First of all some personal business.
I have severe meta clashing with the players on some issues here:
1) I voted T-Block for his night action-mechanic speculation. I have a query out to him on it and he has yet to respond. I would like to hear back to him on it before I go any further.
2) Many players have said that fencesitting a vote like Nich did, is not (and even cannot) be scummy. I absolutely disagree. How it is scummy depends on the target. If the target is town, then a fencesat vote is a way to appear as town by joining a wagon but doing it in a way that minimalizes the responsibility of that vote. It is also possibly a demonstration of newb-scum feeling under pressure because they know the target is town but still want to appear as town themselves; I disagree that the fencesitting doesn't help their case when eventually called on their vote. If the target is scum then it is a way to get onto the scum wagon for town cred while trying to discredit said wagon. Anyway, I will cover this more with Nich on my case on him because now it seems he didn't even have a proper voting reason in mind even though he declared one (a strong scum tell, and scum cog-dis).
On the Hydra issue, I am reading them as a single poster, single player. I am also 100% meta-blind on every hydra player in this game. Outside of Hydras, I have some meta on Ran and July.
Now for the reads:
Grey -- I have to agree with agree with Grey about Nich. He is obviously an experienced player and from the old school (my case on Nich is not a policy lynch however and I am voting him because I genuinely think he is scum). He asked me if I was a gut or analysis based player: I am both but I place emphasis on analysis above gut. I am learning to listen to my gut more, but its not easy. You will not find Grey scum hunting in a traditional way; he is very deeply imbedded in mafia psychology. I have to agree with him on reading Swiss in that if you have an experienced player, you CANNOT read them but through their personal reads and votes because they do not scum tell or scum slip. I will be reading Grey the same way here. Right now, Ranmaru is right -- Grey needs to vote. From what I can gather his top scum reads are Ran, Nich and PLSD. There has been little reasoning especially on Ran and PLSD. I would really like to see his top 3-4 scum suspects with reasoning before I can feel comfortable with him. Null
July -- On the surface, my initial read of July was pro-town because of her well reasoned posts (even if I disagree with the reasoning) but after my catchup, I must say that Ran has caught something with her immediate unvote of SK based on his catchup post #283. She is moving in the right direction by calling it minimalist; in many ways, it is completely vaccuous. I do not see how she would unvote with a post like that. My meta of her is as a very thorough player as town. Ran is right to call her on this. This is not the strong July that I have experienced and I will need to hear from her on this. Null to scum
KK -- He asked me if I know OS in real life; I definitely do not. I have seen early genuine scum hunting from KK. But I did not like his early discrediting of Nabe and defending of the SK slot. He later corrects this with a prob-town read on Nabe (with reservations) which I like. I also did not like his blanket statement that Swiss' entry post made sense; I didn't get that at all. He has made a very strong stance on Grey-Nich, accusing Grey of deliberately setting Nich up for a lynch; for this to be true Grey would have to be scum posturing as town and slipping out in the open. I'm not sure I can buy that and I see that as further defense of the Nich slot. I also have no record of KK voting apart from his RVS vote for Swiss (if I have missed a vote, sorry regular votecounts would be helpful). I actually don't have any scum reads for KK either. The one post though from him that I do have says that he is waiting for his "other head". I will be watching their upcoming posts closely but until then, Null
Nabe -- An obviously very experienced player. I see alot of genuine scum hunting queries; I especially like his query of Swiss. I only see an early vote on SK however and no push for that wagon at all. I also don't have any scum reads for Nabe. Its funny though that I think Nabe is town despite this! I guess I am in the same camp as KK -- I haven't disagreed with anything Nabe has posted (so much that it made a difference on my read of him) but now that I have read through my analysis, I too will be slow to assign a town read until I get more input from Nabe on his vote and scum reads for this game. Null to town
