Here is why we suspect Soup:
In his very first post of the game, he immediately throws a bead on Gheb, saying that Gheb is dangerous and needs to be watched. His very next post, he immediately throws his support in something Gheb says. Hell, this entire game, he's been right on Gheb's ****, throwing his support at Gheb and even saying that he was glad he and Gheb can be friends. What happened to Gheb being dangerous? Where's the argument, the attempt to flesh out the read, the follow-up on that statement, anything that suggests that he sincerely thought Gheb was dangerous, that Gheb was a threat? He threw that statement out there and immediately contradicted it with what he did. He does it again to a lesser extent with Rake as well.
The Orbo wagon itself is something I just don't like (save for marshy). The reason it started was such bogus. Soup just floated a vote out there on nothing. He says Orbo needs to have more meat to his posts but it's a catch-up post in the first place and Orbo gave his stances on things. It's not like it was void of content. That's been the entire basis of his case and yet, Orbo's given his thoughts, he's given his stances, that's about all you can expect. He then says it's all faked (irony over him getting butthurt at us calling him fake?) and that it's just rushed. It doesn't take into context that Orbo's newer, Orbo's bad, and that's about all you can expect from Orbo. Ergo, it feels like a lynch lacking suspicion and a lynch for the sake of a lynch.
And then he gets defensive over a weightless jab by Rockin. That's just shady. It's ****in' Rockin, you wouldn't get lynched over something like that. His explanation was something along the lines of it didn't mean anything and he didn't explain it, but you wouldn't flip out over something like that as town.