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The Lonely Island Mafia- Town Wins!

Evil Eye

Selling the Lie
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14,433
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Madison Avenue
Well guys, I can't be the only one that thinks this game is in drastic need of some spicing up. If Tom is lying, he's some unlynchable role, a jester, or mafia. And isn't a jester Tom a bit more intelligent than to just do something completely out of his typical sequence and that doesn't typically make a lot of sense if he's hoping for votes? Most of you have played with him, so you probably know better than I that this is unlikely.


So I'd support a lynch of Mac just to get some god**** information. But that's the thing, what info do we get from lynching mac? Do we just knee-jerk and lynch Tom in response?

Also, I've had a brainwave: I think getting roleblocked will make you **** in your pants. Not a joke. Watch out for it and pay attention to the details of what happens.
 

mentosman8

BRoomer
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Naperville, IL
Ok, well I still don't feel good about Tom's claim. There are just way too many things wrong with it that I see, and I see a very strong possibility of a lyncher/other similar role.

1. He hasn't actually claimed a role. This is a huge problem for me. By the way he "claimed", he left it open for interpretation what his role is. If he was actually a pr coming out so early, he would have told us what role he was. The fact that he didn't makes me think that he wants to avoid any risk of being counter-claimed but still offer a chance to lynch Macman. This would NOT point to being mafia, as if he were mafia he would be wanting the counter-claim to try to get it lynched or to get a target to be killed.

2. Really? Claiming at the VERY start of day 2, with 14 players left alive, with a guilty on someone who was already suspected some? Tom's a smart player, and having that knowledge he would be able to make a strong argument towards a Macman lynch. Claiming this early is an iffy play, especially when it's a player who would be able to accomplish the lynch without doing so.

One more thing I would like to bring up. If Tom is really a PR, and the one I would suspect from his phrasing, I would be somewhat weary of a Macman lynch. He has been playing very strangely, and it is possible he is a fool/jester. I say this because I think if Tom IS really a PR, and once again the one I would think, it would be very possible we have a visiting fool, and Marshy would be an extremely good choice to visit n1 as one.
 

Tom

Bulletproof Doublevoter
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Apr 11, 2006
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@Handorin: Will you mod-prod Macman into posting? He is severely inactive. There are other players who fit the bill as well.

Answering EE's concerns: The information that we get from Macman's lynch will personally provide me insight to my powers. It will also provide everyone else in the game a logical foothold to judge everyone else with - looking at how Macman flipped, what do they think of Tom? What do they think of those who voted for Macman? voted for others? defended Macman? avoided the subject? On top of all that, I am convinced thanks to my night action that he is part of the mafia, and we will lynch a scummie.

Answering Mentosman's points:

1. I have not claimed what power-role I have. You have spun this in a negative light, but at the same time, I know very well that you could just have easily used the same number of words to spin it in a positive light. My vague claim is neither a good nor a bad thing, yet you have made it to be one to support your current stance. What say you to that?

2. I answered to my play already when asked about it to KevinM. Did you read my answer? I will reiterate it for you. You say Macman was already suspect, but in the same hand, I was also already suspect.

What else makes you uncomfortable about the lynch, other things of either my doing or someone elses? You said "just too many things" but then listed two/three.
 

mentosman8

BRoomer
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To answer your first point, I'm not necessarily putting it in a "negative" light, moreso trying to put caution on it. I see where you're coming from, but it is a claim I feel we should at least be cautious of.

To your second point, yes I saw your answer and I didn't find it satisfactory. The only person who voted you anything other than a joke vote that defended voting you was Pythag, so I don't see it as a strong reason to have claimed so quickly. You were close to a lynch d1, but most of the votes were joke votes, and you definitely weren't at the forefront of suspicion or anywhere near so.

Now, I admit bad phrasing for your other question, but most of my other reasons are kind of gut feelings based on the way the two of you have played. You usually make a lot more useful posts, from what I saw d1 a lot of your better posts were answering EE's questions about you. Also the way mac has played makes me very wary of him being a fool(felt this most of d1. I have to go to work now, but I'll answer any questions when I get back.
 

Tom

Bulletproof Doublevoter
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1. Niiro
3. Macman
9. frozenflame
11. Yaya
13. A6M0
14. KK

These people haven't spoken yet on Day 2.

To your second point, yes I saw your answer and I didn't find it satisfactory. The only person who voted you anything other than a joke vote that defended voting you was Pythag, so I don't see it as a strong reason to have claimed so quickly. You were close to a lynch d1, but most of the votes were joke votes, and you definitely weren't at the forefront of suspicion or anywhere near so.
Evil Eye was very frustrated with my BJ jokes and I'm sure was serious with his vote on me. Macman simply didn't speak. Pythag defended his vote on me for a good bit before backing up and removing it. In comparison, how many people were suspect of Macman? I took this to mind and decided to claim bingo immediately. Not a bad thing. If I wasn't one of the players at the forefront of suspicion, I dunno who was.

Also the way mac has played makes me very wary of him being a fool(felt this most of d1. I have to go to work now, but I'll answer any questions when I get back.
Macman is most definitely playing very poorly. Whether this means he is putting off scummy vibes just because he is scummy or if it is because he is a jester is almost irrelevant. I'm sure I said this earlier, but we might as well play as if there isn't a fool in the game. We would be avoiding lynching people we are most suspect of, which is totally anti-town.

