FlareHabanero
Banned via Warnings
No one is a shoe-in. There may be characters that are likely, but nobody is 100% guaranteed. All we can do is wait until judgement day comes to gather all the information.
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I don't see the use in saying that.No one is a shoe-in. There may be characters that are likely, but nobody is 100% guaranteed. All we can do is wait until judgement day comes to gather all the information.
Not fond of cutting Jiggly, Snake and replacing Red with a Johto Trainer. And I'd replace Muddy Mole with Isaac. Rest of the roster is good.I made this yesterday but forgot to post here.
What do you think?
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I don't see the use of saying a lot of things to be honest.I don't see the use in saying that.
No. Because Ridley, Little Mac and King K. Rool have very real negatives going against them that could (though unlikely) keep them from being playable. The other four don't.So yeah, basically they're all shoe-ins.
Every character has something. It's just really how much does it actually matter.No. Because Ridley, Little Mac and King K. Rool have very real negatives going against them that could (though unlikely) keep them from being playable. The other four don't.
Why do those games count and the others don't? Because the games that count are the ones made by Nintendo EAD. Notice that most of the playable Nintendo characters in Smash are from first-party Nintendo games, not from second-party Nintendo games (except Pokemon).Just because a character is in a game doesn't mean people like them. See Tingle.
The point I'm making is that people keep saying "Waluigi wont be in because he is unimportant." Why is he unimportant? "Because he wasn't in the main game of course." But why do those games count and other don't? There is no reason.
What matters is people like Waluigi and it has shown. Sakurai adds characters people will find interesting and they find Waluigi interesting. There isn't much to say beyond that.
You could probably say that Mewtwo doesn't have much of a negative at all at this point, but to say those other three don't when saying Ridley, Rool, and Mac do is a bit silly. They all have negatives to their name. You're also putting the more popular ones below the others???No. Because Ridley, Little Mac and King K. Rool have very real negatives going against them that could (though unlikely) keep them from being playable. The other four don't.
Do they, though? Why are the negatives that (I assume) are being held against those three more real than those that I can say exist against the other four? We have no history of size or "relevance" keeping characters from a Smash game, for example, but Sakurai specifically said he kept his own creation (Meta Knight) out of Melee because of wanting to put other characters before his own (and considering he designed modern Palutena and the new game that made her a possibility for Smash in the first place, saying he has free reign with the franchise because he didn't invent it is a bit of a cop-out).No. Because Ridley, Little Mac and King K. Rool have very real negatives going against them that could (though unlikely) keep them from being playable. The other four don't.
That doesn't make sense. The issue with second party series was ownership. Nintendo has full claim to anything and everything Mario so there is no issue with Waluigi being in a second party developed game.Nearly all of Mario spin-off games where Waluigi show up in are made by second-party teams or even third-party teams. This does not bode well for Waluigi when there are prominent first-party Mario characters like Toad, Bowser Jr., Paper Mario, and even Rosalina (both of her spin-off appearances are in Mario Kart games) for Sakurai to choose. If Sakurai doesn't choose second-party Nintendo characters (except Pokemon) over first-party Nintendo characters, why would he suddenly choose second-party Mario characters over first-party Mario characters?
That settles everything, I hope.Nintendo wholly owns the right of Waluigi.
Slightly correction, but Meta Knight is not the right character. It's actually King Dedede that was avoided in both Smash 64 and Melee, which is supported by interviews.We have no history of size or "relevance" keeping characters from a Smash game, for example, but Sakurai specifically said he kept his own creation (Meta Knight) out of Melee because of wanting to put other characters before his own.
http://forums.sega.com/showthread.p...s-Brawl-Poll&p=1502944&viewfull=1#post1502944Slightly correction, but Meta Knight is not the right character. It's actually King Dedede that was avoided in both Smash 64 and Melee, which is supported by interviews.
