Ronike, I'm hesitant to just take a shot in the dark, although I agree there are some players I wouldn't miss much, even if they are town. However, they are unlikely to be mafia. If they were, their partners probably would have reined them in by now.
Outside of them, I'm not terribly suspicious of anyone. <3 has some ideas that seem really weird to me, but they don't seem like the would particularly benefit the mafia, and they definitely attract attention (something a mafia player would probably want to avoid). Therefore, although I'm watching <3 quite carefully, I feel like at this point he's one of the people who's least likely to be mafia, at least in my eyes. I'm definitely not enjoying the attention he seems to be throwing my way, though.
Lombardi I'm ignoring right now because of his roleclaim. Despite what <3 says, it seems like a very strong claim to me.
If I were to vote for someone right now, it would have to be egruntz. This is partly because of his suspicious semi-claim. He's hinted at being Leonidus, but avoided actually saying it. This could be a strategy to avoid having a counter claim used against him. Then there's what he's said about his abilities, which seem to have been intended to make sure no one targets him, ever, either mafia or town. To me, this really seems like something an independent might do.
Still, I really don't feel confident enough to put a vote on anybody without more evidence. That's why I'm leaning towards a no-vote, although I still want to wait it out a bit longer before giving up. If that still seems suspicious to you, so be it.
Do the tutorial and pay attention during it. If you had, you'd know the mafia know who each other are. They get to talk to each other whenever they want and decide at night who they want to kill. That person is killed and the next day starts. Its not 50/50 they get a townie, its between 25/26 and 23/24 cause theres always taht one independent they could get. Still tho, those odds suck.
There are also doctors, who can protect people, plus there might be people who have night immunity. That's why I put my estimate at 80%, although that might be a bit low.