Besides, if we determine that Macman is a fool/jester, the safest and most correct action would be to have a vigilante shoot him. That way he still dies and he doesn't win if he is a jester. However, if there is a mafia doctor, or if Macman has a 1 time BP vest, or if the vigilante is killed or roleblocked, it will not work.

I have found him guilty, so I find the best route not to ask some unknown to shoot him, but to lynch him. In this manner, he cannot hide as scum by pretending to be a fool or just playing around.
 

Yaya

Smash Champion
Joined
Oct 22, 2007
Messages
2,373
Location
Burnaby, BC
Well, I believe we should analyze if anybody was against Marshy in any way.

I'm at school right now, so I can't contribute much, but I will when I get home.
 

#HBC | FrozeηFlame

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Holy ****ing **** I'm not dead. I'm a very happy camper. =)

Alright well, Tom's find is certainly an interesting one. I can't say I'm skeptical of it seeing as how I felt Macman was the scummiest player day one, and those suspicions still stand. I suppose we'll need to hear from Macman before things can get anywhere today, since claims such as Tom's should be centerpieces of discussion. It's those types of debates that are most prone to reveal liars.

I'm not happy with people implicating that I thought Pythag was innocent. I did nothing of the sort. Anyone who read my post thoroughly would realize I was implicating BOTH Pythag AND Macman. I just happened to find Macman scummier, and since I only have one vote, I choose the person whom I believed to be scummier. If that doesn't make sense to you, you're a lost cause. I certainly believe that Pythag has performed in a recognizably scummy manner, and would not be opposed by any motion to further discussion about him and his lynchworthyness. Yes, lynchworthyness. =P

As far as the Ronike/Kevin ****storm is concerned, you guys both have NO idea what you're talking about when it comes to gauging who's better or worse at the game of mafia. Wins and losses, size of posts, number of posts... All of them are god awful indicators of who is truly a good player. You should be looking at content and logic. I know that no one likes people who aren't very active but the point is that one's activity is not a reflection of one's ability to play the game or their quality as a player. I merely reflects on their passion and commitment. It's more a character judgment. But in any case, considering how subjective character judgments are, it's best to let that argument rest.

You guys were both criticizing each other for lack of constructive content i your posts. That's simply because a large portion of this game has been people complaining about activity and not necessarily discussing core gameplay issues. The lack of content you both will present will increase if your discussion remains hinged on discussion fundamentally contentless issues.

You both have shown your ability to perform at a much higher and more constructive level than you are now. It's the choice of the player how they would like to play in any given game. You both KNOW and have evidence to back up the fact that you both can make the plays and come through in the clutch in this game. So instead of attacking each other as players, why don't you show each other how good you really are, instead of just arguing about it? I think everyone would benefit from that.

Lastly, as far as a potential Jester role is concerned, I ****ing hate the concept of a Jester. IMO any mod that uses one is destroying the metagame of mafia. One should never have a reservation about going after people who behave scummily. The game is designed to reward constructive town play. Jesters are just a unhealthy addition to any serious mafia game. I honestly woundn't have a problem lynching a Jester and giving them their little "side-win". In all honestly I don't such wins seriously and am more concerned about the game's integrity. Town/Mafia/Indy win trumps any minor role "sub wins" in my book. Those roles are ******** IMO.

So yeah, I'll place my vote on Macman once again. He's going to be the centerpiece of our discussion today. Let's hope we hear from him soon.

Vote: Macman
 

mentosman8

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Ok, after looking back some I will admit you had more suspicion on you than I thought. I was inactive for a lot of D1, so kind of missed some of the suspicion on you, and I now see where you're coming from with that reason.

I also see where you're coming from with playing as if there was no jester, and agreed with the comment on d1. The only reason I brought it up is that Macman's play has been so wrong, and I've seen him play far better than this as both town and mafia, even in the few games I've played here. Couple that with the fact that he has yet to appear and defend himself from a claimed PR's guilty on him altogether made it come to mind, and I felt it should be mentioned at that point.

Now, one more question for you Tom. The way you claimed it almost seemed as if you were trying to initiate the lynch right away. You know as well as I do that discussion only helps town, but the way your first post of the day sounded, it really seemed like you were trying to push something to happen quickly, when I think that would be the worst decision. This may be just a misinterpretation, but I would like to hear a response on that.
 

Niiro

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...
sorry guys i havn't been posting much =/ school work was a ***** this week :(

but on the subject of macman, i really don't think that he killed him. why? because marshy did like really not that much during day one. i think it was just a less expirenced guy who just wanted to get an almost as awesome as me player at mafia out of the game =/ i forgot what i was saying, i'll organize my thoughts and post again in a sec.
 

#HBC | Mac

Nobody loves me
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Alright, Firstly, I still do not see how my behavior was scummy/poor play day 1. I made a vote during a phase that didn't seem to be serious. And removed it shortly after when I saw that the conversation started actually going somewhere.

My night action results point to the conclusion that Macman is part of the mafia who killed Marshy. Vote: Macman Not a joke.
There are a few things I find problematic about this.
If you were to get a result like this, why would you immediately come out with it? I would think that if you had me confirmed as mafia already you wouldn’t put out this information immediately. You say you can pick up on tells really well, so wouldn’t the smart thing for you to do have been apply pressure on me and see how others respond in order to weed out my potential scummates?

Also, you immediately claim a power role, giving the mafia a target. I don’t see why you would choose to do it this way.