MarthI was thinking, I would really like it IF we ended up getting two Fire Emblem characters that one go to Roy/Chrom, and the other to a more "interesting" Fire Emblem character.
How would your FE roster look under this criteria?
Marth
Roy
Ike
Micaiah
would be mine.
I would say that even Palutena, Takamaru,and Shulk also are not shoe-ins. In actuality with Smash 4 there are none. Palutena could be passed over due to Sakurai humbleness, Takamaru could be passed over for another retro revival character, and Shulk is more niche as far as an active "series" than any other character that ever got into Smash Bros.I'd wager it's less than six. The only characters that are about as likely as you can get are Mewtwo, Palutena, Takamaru and Shulk. Although this isn't the popular thing to say; Ridley, King K. Rool and Little Mac are not shoe in characters. They aren't quite in the toss up category, but they definitely are not guarantees (even Shulk is stretching it to some extent).
I get that you're probably trying to inspire caution, but it's not really necessary. No one rational thinks a character is 100% guaranteed.No. Because Ridley, Little Mac and King K. Rool have very real negatives going against them that could (though unlikely) keep them from being playable. The other four don't.
HmmI was thinking, I would really like it IF we ended up getting two Fire Emblem characters that one go to Roy/Chrom, and the other to a more "interesting" Fire Emblem character.
How would your FE roster look under this criteria?
Marth
Roy
Ike
Micaiah
would be mine.
To name a few I'm sure were viewed in that way pre-ANNOUNCEMENT, like now:Having not been around for the first half of pre-Brawl, I wonder if there were ever any legitimate shoo-ins back then. I'm sure most of the characters labeled as such ended up becoming playable, but if we, as gamers, speculated the intensive way we do now back in 2005-2006, rather than just stuff like 'he deserves to be in,' would we have found reasons to hold against those characters and consider them 'very likely but not shoo-ins' as well?
Four Fire Emblem characters would be awesome yeah. Am hoping for this to happen.I was thinking, I would really like it IF we ended up getting two Fire Emblem characters that one go to Roy/Chrom, and the other to a more "interesting" Fire Emblem character.
How would your FE roster look under this criteria?
Marth
Roy
Ike
Micaiah
would be mine.
There was a lot of fighting about Sonic and Ike (the pre-Brawl FE scene was much worse than it is now). For Sonic although he was definitely the most wanted character, he received a lot of hate due to the quality of his most recent releases at the time and for his neurotic and creepy fanbase. There was also people attacking Sonic for (all he can do is roll into a ball).To name a few I'm sure were viewed in that way pre-ANNOUNCEMENT, like now:
Wario
Diddy
MK
Dedede
Sonic
At a later point, Olimar *almost* had this. Same with Ike. Lucario was a toss-up. Wolf too.
(Hey look, the most popular characters of those days. (Ridley's fanbase had less exposure those days, and ZSS put some of the fire out. Also Krystal had a size able fanbase, but nowhere near above.)
Hah! Those Sonic arguments are as silly as arguments against Mac today. (All he can do is punch). Oh, and additionally, Diddy had the same negatives against him that K. Rool has today (Irrelevant, clone of Donkey Kong (In K. Rool case it's often Bowser, but for both that's stupid people being stupid.)There was a lot of fighting about Sonic and Ike (the pre-Brawl FE scene was much worse than it is now). For Sonic although he was definitely the most wanted character, he received a lot of hate due to the quality of his most recent releases at the time and for his neurotic and creepy fanbase. There was also people attacking Sonic for (all he can do is roll into a ball).
Except for the fact that it's a lot more quiet these days and that there is less to talk about. The only ones that have extensive support are Ridley, King K. Rool, Mewtwo, and Mega Man. Everything else is more modest, though how modest varies.Today's popular characters seem to me just like Brawl's.
