I think it's about even, although I've never had top Mario experience.
First off, dthrow. Wolf has frame disadvantage anyways, until you change from the sliding animation to the tumbling animation. Idk how fast the cape comes out, but either cape or shield if you're worried he's going to fsmash or something after a dthrow, and then punish. If you shield, be cautious because some Wolves might dash up to you and regrab, or be sexy and try to run past > pivot grab. Teching leaves some characters at a frame advantage, some at a frame disadvantage, I'm not sure where Mario lies though.
So, gimping. Mario has a cape. Wolf barely has any control over his aerial movement after his recovery. Basically, **** us. Fireballs are annoying if Wolf is forced to recover low (shouldn't be happening often with good DI), and since our recovery is linear it makes for an easy cape if you can force us into a bad spot. Scarring (where Wolf ledgedrops and sideBs onto the stage) can also be caped, and... that really sucks. So if they're trying to use that against you, cape it. FLUDD too, gimps are what Mario is good at, take advantage of it.
On the other end of the spectrum, Wolf can shine gimp Mario quite effectively, although it is a bit tougher than some other shine gimps. As far as I know, Mario can't punish a well-spaced SHFF bair, so that might be an issue. You can combo Wolf quite well at low %s but remember that he has shine to break out of some strings. If you know where there might be gaps in your attacks and anticipate a shine, shield and punish the lag. All of our main aerials go through your fireballs iirc, not sure if that's uncommon but it's something to keep in mind, Wolf can bair through all your fireballs with ease.
So before I stop making sense, I'll conclude with about an even matchup. I've never lost to a Mario before, but as I said I've never played a top one. You should emphasize gimping and low % combos to make this matchup as close to even as possible, if you can't take advantage of either of those you're in some trouble.
And lol, I'm slow. Gindler ninja'd me with most of the stuff I said except in less words. Whatever
First off, dthrow. Wolf has frame disadvantage anyways, until you change from the sliding animation to the tumbling animation. Idk how fast the cape comes out, but either cape or shield if you're worried he's going to fsmash or something after a dthrow, and then punish. If you shield, be cautious because some Wolves might dash up to you and regrab, or be sexy and try to run past > pivot grab. Teching leaves some characters at a frame advantage, some at a frame disadvantage, I'm not sure where Mario lies though.
So, gimping. Mario has a cape. Wolf barely has any control over his aerial movement after his recovery. Basically, **** us. Fireballs are annoying if Wolf is forced to recover low (shouldn't be happening often with good DI), and since our recovery is linear it makes for an easy cape if you can force us into a bad spot. Scarring (where Wolf ledgedrops and sideBs onto the stage) can also be caped, and... that really sucks. So if they're trying to use that against you, cape it. FLUDD too, gimps are what Mario is good at, take advantage of it.
On the other end of the spectrum, Wolf can shine gimp Mario quite effectively, although it is a bit tougher than some other shine gimps. As far as I know, Mario can't punish a well-spaced SHFF bair, so that might be an issue. You can combo Wolf quite well at low %s but remember that he has shine to break out of some strings. If you know where there might be gaps in your attacks and anticipate a shine, shield and punish the lag. All of our main aerials go through your fireballs iirc, not sure if that's uncommon but it's something to keep in mind, Wolf can bair through all your fireballs with ease.
So before I stop making sense, I'll conclude with about an even matchup. I've never lost to a Mario before, but as I said I've never played a top one. You should emphasize gimping and low % combos to make this matchup as close to even as possible, if you can't take advantage of either of those you're in some trouble.
And lol, I'm slow. Gindler ninja'd me with most of the stuff I said except in less words. Whatever