The way you worded this makes it seem as though you are either a tracker or a watcher. The problem that arises from this is that generally, these roles do not tell you what action was performed. So if you were one of these roles you could not have known whether I killed marshy or not. So if this is the case, you are basically guessing that I killed him because he turned up dead. Tom you are a smart player, so if this were the case you must have considered this possibility. I doubt you would have risked lynching a town PR.

There isn’t much I can do about this situation since the optimal play for the town to make is to lynch me to see if I turn mafia, And if I don’t, then lynching Tom. Since it doesn’t make sense for a townie to make up such an accusation and Tom would most likely be scum.

Problem with this situation is that I don’t believe Tom would pull this as mafia since he knows that once I turn up town he will almost definitely be lynched. I have a strong feeling that Tom may actually be a lyncher.

I suspect that there is a watcher in this game. That being said, its not a weak play for me to claim on Day 2 if I get a bingo result. If I'm attacked or roleblocked tonight, they will be seen.
You suspect there is a watcher in this game… what would make you think this? Just a random hunch? . . .

@Handorin: Will you mod-prod Macman into posting? He is severely inactive. There are other players who fit the bill as well.
Not posting for one and half RL days doesn't seem 'severely inactive' to me. Especially when many others have yet to post as well.

TBH, the reason I waited this long to make this post is so that others would have a chance before that. I was sort of hoping that almost everyone would be for my lynch so that I could make the argument that everyone was for this than I am likely to not be mafia since my potential mafia mates would not be so eager to have me lynched. But this didn’t really happen. Also I realized that this would have been a somewhat weak argument since if I was mafia I could have easily told my fellow mafia to be against me just so I can make this argument.

__________________________________________________

Other things I want to comment on:

I don't see why it's getting noticed that Macman was FF's target rather than me. Macman has turned up scum, so wouldn't that clear FF?
This is dumb; first of all, you do not even know whether or not I am scum. Secondly, even if I was, it is a common mafia tactic to place suspicion on eachother d1. Don’t think so one-dimensionally.

Holy ****ing **** I'm not dead. I'm a very happy camper. =)

Alright well, Tom's find is certainly an interesting one. I can't say I'm skeptical of it seeing as how I felt Macman was the scummiest player day one, and those suspicions still stand. I suppose we'll need to hear from Macman before things can get anywhere today, since claims such as Tom's should be centerpieces of discussion. It's those types of debates that are most prone to reveal liars.
I still don’t see how I was scummy.

Macman is most definitely playing very poorly. Whether this means he is putting off scummy vibes just because he is scummy or if it is because he is a jester is almost irrelevant. I'm sure I said this earlier, but we might as well play as if there isn't a fool in the game. We would be avoiding lynching people we are most suspect of, which is totally anti-town.
Very poorly? =[. I still don’t see what I have done that would make you want to characterize my play as poor.

As far as the Ronike/Kevin ****storm is concerned, you guys both have NO idea what you're talking about when it comes to gauging who's better or worse at the game of mafia. Wins and losses, size of posts, number of posts... All of them are god awful indicators of who is truly a good player. You should be looking at content and logic. I know that no one likes people who aren't very active but the point is that one's activity is not a reflection of one's ability to play the game or their quality as a player. I merely reflects on their passion and commitment. It's more a character judgment. But in any case, considering how subjective character judgments are, it's best to let that argument rest.

You guys were both criticizing each other for lack of constructive content i your posts. That's simply because a large portion of this game has been people complaining about activity and not necessarily discussing core gameplay issues. The lack of content you both will present will increase if your discussion remains hinged on discussion fundamentally contentless issues.

You both have shown your ability to perform at a much higher and more constructive level than you are now. It's the choice of the player how they would like to play in any given game. You both KNOW and have evidence to back up the fact that you both can make the plays and come through in the clutch in this game. So instead of attacking each other as players, why don't you show each other how good you really are, instead of just arguing about it? I think everyone would benefit from that.
I agree with a lot of this. I don’t understand why Ronike and KevM always seem to have these random disputes. I also find it odd that both players seemed to focus on eachother rather than Tom’s accusation of me.
 

karthik_king

Smash Ace
Joined
Nov 10, 2008
Messages
779
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Falcon PAWNCH
I would like to comment on today so here it is:

By looking at what Tom says are you claiming to be a watcher Tom?

If so then I would vote Macman. However I am not sure that you are a watcher
 

KevinM

TB12 TB12 TB12
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Jan 30, 2007
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Sickboi in the 401
You basically claimed Tracker, if you aren't a lyncher that is Tom.

Considering you said I'm positive there is a watcher or, that you suspect there is one.

And tracker/watcher come hand in hand.
 

A6M Zero

Smash Ace
Joined
Sep 18, 2007
Messages
646
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Vancouver BC
Okay, in response to comments regarding me...

I didn't think Pythag was lynched already or that I was going to be the hammer, I'm not used to forum mafia and didn't realize we were nearing night when I posted (without refreshing beforehand). I was under the impression we had more time in the day and he was GOING to be lynched to beat the timer.

The reason I Pythag lynch (turning up mafia) would be a good start on a KevinM lynch is just my personal opinion, they're both two people I picked out quickly as standing out a bit off to me. If I get the same feeling on two people, and one is mafia, it's more promising I'm right twice.

Poor situational awareness game-mechanic-wise.
 

