2020 US Presidential Election Discussion

[Deleted member]

I will say it again, mail ins could boost Biden to victory, but man.

I overestimated Biden so hard.

 

[Shroob]

I am totally against four years of Trump, lol. I see a lot of leftists use that meme.


Oh damn, Biden is back in the lead?

Or am I reading it wrong? Probably the latter, because 209 + 61 = 270.

Reading it wrong.


Yes, Biden has a lot of confirmed Blues, but that's the problem, he has a lot of confirmed blues, and the pending blues he have don't add up to 61. Likewise, Trump has a LOT of pending Reds, and ones like Texas, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida are worth a LOT.

 

[StoicPhantom]

Yes, Biden has a lot of confirmed Blues, but that's the problem, he has a lot of confirmed blues, and the pending blues he have don't add up to 61. Likewise, Trump has a LOT of pending Reds, and ones like Texas, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida are worth a LOT.

Well, there's a reason why we only focus on those specific states.

 

[drag0nscythe]

I hope mail in helps.

 

[Shroob]

Well, there's a reason why we only focus on those specific states.

At this point, he pretty much has to keep his leads and win Nevada, while swinging a state back in his favor, otherwise he's ****ed lol.


If Pennsylvania swings back to him via mail ins, I think he'll win, but he needs Nevada.

 

[Deleted member]

Man, it is so sad I have to hope that a person I despise wins. I despise Biden, but he would be slightly better than Trump.

I hope mail in helps.

Me too. Me too.

 

[GenoDoge]

IDK, things could swing back in Biden's favor.

 

[drag0nscythe]

IDK, things could swing back in Biden's favor.

I hope so. This was supposed to be an easy win. Come on.

 

[Shroob]

I hope so. This was supposed to be an easy win. Come on.

This was never going to be an easy win one way or another.

 

[Deleted member]

IDK, things could swing back in Biden's favor.

I am quickly losing hope, but this is not a lock for Trump.

 

[drag0nscythe]

Looks like Florida went to trunip.

 

[Deleted member]

This was never going to be an easy win one way or another.

I feel like a clown for believing that Biden would crush Trump.

 

[StoicPhantom]

At this point, he pretty much has to keep his leads and win Nevada, while swinging a state back in his favor, otherwise he's ****ed lol.

Given that it's the Hispanic vote that seems to be deciding things, I think those states are precisely what Democrats should be worried about.

 

[GenoDoge]

Looks like Florida went to trunip.

Not showing up for me.

 

[drag0nscythe]

I am going to bed. As of now, looks like trump got away with murder. The world is screwed. The usa will never get rid of covid and it is a hell hole.

 

[Shroob]

And he just lost his lead in Iowa, which would have given him 10 lol.


Well.

 

[drag0nscythe]

Not showing up for me.

Google it. He had 51.3%

 

[drag0nscythe]

And he just lost his lead in Iowa, which would have given him 10 lol.


Well.

Who lost what lead?

 

[GenoDoge]

And he just lost his lead in Iowa, which would have given him 10 lol.


Well.

Oh boy...this...this isn't good.

 

[drag0nscythe]

Yeah. Going to bed. Good night. I hate trump. Absolutely.

 

[Deleted member]

Hey, Biden is looking like he will win Arizona.

Trump won Arizona in 2016. That is something, right?

 

[GenoDoge]

Well, it's not over until it's over. We'll see what happens.

 

[---]

Hard to say what will happen, though a divided Congress seems more and more likely. Whoever wins the executive will most likely be a lame duck President in terms of legislation and the Court system being set up for more packing by McConnell.

Hopefully down ballot elections in certain states will help protect against Gerrymandering; though Ohio & Florida seem like lost causes at this point.

 

[Cosmic77]

The fact that they're still unwilling to call Florida is ridiculous.

More than 98% of the vote is in, Trump has a three point advantage, and they still want to wait. At this point, you'd have to assume nearly every remaining vote was for Biden.

