All right, after an amazing surprise party from my friends, I feel better. Here is my line of thought at the moment:
My current "lynch candidates" include Tom, Chibo, and McFox.
Tom:
Tom is not playing the same game he always does, and while that is probably personal life related, I feel it's hurting us from moving forward. Nearly every game that Tom is in, I watch him for leads to move on and do stuff. Bad idea? Of course, but I know Tom's knowledge of the game is unparalleled, and his skills at this game are well-known. As I learned to play Tom tends to follow a pretty standard concept of playing, he grills everyone, as town or mafia, he is assertive and aggressive, and it is usually impossible to know his role or affiliation. This game features an impassive, indecisive Tom who made a grave mistake Day 1 with mislynching Air, telling us to back of BK (who I think a lot more people were comfortable lynching), and didn't really add a whole lot to the game. Out of all of my list, I feel he'd be the best lynch for another day, but I do not feel confident enough to lynch him today.
Chibo:
Well, as an admitted double voter, it's interesting that he wasn't killed. The Vote is a powerful Town Weapon, and the mafia has basically let us keep an extra bullet handy. This move concerns me because other than possibly setting us up for a mislynch, which requires a lot of assumptions on their part, Chibo remaining alive hurts them... unless he's an indie. If Chibo is an indie, he will do whatever he can to stay alive. His hammer on Air also paints him as a dangerous player:
http://www.smashboards.com/showpost.php?p=8828772&postcount=580.
With Chibo or Tom we stand to gain some insight on other players. Chibo flipping mafia will make me suspicious of those who supported him in his attempts and concern me as to why Tom was his prime suspect. If Chibo flips Indie, then we need to study the people that voted with the Air lynch because there is a good chance they are mafia in there that used the Indie for help.
McFox:
Kevin and Xiivi made excellent claims: the two people linked to McFox are dead and flipped town (Kevin's claim), and this could be a set-up (Xiivi's claim). With this one, I am more inclined to believe the latter as opposed to the former; however, I think this wasn't given enough of investigation.
Headache kicking in now, but I am most comfortable with Chibo as a lynch. His double vote, while helpful to the town, it can be a powerful weapon with mislynching, for example, today, we need 5 votes to lynch. Tomorrow, we'll need four that's Chibo and two mafia members to bring us to the end of the game. That is too harrowing for me, so
Vote: Chibo.