Rockin

Juggies <3
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Oct 16, 2006
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Bronx, New York
sorry guys i havn't been posting much =/ school work was a ***** this week :(

but on the subject of macman, i really don't think that he killed him. why? because marshy did like really not that much during day one. i think it was just a less expirenced guy who just wanted to get an almost as awesome as me player at mafia out of the game =/ i forgot what i was saying, i'll organize my thoughts and post again in a sec.
I really don't see how an inexperianced player has anything involved in terms of killing Marshy. Also, I don't think anyone said that Macman is responsible for his death. Just saying that he's acting scummy.


Alright, Firstly, I still do not see how my behavior was scummy/poor play day 1. I made a vote during a phase that didn't seem to be serious. And removed it shortly after when I saw that the conversation started actually going somewhere.
Reason for scumminess - Around the time Tom was in suspicion during the Baby Jesus thing, Pythang began to vote with little reason while you soon voted on Tom without a reason. To others, it seemed like you were ready to board the bandwagon of lynching Tom. This is the possible reason as to why people is looking at you funny

Reason for Poorness - apparantly, you usually play better then this. Contributing in terms of topic, as well as being fairly active. In day 1, none of that was seen. Now in day two, it seems you're doing good again.

Really, I'm unsure as how to follow with in terms of a Macman lynch. Mainly cause of Tom's possible PR. We can call him either or, but I'm not sure how this may end. Like Macman said, Tom is smart enough that if he tries to fake a PR and it turns up down, he could be the next target. I dunno, I may need a bit more to be convinced to a Macman lynch.
 

Pythag

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This is dumb; first of all, you do not even know whether or not I am scum. Secondly, even if I was, it is a common mafia tactic to place suspicion on eachother d1. Don’t think so one-dimensionally.
in case you haven't heard, Tom has reported you as scum. That's pretty darn close. I'm not thinking one-dimensionally, I'm thinking logically. Tom has claimed a against you, which means that probably either you or he is going to be lynched today, it's the smartest thing that can happen.
 

Evil Eye

Selling the Lie
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Right, but you flat out said that Tom's claim clears FF. This jumps right the hell out in a glaring red flag. You're just taking his claim on faith. Why? It's stupid. Before we talk about lynch Macman vs Tom we should be talking about the plausibility of the vague claim in the first place. But you just ... assumed him for his word? It screams "slip" to me. Slip of what? Who knows. Partnership with FF or with Tom are right up there. General scumminess, if Mac flips innocent. It felt like you invested more faith in Tom's claim than is reasonable with so little to prove it, and that implies that it's convenient for you to believe it. I don't like it.
 

Pythag

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Haha, go ahead and read you screams.
I don't know many people that just flat out fake a claim like that. Tom's a good player but think about this : The cop /watcher / tracker isn't dead. Which means that faking claims would risk a counter claims to findings. To fake a claim would be to put yourself even more on the spot, because it means that you DEFINITELY get lynched when they kill your "guilty"
The way mafia is traditionally played is tracker/cop claims w/ guilty find so that the doctor can protect. Tom's claim as a pr has been up for awhile, with No counter claims whatsoever. To me I find that rather striking. You seem to be wanting something more.

so, lets review
1) Tom finds guilty (although very vague) on Macman
Maybe tom is just hoping that the doctor will recognize that he is a major player and protect him if macman comes up guilty, without revealing his role. I mean, there are ways that tom's position could be manipulated against him if he claimed certain roles.

2) Macman keeps claiming "I don't see how I was scummy" which I find really lousy defense against a guilty claim. If macman was truly innocent, I believe he would have claimed and voted against tom, instead of questioning how tom is playing the game.

General scumminess, if Mac flips innocent. It felt like you invested more faith in Tom's claim than is reasonable with so little to prove it, and that implies that it's convenient for you to believe it. I don't like it.
and if mac flips guilty, it incriminates you, who are arguing against the guilty claim.
I'm sorry that it's convienent for Tom to have brought this information, but I go with the non - cc'ed prs

vote macman
(to put my money where my mouth is)
 

mentosman8

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I do agree Mac's defense has been horrible, and I will probably end up voting him eventually in the day. But Pythag, your comment about it being risky because PRs are still alive means nothing. Tom never claimed a ROLE, merely that he had one that found Macman guilty. Where is the risk in fake claiming if you don't actually claim a role to be cc'ed?
 

Evil Eye

Selling the Lie
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I fail to see how I'm incriminated by telling people "Hmm, this is going a bit faster and easier than it should". I said we should be weighing the validity of Tom's claim before we talk "hmm so do we lynch Macman now?" Not that we shouldn't lynch Macman, nor that Mac's defence was adequate. But I guess it's easy to ignore that important step when you're determined to make your decisions based on faith.

Mentioning a counterclaim is pretty darn narrow-minded, too. He didn't even claim a role. How the hell do you counterclaim "I have a PR and Mac is totally scummier than ****"? And you say there's no defence tomorrow, but there really is. It's called "insane cop".


So I'll reiterate an earlier question... what do we gain from Macman's lynch? Is there sufficient information if he flips town? The last time I asked this, Tom's primary response was that he gets more information about his claim/role. Well, that's all well and good, but I still don't know the degree to which I can believe his claim. So I'd like an answer as to what we get from a Macman lynch that doesn't revolve around taking Tom's claim on blind faith, because I'm not. If there's sufficient info, you've got my vote.
 

Tom

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The point of my vague claim is so that Macman, who I know is guilty, cannot tailor a fake story to the specifics of the information I have on him. I would not mind claiming which role I have, but I will not do it before I hear more from Macman.

