The Real Gamer
Smash Hero
Spurs got doodle-jumped.
Nuff said.
Nuff said.
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You do realize 30 was his career high in a Finals game right? Let's talk in present terms.you do realize that lebron scoring 30 was below his average for the playoffs?
you realize that what lebron did last night is basically what he gives every night?
Now you realize why Miami didn't have a chance. When the entire team is doing nothing and the one guy who is doing work is not playing like a "superstar" to carry their weight, you're not getting the win. Hopefully for Miami's sake people not named Lebron take heed of it and shape up for Game 2.while he wasn't as efficient as he usually was in this playoffs, he was still the only threat miami had in the 2nd half, wade was missing EVERYTHING and bosh didn't do anything at all, the other players didn't give out anything, it was seriously lebron trying to keep his team in the game and it just can't happen with a team as fast as the thunder
what lebron did tuesday is what a superstar does on a nightly basis. youre overvaluing the 4th quarter at the expense of the first 3.It most definitely is not. Sure, the numbers are cool, but you can't just look at that...numbers don't say everything.
If you actually watched the game, Lebron played well. Not great, not bad, but well. A superstar performance is very distinctive. The player takes control of the game, and either wins it all by himself or starts to involve the whole team and initiate a rallying asswhoopin. That's what a superstar does on a normal basis. What Lebron did Tuesday was just something a good player usually does.
I'm not going to flame you.I said 2 posts ago i was not going to even touch on that subject because it guarantees a million-page flame war.
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You are right. The Bulls' differential last season was +7.3. Mimai's was +7.5. I recall the Bulls leading the league in point differential for much of the season and made a mistake.If we're talking about the point differential when it comes to how much a team wins by, Miami had it the best last year with Chicago second.
In small sample size and minute allocation, predominantly. Coaching is also a large factor, although it is primarily accounted for in minute allocation.Finals. Sure it can be a telling tale, but I've always said this...the playoffs are a different beast.
One of the things Wages of Wins has talked about that I am on board with is the "half-baked" theory, which is that only the minutes of your top six players matter. The playoffs are where superstars become particularly imbalanced since you can (and should) play them as many minutes as they can handle.When you got superstars on your team, it sort of helps with your playoff run as opposed to not having one.
Point differential, whatever my amateur eye can discern from coaching, strength of schedule, offensive and defensive efficiency... too many to name.So how do you personally assess a team's strength then?
Illuminating. I have been a fan of that guy's work in the past; a shame I have not been following his work throughout the playoffs.Here's an excellent video that breaks down what exactly the Heat were doing wrong both offensively and defensively (which is a lot of stuff): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HENA-e6QELo&feature=player_embedded
Really highlights how poorly coached this team can be at times.
yeah i dont buy point differential as the main indicator of a teams strength. for once im actually going to side with boredone on this. teams play differently, and minutes are allocated differently. it doesnt mean nothing, but i wouldn't give that as a reason why theyre the best team in the league. theyre probably the best regular season team in the league, but top heavy teams are rewarded in the playoffs. its hard to say. ultimately, injuries happen, and i disagree with people that like to put asterisks on championships.
except for the 2002 kings lakers that was stupid.
point differential is definitely a big deal in the NFL though
what lebron did tuesday is what a superstar does on a nightly basis. youre overvaluing the 4th quarter at the expense of the first 3.
Wumbo we would all like to hear your thoughts on the 5 best. no flaming.
i love coach nick. i think something might be wrong with the audio though this is all i could hear:Here's an excellent video that breaks down what exactly the Heat were doing wrong both offensively and defensively (which is a lot of stuff): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HENA-...layer_embedded
Really highlights how poorly coached this team can be at times.
Very informative stuff here thanks for the post.more interesting though was their Finals Preview:
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/06/11/sports/basketball/nba-shot-analysis.html?hp
Won't argue there.In small sample size and minute allocation, predominantly. Coaching is also a large factor, although it is primarily accounted for in minute allocation.
Well, I agree, but it makes sense. Superstars naturally do play more, but it's no secret they have more of an impact on the court. Whether that's drawing double teams, creating shots, or getting their team a basket when they need one. Really, the last team to win without a superstar was the 2004 Pistons. I can't think of a team before that to win one without a superstar...it's just something I've noticed, and hence why I feel like you need a superstar + stars on your team to win these days. Dirk was a one man wrecking crew last year, but he had a great cast and coach with him.One of the things Wages of Wins has talked about that I am on board with is the "half-baked" theory, which is that only the minutes of your top six players matter. The playoffs are where superstars become particularly imbalanced since you can (and should) play them as many minutes as they can handle. ).