 

[GenoDoge]

Biden won Hawaii it looks like.

 

[Deleted member]

Georgia is now leading slightly towards Biden, according to the New York Needle thing.

That is something, right?

 

[StoicPhantom]

Georgia is now leading slightly towards Biden, according to the New York Needle thing.

That is something, right?

That's a prediction thing, so take it with a grain of salt.

 

[GenoDoge]

Looks like Biden won Minnesota now.

 

[StoicPhantom]

NYT called Ohio for Trump.

 

[Cosmic77]

Ohio was a big prize.

Sorta expected it because I thought it was weird how he wasn't making many stops there.

 

[GenoDoge]

Trump won Ohio and Iowa.

This is gonna be close.

 

[Deleted member]

Biden is live, I think. I am not interested in listening to Biden, but I wanted to say this just incase anyone was.

Also:

Biden is basically guaranteed to take Nevada, and likely to take Arizona, so those are 16 points for him. He will have 243 points.

Biden needs to take at least two of the states listed in light red to beat Trump. Texas and Florida seem very likely to be in Trump's favor, sadly. That leaves Biden with Georgia, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. He needs to take two of those, and he will win. One thing to note is Biden taking Wisconsin and North Carolina would bring him to 268, which is VERY close, but not enough.

 

[Venus of the Desert Bloom]

Well, at least my district in Ohio went for Biden. Still, many Trump Ohioans are saying to give the victory to Trump. Ohio has a hugely inflated ego because “we decide who becomes president”. Then again, Ohio Democrats were also doing that in 08 and 12. I’m not very surprised that Ohio went for Trump. Just within my family alone (I have 16 members within my extended family on both sides), I am the sole “Democrat”. Everyone in my family are crazy for Trump along with a cousin who is a member of the Proud Boys and participated in Charlotte (he was one those screaming while wielding a tiki torch).

 

[GenoDoge]

Trump won Florida.

 

[Venus of the Desert Bloom]

I’ve resigned myself to Trump winning. It was a good run but the numbers and results are looking like it’s going to go that way.

It’s just my hope that if this does come to pass, that the protesting and demonstrating that comes afterward doesn’t resort to violence from either side.

 

[Deleted member]

Alright.

Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan are Biden's only hope. If Biden takes two out of those three, he will win. Mail in ballots will give him a needed boost. It is all up to these three states.

Also...

Leave the Polish alone, you *******.

 

[StoicPhantom]

Arizona's a real mess.
That first mail drop was D+2 by registration or so; the final electorate will be R+3/4
The election day vote, trickling in tonight, will be very Trump.
After that, the late mail ballots: typically Dem, but this year the outstanding absentees were R by reg

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 4, 2020

This seems to be matching 2016 almost down to the letter. If what Cohn is saying here is true then Trump may take Arizona again.

 

[Deleted member]

Arizona's a real mess.
That first mail drop was D+2 by registration or so; the final electorate will be R+3/4
The election day vote, trickling in tonight, will be very Trump.
After that, the late mail ballots: typically Dem, but this year the outstanding absentees were R by reg

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 4, 2020

This seems to be matching 2016 almost down to the letter. If what Cohn is saying here is true then Trump may take Arizona again.

Alright, if Biden loses Arizona, then he will need to take Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan to win. He would need a huge comeback if he loses Arizona. Thankfully, Arizona seems pretty safe for Biden right now.

 

[Cosmic77]

After looking at the numbers, I don't think there's really any state outside Nevada, Arizona, and Maine that I could see Biden winning. The leads in Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, Texas, and North Carolina are too high.

 

[StoicPhantom]

Alright, if Biden loses Arizona, then he will need to take Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan to win. He would need a huge comeback if he loses Arizona. Thankfully, Arizona seems pretty safe for Biden right now.

Comparing current maps to 2016 they both seem to be similar with the exception of Monroe county in PA breaking for Trump when it went Clinton in 2016. Unless Biden significantly swings a county in Wisconsin then all three will possibly go to Trump.