Specifically, before I hear more than his simple pointing out what could be wrong with any claim in general, which is what he has done. Read Macman's posts and see that he basically runs the gamut of game-mechanical possibilities and does not touch on anything I have done, anything he has said, and refuses to acknowledge that any of his own behavior has been suspicious. A clean manipulation can be found in his response to my saying he is strikingly inactive - he response that 'not posting in 1.5 days isn't inactive.' What he means to say is that the time between the start of Day 2 and his post was 1.5 days, but in honesty, the time between his last post and the time I called him out for inactivity was 7 days, part of this being night time, but part of it being day. Add this to his behavior on day 1: he voted me when i already had votes on me, without explanation, and then unvoted me when he was called out on it - he later excuses his behavior as 'making a vote in a phase that didn't seem to be serious.' Which invites the question, why did you make the vote, then? Was your vote not serious? If your vote wasn't serious, why was it on the person who already had three? The obvious and acceptable answer is bandwagoning.

If you were to get a result like this, why would you immediately come out with it? I would think that if you had me confirmed as mafia already you wouldn’t put out this information immediately. You say you can pick up on tells really well, so wouldn’t the smart thing for you to do have been apply pressure on me and see how others respond in order to weed out my potential scummates?

Also, you immediately claim a power role, giving the mafia a target. I don’t see why you would choose to do it this way.
As I mention earlier, I immediately came out with it because

1.) I believed that the suspicion that I held in the mob's eye was equivalent to any that you had. I received enough votes yesterday to be L-3. I found this to be more of any sign of hectic voting and suspicion that any claims of FOS, and rightfully so - they were votes. Pushing for a lynch could have quickly and easily backfired.

2.) What is to say that I, or anyone, cannot pick up on any tells from the discussion happening right now? Why do you suggest that it is more beneficial for the town for me to keep my information to myself and pick up tells knowing I have a guilty rather than letting everyone know that I have a guilty and allowing them to gather their own information, view the situation from a position of suspect, and gather their own tells? When the card flips, they will have confirmed the information I currently, personally have confirmed, and they will be able to work with what they have suspected already. Acknowledging this, answer me why it is, at ALL, a poor decision to claim the way I have?

3.) Claiming that I am a power role, after the lynch flip, provides me with nigh assured protection/watch. I cannot say the same about vehemently pushing for a lynch and being correct - Marshy pushed the **** out of the Stratford lynch in Tomafia 3, Stratford flipped scum, and Marshy was killed THAT night, even in the presence of an active doctor who simply picked incorrectly. The comparison has its differences, as Marshy was not a power role, but all things considered, if he were a power role and had simply pushed for a known lynch, nobody would have known if here were or weren't. It aptly makes my point and shaped my logic.

The way you worded this makes it seem as though you are either a tracker or a watcher. The problem that arises from this is that generally, these roles do not tell you what action was performed. So if you were one of these roles you could not have known whether I killed marshy or not. So if this is the case, you are basically guessing that I killed him because he turned up dead. Tom you are a smart player, so if this were the case you must have considered this possibility. I doubt you would have risked lynching a town PR.
Here is the situation in which my vague claim comes into play. Right here, you simply suggest that the problem with a tracker or a watcher is that you could have been a town power role and not a guilty cop investigation. If I had claimed tracker or watcher, you could easily simply state that you are a cop and try to out the real cop. If I had claimed cop, you could simply claim that I am either insane, paranoid, or that you are a miller. By giving you more information, you will simply shape a fake claim to sound legitimate.

Problem with this situation is that I don’t believe Tom would pull this as mafia since he knows that once I turn up town he will almost definitely be lynched. I have a strong feeling that Tom may actually be a lyncher.
And here is where my statement that you are simply going through the motions of game mechanics as your defense is rooted. In the quote before, you stated that the problem was that my claim, if I were a tracker or a watcher, is fallible because if you are a power role then both my report would be right and your "guilty" would be because you were making an action on Marshy that was not a killing one. However, in this later quote, you state that the problem is that if you are lynched and are town, then I would 'almost definitely be lynched' because I pushed a lynch on a townie with purposefully crafted false information. Would I be lynched? What happened to the reasoning why my investigation is wrong, that you are a town power role making an action on Marshy Night 1 and thats why I thought you were guilty?

Not posting for one and half RL days doesn't seem 'severely inactive' to me. Especially when many others have yet to post as well.
I most definitely asked the mod to prod more people than just you - I simply stated you earlier, isolated, because I have guilty information on you and I dont have role information on them.

TBH, the reason I waited this long to make this post is so that others would have a chance before that. I was sort of hoping that almost everyone would be for my lynch so that I could make the argument that everyone was for this than I am likely to not be mafia since my potential mafia mates would not be so eager to have me lynched. But this didn’t really happen. Also I realized that this would have been a somewhat weak argument since if I was mafia I could have easily told my fellow mafia to be against me just so I can make this argument.
Again, you say one thing and then immediately negate it with a second statement. Your strategy was x, but you realize that it is a weak argument because x. Then why do it? Why not respond immediately, if you know that your reasoning for waiting is poor and there are good reasons to respond quickly?

