Can't beat a competent DDD, 40-60 is nothing short of a myth. Even if you manage to win the first match, DDD should always beat you on his CP, while he actually stands a fair chance against whatever CP you manage to throw at him.
'But Wario has Bite.'
'But Wario has combos.'
'But Wario can time DDD out.'
But DDD just completely ***** Wario. He can wall in any situation, does not have too much trouble with stage control, can avoid any disadvantageous situation by simply rolling away, does not have to approach, should be able to turn every single grab he gets in either of these things:
- Kill
- Gimp
- Minimum of 30% damage + Wario on the ledge
At lower percentages, Wario cannot properly use nair, DDD can DI it downwards without fearing silly followups. Wario loses a fine move which he would otherwise utilize as a borderline broken damage racker. Wario limits himself to pretty much dair as a setup for other moves, he shouldn't be able to get uairs unless DDD messes up badly (way to get hit by uair when just shieldcamping DDD...).
Wario's advantage is Bite. The following situation is what happens if you commit to Bite too often:
- DDD baits Bite
- You Bite
- DDD rolls
- You eat a grab
Oh yeah, Wario's other advantage is running the clock. This is really the only thing Wario can do in this matchup, though it only really works if you manage to get an early lead. Imo this matchup is 50-50 so long as Wario has a lead, I may elaborate some other time I'm suddenly no longer motivated to write (perhaps my boredom is passing away).