Nich -- The most prolific poster in this game. The fencesat vote of T-Block has been posted about to death. Upon my further inquiry though, Nich has denied actually having a reason to vote T-Block but yet in his voting post he calls Nich "dumb or scum"; this is severe scum cog-dis. I see a newb-scum player here trying to appear town but nervous about it, fencesitting a growing wagon but not even sure why? How can a player be "dumb or scum" for no reason? I think Nich is heavily populist minded here and afraid to take a stance and I think this is because of the weight of his scum alignment. For the people that are saying he is just newb-town, this has got to be some of the worst town play I have seen and I don't think it comes from town. I don't care if its unpopular, it is my opinion. I have found two posts in particular that I cited ITT where it appears that he knows T-Block is town; #142 and #15?. At first I just brushed this off as newb-play but now that he has cog-dis'ed on his original vote of T-Block in the first place, I hold this as evidence of him as scum. There is also the populist vote change to .jpg which I really didn't like at all; I think all the reasons he gives to vote .jpg are the reasons I am voting him and others should too. scum
PLSD -- Not sure why he voted KK in RVS but I agreed with it. Umm, and that's it? Easily could be lurker scum. We all need to pressure this person out into the open and get reads, non-RVS votes etc. Until then, Null to scum
Ran -- Had a strong call of Nich early; disingenuous and I definitely agree. Pushing me while I was sleeping and at work is classic Ran. His early vote on SK I can agree with. He asked me why I RVS'ed T-Block; simply because he was the first person in the player list that hadn't posted. He also took a strong stance on Grey-Nich; my position is the same as with KK. We agree on Grey's overall lack of performance but looking at the full playerlist, it looks like a communicable disease or something. Asks me what I think of SK voting for me while I was catching up for shallow questioning; pfffft -- accusing me of totally avoiding it while I was catching up, classic Ran. Very nice catch on July; I will need to hear from July on this. Leaning town
SK -- Openly declares a sheep vote on T-Block. Wrongly declares T-Block's vote of Nich as OMGUS. "wow interesting events"; just pings my gut and I did seem to get another gut view of SK over the TB-Nich as a sort of "scum glee" if you will, but just gut. Severe backpedaling and case reaching on T-Block; very populist. Then we have post #283 which was basically slapped together; I see no reason to assign a blanket town read to KK (even though my gut says town), so I assume this is a gut read. Says Nich is newb-town; this is an easy read to make but I would REALLY like to see the town reasoning on this because newb is not a faction. T-Block is not scum but needs more content, OK. Ran town for shallow questionnig that he follows up on OK, we agree. Swiss is town; no reasoning, just Swiss is town? From what? Grey is town for proactive; this is a meta read that I am unfamiliar with but w/e. I am scum for shallow questions (not shallow) while catching up; bzzzzt. July null for not enough content?? and Swiss gets a town read?? This analysis post is NOT genuine. PLSD null for no content (obvious). Based on the play this slot has exhibited: Scum
Swiss -- Entry post #206 T-Block scum, nich town (no reasoning). Doesn't like me (understandable at that point I had 0 content even though we appeared to agree on T-Block), Ran town, July town (no reasoning). KK crapologic (what's the read though?). Reyth/Nich good second wagons; Nich a good second wagon?? Nabe pointed out you called Nich town 3 times in one post... Odd. My suspicion has no reasoning as well. ITT Swiss seems to be getting some respect by default and only has the one post; I will give him the benefit of the doubt for him to improve and say: Null to scum
T-Block -- Huge massive night action(rolefishing)-mechanic(rolefishing, setup speculation) initial post. I see this as a potential serious attempt to guide the town in an unhealthy direction, sow confusion and town posture as well. I ultimately agree with Nabe on the fact that he gave it up; the fact is that he tried it though and his backpedal on it was pretty strong. At the very least the town was directed properly by all of the negative attention he got and quick. Subsequent to all of that, he appeared immediately better (whereas Nich appears worse and worse) and his vote for Nich was warranted. I think he appeared to be trying too hard initially with Nich but I think T-Block has caught scum and properly. I like how he called SK out on misrep on the OMGUS. Both SK and Nich attempt to float a WIFOM theory against T-Block which completely lacks merit. I like his statement about trying new playstyles. I also like his cop peek choices alot and his view on Ran. I need to see T-Block branch out more from the Nich tunnel but he seems to be going in the right direction for me now: Leaning Town
.JPG -- I have seen genuine scum hunting here all game. Proper T-Block vote. I saw his vote of Nich as sort of sheeping and there was a touch of exuberant fencesitting as well; I think the vote was well founded however. Excellent catch on Nabe and SK. I did find fault with his subsequent attack on T-Block though; because he is voting Nich but says that T-Block can't? I also disagree with the SK null read. I have stated my views on Grey-Swiss. So far, he is an overall strong asset to town: Leaning Town
Zen -- *crickets* <--- pressure or replace??
Scum: Nich, SK
Not Good: July, PLSD, Swiss, Zen
Good: KK, Nabe, Grey
Town: Ran, T-Block, .JPG
I am willing to lynch my Scum today.
I need to hear more from my Not Scum, they can become lynch targets.
I am not willing to lynch my Good or Town.
Sorry, I have to go now. See you guys tomorrow!