fighters Pass 3 characters Pretty much guaranteed + ( 50% chance Bonus DLC Rep : Tabuu )
Ahri ( League of Legends ) via Riot Games & Tencent
Nahobino ( SMT 5 ) via Atlus & Sega
Master Chief ( Halo ) via Microsoft
Matoi ( PSO2 ) via Sega
( Paya! w/ Impa Alt? ) / King Rhoam? ( other LOZ Rep? )
Velvet Crowe! / other Tales of Rep?
Lloyd Bannings! From Trails of Cold Steel Via Falcom
Reasons for believing in a fighters Pass 3
1 As long as there’s an opportunity to make more fighters, Sakurai said he wants to push the record further. 11th Sep 2019
https://www.videogameschronicle.com/news/sakurai-no-way-future-smash-bros-games-will-have-as-many-fighters-as-ultimate/
1.1 This statement to me, does not sound like just 1 more fighter's pass.
2 How many DLC characters was really a decision up to ( Shuntaro Fuwakara Nintendo President as of 2018 ) and the other companies who agreed to give the licensing of their characters to ( Nintendo and Masahiro Sakurai. )
2. 1 Sakurai only gets first right of refusal so, only a Nintendo ( CEO / President / other high level ) can rule out a fighter’s pass 3.
3 Nintendo is trying to grow an official Smash Ultimate competitive scene and therefore likely their client base.
3.1 Nintendo announced a partnership with PlayVS to bring ( SSBU / Splatoon 2 ) e-sports leagues to 3,000 High schools.
https://www.nintendo.com/whatsnew/detail/2021/nintendo-partners-with-playvs-to-bring-competitive-fun-to-high-school-varsity-athletics/
3.2 Nintendo will most likely in 2022 announce another official partnership with PlayVS to bring SSBU e-sports leagues to Colleges.
https://www.ginx.tv/en/smash-ultimate/nintendo-forces-playvs-to-drop-smash-ultimate-collegiate-league
3.3 Super Smash Bros Ultimate frequently draws high volumes of students and is the National Esports Association’s recommended event for gauging student interest in collegiate e-sports.
https://www.nea.gg/collegiate-smash-series
4 Sakurai has a history of going back on his words for the fans. ( I.E. going back on no more after fighter’s pass 2 )
What Sakurai said about not including Ridley as a character in Super Smash Bros. 4 is most notable.
"if we made Ridley as a fighter, it wouldn’t be Ridley any longer," explained Sakurai. "It’d have to be shrunk down, or its wings reduced in size, or be unable to fly around freely. Providing accurate portrayals of characters is something I want to pay ample attention to.""Instead of going through a lot of very convoluted hocus-pocus to make Ridley a fighter, I figured it’d be better to keep Ridley as is, the correct way, & have it feel like a truly threatening presence." - Masahiro Sakurai
Shigeru Miyamoto at one time asked Sakurai if Pac-Man could be in Smash, back then Sakurai felt it was too farfetched.
Sakurai also noted Villager & the Miis status’ as being "unsuited for battle" as why they weren't included in SSBB. Rather, they'd be added to SSB.4's roster .
5 Nintendo is trying to redo their ( best year 2017 ) in 2022.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7ffpzyd2JM&t=648s
Next are reasons for final character of Fighters Pass 2 and characters of Fighters pass 3
Final character of Fighters Pass 2 = Ahri
Ahri from
League of Legends leaked on 01/30/2020
https://arch.b4k.co/v/thread/494471663/#q494471663
https://notagamer.net/wild-rift-available-on-console-and-handheld/ console release estimate 10/2021
There is a
League of Legends rep coming to Smash as some LOL games will make it to consoles (TBA).
( “
League of Legends; Wild Rift” ) + ( “
League of Legends; Ruind King” ) announced no official release date as of 07/01/2021
There is no ( named leak ), I place my bets on image ( Ahri ) related though.
Seiken Densetsu 3 Spirits (or probably the whole Mana series) ( “
Trials of Mana” ) ( spirit event happened April 24, 2020 )
Hollow Knight Mii Sword Fighter with Sealed Vessel remix was discussed after San's outfit success & apparently has green light.
Also noteworthy. Nintendo really wants to do well in China’s market & partnered with Tencent to do it
https://www.nintendolife.com/news/2020/12/nintendo_switch_sold_more_than_1_3_million_units_in_china_this_year
Fighters Pass 2 Bonus Rep =
Nahobinho Protagonist of
Shin Megami Tensei V is the 1st fighter of FP3. compelling reasons for being 99% certain are …:
1. SMT has been with Nintendo since the NES (Megami Tensei 1 in 1987).
2. SMT V is one of the first ever Switch games revealed with only Dragon Quest XI Switch and LOZ BOTW being announced before the Switch presentation(which had SMT V) & SMT V was huge at E3 2021.