Now, one more question for you Tom. The way you claimed it almost seemed as if you were trying to initiate the lynch right away. You know as well as I do that discussion only helps town, but the way your first post of the day sounded, it really seemed like you were trying to push something to happen quickly, when I think that would be the worst decision. This may be just a misinterpretation, but I would like to hear a response on that.
I assume this is in comparison to Harry Potter Day 2, in which every member of the town knew that a Frozenflame was guilty, and that I did not want the votes to pile on because I did not want a lack of discussion. This situation is different, because I am the only one of the town who knows through the game that Macman is guilty. The discussion will come regardless this time, because while some people would be for the lynch, not everyone would be immediately convinced that it is vote worthy. In HP mafia, everyone was convinced it was vote worthy, because we all saw Frozenflames mafia cardflip before he and the doctor were both brought back to life.

but on the subject of macman, i really don't think that he killed him. why? because marshy did like really not that much during day one. i think it was just a less expirenced guy who just wanted to get an almost as awesome as me player at mafia out of the game =/ i forgot what i was saying, i'll organize my thoughts and post again in a sec.
This struck me as terribly curious. You don't think that Macman killed Marshy because Marshy did very little day one - you think that a less experienced mafiat killed marshy because he is simply a good player. If Marshy did very little, then why is it bad to kill him? It is not bad mafia strategy to kill an experienced townie who leaves no real opinions or leads behind to be made more convincing by verifying his alignment.

I really don't see how an inexperianced player has anything involved in terms of killing Marshy. Also, I don't think anyone said that Macman is responsible for his death. Just saying that he's acting scummy.
No, I did say that Macman is part of the mafia that killed Marshy.

I will respond to statements by EE in a later post.
 

Tom

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i severely underestimated how sleepy my new depression medicine would make me. the post is going to have to come tomorrow afternoon. not a big deal, just letting you know because last time someone asked where it was when i said something was coming.
 

Pythag

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Ah! touche. That makes more sense...I see now.
Opens wide and places foot in mouth.
 

#HBC | Mac

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This is dumb; first of all, you do not even know whether or not I am scum. Secondly, even if I was, it is a common mafia tactic to place suspicion on eachother d1. Don’t think so one-dimensionally.
in case you haven't heard, Tom has reported you as scum. That's pretty darn close. I'm not thinking one-dimensionally, I'm thinking logically. Tom has claimed a against you, which means that probably either you or he is going to be lynched today, it's the smartest thing that can happen.
You seem to completely ignore my second statement. FrozenFlame is not clear even if I do turn up mafia because “it is a common mafia tactic to place suspicion on eachother d1”. That’s where my statement about not thinking so one-dimensionally comes in.

Haha, go ahead and read you screams.

I don't know many people that just flat out fake a claim like that. Tom's a good player but think about this : The cop /watcher / tracker isn't dead. Which means that faking claims would risk a counter claims to findings. To fake a claim would be to put yourself even more on the spot, because it means that you DEFINITELY get lynched when they kill your "guilty"

The way mafia is traditionally played is tracker/cop claims w/ guilty find so that the doctor can protect. Tom's claim as a pr has been up for awhile, with No counter claims whatsoever. To me I find that rather striking. You seem to be wanting something more.
EE already touched on this.

2) Macman keeps claiming "I don't see how I was scummy" which I find really lousy defense against a guilty claim. If macman was truly innocent, I believe he would have claimed and voted against tom, instead of questioning how tom is playing the game.
“I don’t see how I was scummy” was in reference to day 1. It is clearly not my defense against Tom’s claim. Why would I vote for Tom? I don’t strongly believe that he is mafia. And there is nothing wrong about questioning how tom is playing the game. Finding out the motives behind peoples actions are a part of winning in mafia. I am sorry if my defense seems inadequate. Put yourself in my position; what would you do if you didn’t think Tom was scum and didn’t want to expose your power role.


The point of my vague claim is so that Macman, who I know is guilty, cannot tailor a fake story to the specifics of the information I have on him. I would not mind claiming which role I have, but I will not do it before I hear more from Macman.
The inverse to this can be true as well. There is the possibility that you will complete your claim in a way that negates my real claim and still gets me lynched.

Specifically, before I hear more than his simple pointing out what could be wrong with any claim in general, which is what he has done. Read Macman's posts and see that he basically runs the gamut of game-mechanical possibilities and does not touch on anything I have done, anything he has said, and refuses to acknowledge that any of his own behavior has been suspicious. A clean manipulation can be found in his response to my saying he is strikingly inactive - he response that 'not posting in 1.5 days isn't inactive.' What he means to say is that the time between the start of Day 2 and his post was 1.5 days, but in honesty, the time between his last post and the time I called him out for inactivity was 7 days, part of this being night time, but part of it being day. Add this to his behavior on day 1: he voted me when i already had votes on me, without explanation, and then unvoted me when he was called out on it - he later excuses his behavior as 'making a vote in a phase that didn't seem to be serious.' Which invites the question, why did you make the vote, then? Was your vote not serious? If your vote wasn't serious, why was it on the person who already had three? The obvious and acceptable answer is bandwagoning.
Why would I want to touch on anything you have done? I was never attacking you and if I was you would have known. Also I asked you about why you suspected there was a watcher in this game, but you seemed to ignore that part of my post. You say that I did not “touch on anything I said and refuses to acknowledge how my behavior has been suspicious”. What? The things you said were suspicious was my vote on you D1, and I had already acknowledged that and gave my reason for why I made the vote. I asked why it is deemed as suspicious because I don’t agree that it is. What would you rather me say that everything I did is scummy and massively suspicious? I’m obviously not going to say that because I don’t believe that.

