I struggle to make a top 5. I do believe Falln contributes enough to Rosa's success to warrant her a top spot, and I'm going to be totally frank with you - even just one top player doing exceedingly well hasn't stopped us before (please refer to Brawl Pikachu) so Dabuz doing that well with Rosa is probably enough in my books to have this character as a top 5.
Top 3 is exceedingly clear for me right now, but I don't expect people to have to share this view. In order, I believe
and
are the best. Sheik has a whole host of players, ZSS has Nairo and NR and Rosa has Dabuz and Falln. These characters see consistent top results with their top players. I am of the opinion that ZeRo, Nairo and Dabuz are the top 3 US players in that order and whilst this may be argued to skew results, ZSS and Rosa still have dominating strengths and have at least one other top or high level player taking results. It's also important to note that ZSS is Sonic and MK's worst MU, whilst Rosa basically bars Ness from being top 5 (if just).
The next 2 characters in my mind are difficult to order.
(i'll get to these two)
and
all come to mind.
Diddy has shown he has the capabilities to remain top tier. ZeRo still uses him and wins, and I seem to recall another player (Ally?) used him in either CEO or EVO. Is this enough to keep him top 5? He's certainly not where he once was. His MUs have significantly skewed since the patch. I'm not sure.
Mario is in a somewhat similar boat, where Ally gets consistent results but that's about it. Mario has a considerably more even MU spread than his brother (and doesn't lose hard to anyone afaik?), which probably means a top player will be more likely to do well with him at nationals. But... I don't know.
Pikachu I would normally say is the most likely to be in top 5, but I've heard some weird things about him post-patch. His ledge hang time nerf apparently stops his edge-guarding being incredible and now merely makes it good. Solidsense has mentioned this to me a few times, and it's true that Pika has at least a few MUs he has issues with at this stage of the meta. At the same time....
Luigi is a weird case. His results have been a little mixed as of late, and my suspicion is that his counters will emerge more frequently in national-scale tournaments and begin to bar him from a top 5 spot. That being said, his tools are incredibly dominating and he frequently takes top spots at regionals and locals and, with the exception of EVO, he has been seen in majors too. Might need more time to figure out what EVO meant exactly for this fella.
Ness is similarly strange. With at least 3 top players and a host of high-level ones he regularly takes top spots at both locals and nationals - however he is prevented from going any higher with a significant hard counter played by one of the top 3 players in the US. He also has soft counters in Sonic, Luigi and Sheik which make life somewhat difficult (although funnily enough beating ZSS). People often consider him a viable contender for top 5 but his average neutral and bad disadvantage mean most boards consider him one of their better top tier MUs (I literally can't think of any board other than like, Robin, who consider Ness a particularly bad MU).
Then there's Fox, who has a few top level players behind him and gets results. I'm not too sure what is keeping Fox out of top 5 actually, the more I think about it. He has strong tools for most situations, and other than Sheik what are his bad MUs (Rosa maybe)? Some might say that keeps him out but... Who exactly is better than him then?
And Sonic, who I think is probably a viable pick for top 5 too, but struggles with ZSS at top level as a hard-ish counter (as evidenced by NRs killing spree at CEO). His tools are overwhelming for quite a large majority of the cast and again, even though he received nerfs... Who exactly is better than him?
If I were absolutely forced to make a top 5, considering all this, I would probably say this in order:
S:
A:
I would probably then put
as just trailing behind at #6,
and
alternating #7 and #8, and
and
alternating #9 and #10. They all have a lot going for them, and I don't expect everyone to share my opinion. Directly behind those characters I would expect to see
and
.
What do you guys think? With all the evidence you can think of, how would you construct a top 5? What do you believe each character has going for them?