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Well, E3 was not Crash. While I stand by some of the things I said, such as double dips not being likely, Kazuya ripped a big hole in a lot of my main argument. Though granted most people wrote off Tekken after Heihachi got a Mii costume so I won't beat myself up too hard.
I said we were only getting one "big" character and odds are it was Kazuya. Tekken is a big deal, and I am glad that it is in smash. That being said, the only way Crash is getting in now is if the "Banjo to Kazuya's Hero" was delayed due to COVID. While this is not impossible, I would doubt it. That being said, compared to characters like Rayman and Chief rn, I would say Crash is in a slightly better spot. Far from where I called him the frontrunner though. If I had to peg Crash's odds, lets say 10-15% pending my mood. Not something I would bet on.
The other thing I got wrong is that Mii Costumes, and likely spirit events, for companies or franchises to a certain point are not a death knell. Konami, Bethesda, and more importantly Capcom are all back on the menu. Ubisoft too but after the TMNT leak I doubt we will get a Ubisoft character. Got proven wrong, oh well.
So what is my plan going forward? Well, RTC is doing a fixed schedule geared towards the "smaller" side of speculation. What I will likely do is do a mini writeup for some of the ones that I think are being slept on a little in terms of being CP11. All of these will fit the "smaller" hype character. They all are a third party that is not as big, or a first party that could be a shill rep. In terms of what ones I will be doing, here are the ones I plan on discussing in detail. This will not be nearly to the extent the Crash writeup was, but to an extent I do plan on going in depth a bit.
- Rean Schwarzer
- Estelle Bright
- Adol Cristin
- SMTV Protagonist
- Demi Fiend
- Phantasy Star Rep
- Arle Nadja
- Phoenix Wright
- Amaterasu
- Professor Layton
- Monokuma
- Disagea rep
- Reimu
- Shantae
- Quote
- Andy
- Ayumi Tachibani
- Ashley
- Waluigi
- Akira Howard
- A Pokemon
That is a list of some of the mini write ups I have planned. To varying degrees, I think most of these make sense for CP11. Some I will be a bit less optimistic towards, some I will say are reasonable choices right now. If I had to name the five I would say are the most likely right now... Phoenix Wright, Akira Howard, Professor Layton, a Falcom rep, and the SMT V protag in no order.