3. SMT V is releasing 11/2021 as an exclusive 3rd party near the same time as a major Pokemon release. This massively increases playable SSBU representation likelihood.
4. No Jack Frost with Joker fighter pack despite JF being the Atlus mascot. JF is better associated w/ SMT.
5. A deal of SMT V being a Nintendo Switch exclusive for getting a bonus character in SSBU is a win-win-win for all parties
Fighters Pass 3
Master Chief from Halo via Microsoft
1 ( Glitch leaks Projectiles get stuck in characters )
https://twitter.com/Le_Basth/status/1368242856993947651
1.1 Note I do believe the other glitch involving hurt-boxes being ignored was exclusive to programming for Kazuya.
2 Creative Director For Halo ( Frank O’Connor’s ) Tweet @franklez “( Master Chief is not is Smash DLC. )” on 12/23/2018
3 Official Halo Twitter account response on ( 4/2/2019 ) to If you could bring any character in to Smash, who would it be?
a picture of Master Chief holding his helmet
https://twitter.com/Halo/status/1113166542881951744
4 Official Halo instagram account shares ( Mario & Halo ) crossover artwork.
https://www.instagram.com/p/CNkRuC6gtw2/
5 Official XBox France Tweet @XBoxFR ( A quand le masterchief dans supersmashbros ?
)
@XBoxFR response = Il attend toujours son invitation…
https://twitter.com/XboxFR/status/1311676187622748165
6 XBox Head Phil Spencer has had multiple interviews as of 07/11/2021 with a Nintendo Switch in the background and it means Microsoft is actually working very well with Nintendo.
6.1 via Co-Founder of
http://XboxEra.com Nick "The cat seems to be out of the bag on Nintendo and Xbox. You'll hear more in the fall"
https://twitter.com/Shpeshal_Nick/status/1380691678072238080?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
7 I think Master Chief will be a Game Awards announcement. Honestly He an Ahri are the only two I can think of who are the most deserving.
Matoi via Sega w/ PSO2 Leaked on 01/23/2021
https://arch.b4k.co/v/thread/541591126/#q541596708
Smash: A fighter from Sega's Phantasy Star series is planned, seemingly being PSO2's
Matoi.
2021 will have a bunch of anniversaries. No particular reveal order, and some might be early 2022.
Grezzo = Zelda title 2021. Ninja Gaiden Sigma trilogy is coming to switch very soon. Dark Souls 2 is getting ported to Switch.
Notes; PSO2 New Genesis Cloud a cloud version released June 9th 2021 for Switch & PS4 in Japan
Feb 2021 Sega Financial Results
https://www.segasammy.co.jp/english/pdf/release/202103_3q_presentation_20210212_e.pdf
https://www.luro.io/articles/ubitus-provides-sega-the-tech-needed-to-run-phantasy-star-online-2-new-genesis-in-the-cloud/
https://www.gamepressure.com/editorials/phantasy-star-online-2-new-genesis-would-be-great-if-there-was-c/z944a
Paya from
Legend of Zelda; BOTW + the sequel
1 In SSBU it is highly unlikely Nintendo will skip hyping / marketing their most important release of 2022.
2 Xander Mobus Announcer for SSBU specifically said in the list of names he read off, was a bunch of
fruit.
2.1 please someone find me the link for above
Velvet Crowe from (“
Tales of Berseria”) via Bandai Namco
1 ( “
Tales of” ) is a huge franchise in Japan and has not gotten much Switch representation yet as of July 2021.
2 Bandai Namco helped develop SSBU
( 3 Tales of Games will be announced for Nintendo Switch Summer 2022 )
4 A purloined name to be read off by the announcer; would be
Velvet.
4.1 similar to how Xander Mobus did not know ( Cloud from FF7 ) would be in SSB4
https://twitter.com/XanderMobusVO/status/664984767591411712
5 She would also have unique gameplay mechanics.
6 Tales of Berseria would be a smooth ( development wise ) port to Switch. Originally PS3
7 ( Tales of Berseria released 2016 ) ( Tales of Zestiria released 2015 ) ( Tales of Xillia 1 & 2 released 2011 & 2012 )
Lloyd Bannings? via Falcom & NIS Leaked on 06/20/2020
https://arch.b4k.co/v/thread/513418360/
(
Trails to Zero ) releases fall 2022 and (
Trails to Azure ) releases 2023 (
Trails Into Reverie ) releases 2023
(
Trails of Cold Steel 3 ) released June 30 2020 & (
Trails of Cold Steel 4 ) released April 9 2021
Extremely high probabilities
Bayonetta 3 rep = dependent on whether or not Bayonetta 3 is planned for release with playable fighter
Ryza = dependent on whether or not Atelier 3 planned to be released along side Ryza
note
Koei Tecmo participated in development and does not yet have their own playable fighter
Also note I put in LLOYD BANNINGS from Trails of Cold Steel NOT Lloyd Irving