Wow, how are you so quick to call that manipulation? The exact time between my last post and your statement saying I was severely inactive was 6 days, 9 hours and 35 mins. Not exactly 7 like you stated sir Tomothy. Secondly, night last for over 3 days, so it was about 3 days of time where I could have posted that I didn’t. One and half from D1 and one and a half from d2, both periods of time where a good chunk of the players hadn’t posted either.

No my vote was not serious. Not serious in the sense that I thought you were mafia. I already told you why it was on you. You were annoying me with all your ‘unhelpful’ crap and completely disregarding EE’s posts. The obvious and acceptable answer is that I am bandwagoning? Right because I am stupid enough to actually believe such a wagon would be successful on one of the better players. Oh and I am also dumb enough to think that if it somehow was successful that I wouldn’t be called out day 2 for seemingly bandwagoning you with no reason whatsoever. But I guess I am just that bad at mafia.

As I mention earlier, I immediately came out with it because

1.) I believed that the suspicion that I held in the mob's eye was equivalent to any that you had. I received enough votes yesterday to be L-3. I found this to be more of any sign of hectic voting and suspicion that any claims of FOS, and rightfully so - they were votes. Pushing for a lynch could have quickly and easily backfired.
How would pushing for a lynch have “quickly and easily backfired”? Also you could have simply stated your observation if things weren’t going your way or if you felt you gathered an adequate amount of information/tells from others who have posted.

2.) What is to say that I, or anyone, cannot pick up on any tells from the discussion happening right now? Why do you suggest that it is more beneficial for the town for me to keep my information to myself and pick up tells knowing I have a guilty rather than letting everyone know that I have a guilty and allowing them to gather their own information, view the situation from a position of suspect, and gather their own tells? When the card flips, they will have confirmed the information I currently, personally have confirmed, and they will be able to work with what they have suspected already. Acknowledging this, answer me why it is, at ALL, a poor decision to claim the way I have?

3.) Claiming that I am a power role, after the lynch flip, provides me with nigh assured protection/watch. I cannot say the same about vehemently pushing for a lynch and being correct - Marshy pushed the **** out of the Stratford lynch in Tomafia 3, Stratford flipped scum, and Marshy was killed THAT night, even in the presence of an active doctor who simply picked incorrectly. The comparison has its differences, as Marshy was not a power role, but all things considered, if he were a power role and had simply pushed for a known lynch, nobody would have known if here were or weren't. It aptly makes my point and shaped my logic.
With an immediate claim like this, the accomplices of the person you suspect to be scum become way more cautious, making find tells much harder. And yet again, I wasn’t arguing that you should have kept it yourself, just that you should have waited before releasing such information. Instead it seems like you are trying to stifle conversation and go for the quick lynch.

Here is the situation in which my vague claim comes into play. Right here, you simply suggest that the problem with a tracker or a watcher is that you could have been a town power role and not a guilty cop investigation. If I had claimed tracker or watcher, you could easily simply state that you are a cop and try to out the real cop. If I had claimed cop, you could simply claim that I am either insane, paranoid, or that you are a miller. By giving you more information, you will simply shape a fake claim to sound legitimate.
The reason why I didn’t claim in my previous post was because I wanted to give you the chance to rethink this possibility that I may be a power role. If you continued to push my lynch, I will know for sure that you have already considered this possibility. So when I do claim you will know you forced this to happen and exposed a PR.

And here is where my statement that you are simply going through the motions of game mechanics as your defense is rooted. In the quote before, you stated that the problem was that my claim, if I were a tracker or a watcher, is fallible because if you are a power role then both my report would be right and your "guilty" would be because you were making an action on Marshy that was not a killing one. However, in this later quote, you state that the problem is that if you are lynched and are town, then I would 'almost definitely be lynched' because I pushed a lynch on a townie with purposefully crafted false information. Would I be lynched? What happened to the reasoning why my investigation is wrong, that you are a town power role making an action on Marshy Night 1 and thats why I thought you were guilty?
I still stand by both these statements. I still think you would be lynched or atleast the top candidate for a lynch simply because you were the cause of my lynch with your claim. Especially now that it is evident that you considered the possibility that I could be a PR.

Again, you say one thing and then immediately negate it with a second statement. Your strategy was x, but you realize that it is a weak argument because x. Then why do it? Why not respond immediately, if you know that your reasoning for waiting is poor and there are good reasons to respond quickly?
I came to the realization that it was a weak argument as I was writing that post, not before. Also not posting immediately would help see what peoples responses were to your claim and then seeing how their opinions/positions changed or did not change after I made my post.

I wanted to wait a bit before I claimed in order to hear from more people but w/e. Here it is:

I am Andy from Andy Punches.
I punch people just before they eat. Not only does it deprive them of food but it also gives them concussions.
I get to choose one person each night to punch and if they are targeting someone for a kill I stop the kill and cause them to lose their vote for the next day.

I urge people to feel free to post their opinions/thoughts.
 

Tom

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Immediately claiming doesn't stifle discussion. We're obviously having discussion now, aren't we? Those players that aren't posting now probably wouldn't have been posting then.

You're right in assuming I thought about the possibility that I was outing a town power role when I claimed by results, because the odds are still greatly in my favor that I'm not misinterpreting anything. I am a tracker, and I tracked you last night to Marshy. Marshy died. While there is a jump in the information, as I'm not told you *killed* Marshy, the situation plays itself out like this:

Macman was tracked to Marshy. Would he be tracked to Marshy if he killed him? Yes.