That line of thinking always loses me. The most effective way to "take nights off" is to blow out your opponent. For me that's pure media spin with little foundation in fact. Akin to how Will Carroll says health is a skill, effort is also a skill. One thing smash has taught me is this: you cannot just "turn it on" and be nearly as effective than if you always had it turned on to begin with. Or as Suga Free would say, You ain't gotta get ready if you stay ready.Then you got teams that are known to take games off, play down to their competition, or just flat out be lazy. Lakers, sometimes the Heat, Knicks, etc. All it tells me is that, while yes your team maybe talented, it's also telling me you're consistent in a long seasoned schedule.
Also known as the short supply of tall people.I agree, but it makes sense. Superstars naturally do play more, but it's no secret they have more of an impact on the court. Whether that's drawing double teams, creating shots, or getting their team a basket when they need one. Really, the last team to win without a superstar was the 2004 Pistons. I can't think of a team before that to win one without a superstar...it's just something I've noticed, and hence why I feel like you need a superstar + stars on your team to win these days. Dirk was a one man wrecking crew last year, but he had a great cast and coach with him.
naw dawg that **** was MAGICexcept for the 2002 kings lakers that was stupid.
The coaching staff has assigned defensive schemes. Everyone knows where the help's going to come from. When it's going to come. How the rotations back will occur.I still don't understand basic team defense. Battier has been stupid from 3. Why do you not keep a body on him? I mean it's just...keep one guy on him. Hug him. Follow him everywhere he goes.
I remember one 3 Battier hit. It's not about helping on a Wade drive or LBJ drive. When one of them drives from the top, what happens is that WB or KD is laying off Battier. They were talking about this play a lot. For whatever reason, both Ibaka and Perkins were guarding Bosh, anticipating the drive. So what was WB doing next to Ibaka? He was so off of Battier, that Chalmers proceeded to make his rotation to the other side of the court, and then Battier rotated to the top of the 3 point line. It's just falling asleep on defense.The coaching staff has assigned defensive schemes. Everyone knows where the help's going to come from. When it's going to come. How the rotations back will occur.
You don't abandon all of that because of a small sample size. Furthermore, never straying from Battier does you more harm than good. The optimal win for the defense is running Battier off the 3-point line, which they did at least a couple of times.
Let's say you stick like white-on-rice to Battier. Now who is helping on LeBron blow-bys? Wade post-ups? Bosh blow-bys? Results-oriented thinking leads to failure.
Against a Miami team that virtually never posts up its bigs, however, Perk's best defensive skill has become irrelevant. Instead, his offensive limitations become apparent -- Miami is putting Shane Battier or LeBron James on Perkins, both of whom are small forwards, and Perk still can't score. Meanwhile, one of the Thunder's bigs has to be a fish out of water defending the 3-point line.
As a result, when the Thunder use their traditional power lineup against Miami's small-ball starting unit, they're getting blown to smithereens. The Heat have 61 points against that group in barely two quarters of game play; Battier has 21 of them, including six 3-pointers, as Ibaka continually gets sucked into the paint and leaves Battier with the basketball equivalent of hitting fungoes.
Mind you, Battier averaged just 8.3 points per 40 minutes on 38.7 percent shooting in the regular season; this can't be the guy who derails their season. Against other lineups, he hasn't, with just 13 points in nearly 60 minutes (and three of those points came on an unintentional bank shot). But playing against the Perk lineup turns this slingshot into a howitzer.
Small ball.It's not about sample size either. Battier has been shooting over 50% from 3 since he broke out of his slump last series.
I could link you guys to multiple posts from Heat fans on RealGM from about 2 weeks ago begging for Battier to be traded and how much of a bust he is, so yes... yes I would know. lolYou can call it what you want. Hot hand or not, but the guy has been balling from deep these last two series. Prior to that, he was stinking up the joint. TRG would know.
At :24 we see a Wade blow-by. No help from Battier's man. Dunk.His other two makes were of the similar variety of being left wide open. Again, a small guy has no business "helping" especially if Battier is in the corner. Leave that to your two bigs in Perkins and Ibaka.
