible reason they wouldn't have given him Geno was because they wanted Dragon Quest represented first, but even then, if that was truly the obstacle and he really wanted Geno, then he could have put Hero in the base game and immediately planned for Geno in FP1. That didn't happen. In fact, since FP2 wasn't even planned at the time FP1 was in development, we can only conclude that Geno was an afterthought of an afterthought.
Mind you, I still think Geno's chances are arguably better than virtually any other character in speculation right now, however, his chances of exclusion aren't realistically below 0% either. If he gets the bone again, after 11 characters' worth of DLC and the 40+ characters that came after Brawl, I think actions will speak a hell of a lot louder than words. Fortunately, again, our chances are looking better than ever. It's all or nothing now, my peeps.
Wait the Heroes weren't very demanded? All I've been hearing about them is that they're basically the Master Chief of Japan.The Heroes weren't very demanded for Smash, but they were still included. Sometimes the "iconicness" of the game holds more weight than if they were heavily requested or not. Crono's visual similarity to the Heroes is a valid argument though. That could be remedied a little bit with the other party members showing up for Dual Techs and stuff to better differentiate the two.
While I totally understand your points, one thing I'd like to point out is the fact that Sakurai doesn't seem very shy about throwing his corporate Nintendo overlords under the bus if he disagrees with their decisions. That said, he's never mentioned them as the culprits behind Geno's exclusion thus far. This makes me very suspicious as to what's been going on behind the curtain here.Careful, if you call out Pope Sakurai like that someone's going to call you Wynn 2: Return of the Doomer and disregard your whole opinion.
I will say that things are probably not so cut and dry as "well he could have put [x] in the base game". I often go off about how Nintendo is a business and their decisions are all going to be what draws the most profit margin, an opinion that somehow is controversial. When they put someone like Sonic or Mega Man into the game, they get to use them as a selling point. These are names that are likely to, according to years of market research, drive the sales of the game up on launch. That's good. The cost of acquiring these characters, whether upfront or long term, is likely projected to be far outweighed simply by sales, which they also have projection figures on, and then beyond that they likely get to see when preorders happen, what moves make preorders happen, did they outdo their projections, etc. So, the question becomes if any of these DLC characters would have been worth the investment just to push the 60 dollar game out the door, or are they better used to pad a 25 dollar mystery box or sell for $6 individually (compared to the literally less than a dollar every character and stage is worth in the $60 game if you want to think of it like that)? I'm not going to pretend to know how much it costs to license the characters that we've gotten as DLC now or in the past, or what they expect to get back out of it compared to development costs on top of the licensing costs, or any of the specifics, really.
People seriously must sleep on the fact that folks get their masters degree in this kind of **** and it is very much a science. Marketing and advertising is so huge that it's basically the primary market for ****ing AI development, let that sink in. Whole ass computers are dedicated to figuring out how to sell people something.
Likewise, it's easy to say that Sakurai had creative control over the game, but whether working with HAL or as Sora Ltd, at some point, the buck stopped with Nintendo. It's their game, after all, and very specifically, let us not forget that it wasn't just Sakurai's game or Nintendo's game, it was Iwata's game. There's absolutely no question that, after having helped with the development of 64 and making Melee happen in such a short timeframe, Iwata was there for it, and Iwata decisions were Nintendo decisions. I don't think that we've seen some kind of radical change in picks without Iwata, to be very fair... I know this is starting to feel like a tangent, so the point is that Sakurai probably has never been the absolute on this stuff. I think that his wording about how Geno didn't work out is important and maybe overlooked because we want to see the good in the statement and cling to the hope of the statement, but at the end of the day, there's a reason that it didn't work out, right? And we don't know it, we've just made assumptions. We'll unfortunately never know it, unless Sakurai actually speaks on the why, which he likely will never be able to do.