Moewth is adored by the 4-10 year olds watching the show, Blazekein is liked by people who actually play the Pokemon games, and buy the games. Plus Blazekein is the only Pokemon starter to really have a popularity that is up there with the original 3, so that kicks in. Point is that unless Nintendo wants to aim for little children (sorta like with Pichu I guess), Meowth has a small fanbase and chance compared to Blazekein, period.
Also, how does Moewth have over 100 votes=geez=he's not going to happen=I'm about 98% positive Meowth won't be a playable character, though Meowth could very well be a Pokeball Pokemon. Still, you never know, Sakurai could aim for a younger audience like he did with Pichu, and I'm assuming that Meowth would be the best choice.
However, I hope Sakurai doesn't aim for a younger audience, and aims for us actual smashers, not the people who buy the game, play it for 10 minutes, hate it because they can't unlock a certain character, sell it, and go back to playing their fav crap games. Overall Moewth's reconizability is the only reason it stands ANY chance watsoever. Don't expect Meowth, or prepare to be disappointed.
Here, I'll make a realistic list for the Pokemon that actually have very or decently likely chances:
-Pikachu: If anyone says Pikachu won't make it, I'l probably cry in laughter at their stupidity, unless they were joking, in which I'll cry in laughter at their hilarious sarcasm. After being overpowered in SSB64, and nered in Melee, I'll assume it is rising to power again.
-Jigglypuff: A staple in the series, and a favorite amonst Pokemon fans. Plus it can beat down like most Pokemon dream, and is played quite often amongst smashers=semi-success at least.
-Lucario: The most desired Pokemon for Brawl, with a amazingly large fanbase, and is up there with the most desired characters for Brawl. I wouldn;t be surprised if Lucario is in the top 5 most desired characters for Brawl, it's that wanted.
-Mewtwo: Weak in Melee, but has potential. I don't see Mewtwo leaving, but I see radical changes in store for Mewtwo, hopefully for the better. Mewtwo could very well be the Samus of SSBB, in terms of turn arounds.
Now those are the 4 are think are well in, now I'll list two that are fighting for that final and coveted 5th spot, in order of chances:
-Deoxys: A pure original, in the sense it has 4 sick forms! One of the 5% of Pokemon I actually like, it has amazing psychic abilities, and some intresting attacks to back them up. A moveset is easy to think of, plus it has a good sized fanbase.
-Blazekein: The most popular starter since way back to the begining! Sure Blastoise pwns any Pokemon anyday ( ftw!), but it's a Pokeball Pokemon, along with Venasaur and Charizard. ( ) The next best thing and next most popular Pokemon is definitely Blazekein.
Pretty good sized fanbase, could have some intresting attacks, especially considering it is a fighting type Pokemon, plus fire helps, and being the only Fire and Fighting type is a major plus. Still, don't expect Blazekein, but don't mark Blazekein off your list of likely Pokemon...yet.
This doesn't mean you're Pokemon that isn't on this list has no chance, just not as much as the 6 above. Overally you never know, and overall it comes down to popularity, importance to the series, and reconizability. Those 3 things, plus of course Sakurai's choosing deciede which Pokemon is in Brawl, and which Pokemon is not.
Any thoughts, ideas or comments=???
Side Note: No way Meowth has less chance than Deoxys! That is plain blastphomey