Macman was tracked to Marshy. Would he be tracked to Marshy if he didn't kill him? Only if he was a town PR who chose Marshy at the same time that the killer(s) chose him.

So you see, if there are 3 mafia that can be tracked to the kill, and one PR who happens to target the same person that night, then I still have 75% odds that my result is mafia.

I'm especially not convinced of your claim seeing as how you claim to punch people :urg: and then you punched Marshy and he died.

lol @ my being 'manipulative' for calling 6.5 days 7 when you called 6.5 days 1.5
 

Ronike

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Well I don't have enough time to make a huge post, but I'll try to get my thoughts out there:

Macman seems to be acting really scummy. Between the 1.5 days, the waiting til everyone is suspicious of him, and "I wasn't suspicious day 1" stuff, along with him trying to discredit Tom and the really strange role, I'm more than comfortable with voting on him now. Vote: Macman

Be back later with more maybe
 

Tom

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You glance over and see Melissa from the Bu, aka Marshy, aka a town villager, has died a horrible death. Her face has a dent from a powerful blow, and all around her lies the remains... of her breakfast.
The death flavor definitely involves punching someone as they are eating. However, doesn't it seem like the CAUSE of death was a powerful blow to the face?
 

Tom

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Double post because of a possible idea.

You know what this makes me think? It makes me think that Macman is a serial killer. If Macman, as Andy from Punching people before they eat, goes around killing people, I could see that as a serial killing role. What made me think of this was that Macman argued that if he waited long enough, everyone would be totally against him and he could say that since nobody was defending him, he was mafia. I also got this idea from thinking, well, if I were wrong about Macman being mafia, ie having mafia mates, then wouldnt mafia drop tells because they would know I am wrong? So they would say things like "assuming Tom is wrong," and stuff. And I saw some of that today which made me think that.

Just another possibility to think about. There is definitely the chance that Macman is a town PR and I just got an unluckily specific track, but I *did* track him to the dead body. Coincidental evidence is evidence.
 

Handorin

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And Handorin's avatar is still an avatar.

D2 Votes:
Macman: Tom, FF, Pythag, Ronike (4)
 

Tom

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Mac is L-3, but I would like to hear more from him so we can keep our back and forth going. It would also be good to know how everyone stands on the lynch before anybody gets lynched.
 

mentosman8

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Ok, after Macman's claim and having read Tom's explanation of why he was so vague+him actually claiming a specific role, I am sold on a Macman lynch. I agree we shouldn't do so now, but hold off a bit to keep discussion going.

The way Mac describes his role definitely helps this. He claims it only takes effect if he targets someone who is committing a kill. Now, that says 3 main things to me.

1. If this is really his role, and it is as he described, he is essentially an investigative doctor. With a tracker, and likely as Tom said, a watcher at the very least, this seems like a very strange role as he would be able to actually tell almost infallibly(minus hitting a shooting vig) that someone was an anti town role. It may be the case, but it's essentially a protective investigative vote-blocking role, which seems overpowered.
2. If it only takes effect on someone committing a kill, going from the flavor(I know, risky) it definitely took effect, and Marshy was a vanilla townie. Something doesn't add up.
3. This kind of role seems strange for the town anyway. A vote blocking role like this could potentially end the game a day early.(If there's a vig, let's say it's down to 4 townies, 2 scum. Vig shoots and is hit by the ability. Another person is killed. The votes are now 2-2 due to the effect, making it impossible for town to lynch when they absolutely have to, AND revealing the role of the vig so they can be shot avoiding their shot going through.)

As for him being an SK Tom, it is a possibility. However, this would be solely on the assumption we have a doc(not a bodyguard or similar other protective role), and they saved. If not it is safe to assume we only have mafia, but we won't know for sure until tonight.
 

Evil Eye

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I don't like how tom's claim has gone from "I have a guilty on Macman" to "I tracked Macman to Marshy which means he did something to Marshy and is probably guilty".

That said, Macman is dodgy enough to lynch, I suppose. I'm gunning for Tom if Mac flips innocent. So should all of you.

Vote: Macman
 

mentosman8

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I see why Tom would do it though. His reasoning why he wanted to keep his exact role secret was so that Mac couldn't tailor a response to correspond with his role. If Tom had said right away "I have Macman as potentially guilty" it would have defeated that effect as he would be obvious watcher/tracker, instead of still potential cop.
 

Tom

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I don't like how tom's claim has gone from "I have a guilty on Macman" to "I tracked Macman to Marshy which means he did something to Marshy and is probably guilty".

That said, Macman is dodgy enough to lynch, I suppose. I'm gunning for Tom if Mac flips innocent. So should all of you.

Vote: Macman
Excuse me? Would you care to look back at my claim and rethink what you just said?
 

Tom

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man, i guess i should just put it out there - i get major mafia-aligned traitor vibes from Evil Eye. He was going to be my n1 track but i decided that if i were so right about that, a traitor wouldnt *go* anywhere.
 

Evil Eye

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Talk to me when you don't derail the thread with your prowess in the art of the BJ >: (







Yes, that was a fellatio joke
 

Evil Eye

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And a traitor claim is pretty silly of you. Depending on Mac's flip, I still find you suspicious. Why would I send them after you if Mac flips innocent? The way I see it, if Mac is innocent, you're mafia or a lyncher. As a traitor I gain little from either pursuit.
 
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