That's not Ibaka's help, that's Perkins. WB takes Bosh or assuming Wade kicks out, tries to run past a screen (which Bosh is in no position for), and have Chalmers make it. Overall though, that was just terrible defense to begin with. No way there should be a parting of the seas and Wade walks in for a dunk.At :24 we see a Wade blow-by. No help from Battier's man. Dunk.
Agree and disagree. To start the game, OKC got a lot of offensive rebounds because they had Battier on Ibaka. The problem was that they couldn't capitalize on it. Their best lineup though was when Harden came in and Durant guarded Battier.Hollinger's point proven: Ibaka is on the perimeter against Battier, resulting in a lose-lose proposition.
Of course.Yet you are simply overreacting to small sample size to act as if this is some uncommittable, unexcusably low-basketball IQ play to lose track of Battier in transition. He is not Jason Terry, circa 2011 Playoffs. He is not Chauncey Billups.
But that's my point, temporarily. Mike Miller was a 45% shooter for the regular season, but he's shooting 37% in the playoffs. Give credit to playing tough defenses, but he's missed a lot of open shots as well. Battier was doing pretty bad to start the playoffs, but he's clearly stepped it up. I mean, he might slump back in Game 3, but this is two games he's burned you. Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me. Fool me thrice? Just go home then.That is not his bread-and-butter shot. He shot 34 percent from beyond the arc this season. Him (temporarily) becoming a knock-down shooter is a product of the small ball lineup that is granting him wide-open 3-pointers due to defensive miscommunication.
First priority is to stop the ball. They never stopped the ball. Poor transition defense. It wasn't from an offensive set as it was transition. In the previous example where he made one, they had already stopped the ball. They forgot to man up on the players following up.At 1:35 Battier could've had another open 3. Would that result have you vociferously proclaiming that Battier needs to be the No. 1 priority in transition? So let's have Ibaka chase Battier off the arc and give up an easy two points.
Their best lineup last night was Ibaka at the center, KD at the 4 guarding Battier, Harden guarding Chalmers/Wade, WB the other, and Sefolosha guarding LBJ. KD might not have the strength to bang inside, but any offensive rebounds they gave up were more of a lack of effort *(standing around) as opposed to getting pushed out. KD on Battier is a much easier handle than Ibaka with Perkins playing the 5.It doesn't matter who it is. Send Sefolosha. Okay, Battier will recognize that and swing it to the top to run the offense. Now LeBron James has a mismatch. James on Ibaka on the perimeter. Blow-by. No help. And 1.
No, the help was supposed to be on KD's part. JVG even pointed this out that KD has to be more aggressive on stopping Wade on that particular play. Furthermore, Perkins has to step in as well, with WB rotating to Bosh and doing his best to box out. Assuming it's a missed shot, Bosh probably gets an offensive rebound unless the ball goes the other way.At 1:47 Wade beats his man. Ibaka cannot help. Easy two for Wade.
As I said earlier. Bad defense to start out the possession. Ibaka was playing way too off, double teaming Bosh when Perkins already had him. Let's say WB switches and keeps track of Battier, Battier has to swing it to Wade who has about 3-4 seconds to make a play. Chances are, it would be a pump fake or jump shot. Wade already got him once with it, so maybe he gets him again or doesn't. All in all though, a jump shot over Ibaka is tougher than a wide open 3. Poor rotation and set defense.At 2:01 it's a similar story. LeBron and Chalmers on the strong side. Bosh, Wade, Battier weak side. Westbrook is Wade's man, which is why he is helping: Wade is not a shooting threat. LeBron in the post and Bosh's presence force the D to collapse. If the Thunder do what you say, a big is on the perimeter. Mismatches: an open 3 for Battier, or an easy two for James, or a Wade mismatch on the perimeter.
ESPN Stats & InfoLooking at which player had a higher usage percentage in each game, we can see a pattern emerge: The Thunder are more efficient offensively and win more games when Westbrook’s usage percentage exceeds Durant’s.
Another thing we can look at is how the Thunder have performed when Westbrook and Durant use a lower/greater percentage of their team’s plays than usual.
Looking at the four combinations of each player's usage percentage relative to his average:
• The Thunder offense is at its worst when Durant has an above-average usage percentage and Westbrook has a below-average usage percentage, averaging just 104.0 points per 100 possessions in those 20 games, with the team winning less than half of those as a result.