Not really, I don't remember much naysayers against Diddy Kong. I remember some people saying that King Dedede would not be in due to Sakurai talking about how humble he was about including Kirby characters for Melee, and that adding two newcomers would be "too much".Oh, and additionally, Diddy had the same negatives against him that K. Rool has today (Irrelevant, clone of Donkey Kong (In K. Rool case it's often Bowser, but for both that's stupid people being stupid.)
What I'm getting at is that it's easy to look back and say that definite shoo-ins existed for Brawl because that's what speculation led us to believe at the time. No one really argued over the impact of Sonic's popularity being largely confined to the U.S., or Diddy not being in Jungle Beat and Nintendo Tokyo deeming him "not fresh"; because it was all just "It's Sonic's turn to show up as a third party" and "Diddy has so much moveset potential," these characters' shoo-in status was never questioned.To name a few I'm sure were viewed in that way pre-ANNOUNCEMENT, like now:
Wario
Diddy
MK
Dedede
Sonic
At a later point, Olimar *almost* had this. Same with Ike. Lucario was a toss-up. Wolf too.
(Hey look, the most popular characters of those days. (Ridley's fanbase had less exposure those days, and ZSS put some of the fire out. Also Krystal had a size able fanbase, but nowhere near above.)
I think all six have GOOD chances, I suppose. I have the hardest time considering Ridley a shoe-in out of all of them though. He's got too many strikes so far for me to necessarily consider him a shoe-in. Likely? Sure. K. Rool kinda has Dixie to worry about, IMO so I wouldn't consider him TOO MUCH of a shoe-in. I would say Little Mac and Shulk are probably the top two candidates for the smaller franchise characters, so they have a good chance. Takamaru is unrivaled in the retro department. Nuff said. Palutena showed up bunches in Brawl, and with Sakurai developing Kid Icarus Uprising, I can see her or Medusa popping up on the roster.Guess I'll throw out a topic here.
I have wanted to make a good prediction roster, but I feel it's really hard to pin down characters this time around. I look at someone and I say "Nah, not good enough." But the problem is that everyone is not good enough. There are 6 characters that I feels are shoe ins
To close, I want to get the opinions of the peanut gallery: Who do you all think has a good chance outside of the six mentioned above?
- Little Mac
- Takamaru
- Shulk
- Palutena
- King K Rool
- Ridley
On Samurai Goroh/F-Zero in general, I would see a new character being added solely from Sakurai's point of view. On the western front F-Zero characters are frankly, some of the lesser wanted characters. I don't consider their fan-demand to be booming. Is enough there to notice? I suppose. But I don't see fan-demand being Goroh's biggest ally.Outside of these guys, it really is a toss up. Anything could go. Here are some other characters I have looked at.
- Dixie Kong - She's a pretty popular choice worldwide and was suppose to be in Brawl
- Samurai Goroh - I think there is demand for more F-Zero characters and this is a pretty well known character overall
- Ghirahim - He popular. Unlike Brawl, everyone seems more unified on a Zelda character/ I think Sakurai also doesn't mind having another as he did plan for Toon Zelda
- Mario Mario - Either Waluigi or Doc. I figure Sakurai tries to keep Mario, Pokemon and Zelda together. I can go more into this if anyone wants.
- Another Kid Icarus character - Every game has had two series that got two new characters (for Brawl, it was Kirby and Pokemon). With a new title and a ton of characters, it wouldn't be surprising if there was one more. Medusa is one though. I've even entertained Magnus since he was playable
- Retro character - Every Smash Brothers game has had a classic character. Melee was Game and Watch. Bralw was ROB. There will likely be one more. I've said Sheriff since he was Nintendo first arcade game back in the 1979. It's been referenced in other Nintendo games.
- Karate Joe - I always said this because I figure Rhythm Heaven will get something. It gets ignored more in the west. It's bigger in Japan.
- Dillon - Not very confident in him, but he has some reason. People seem generally receptive to him. He is a new characters from Nintendo and had two games. Plus he would be the first eShop character.
You forgot WAAAA.Except for the fact that it's a lot more quiet these days and that there is less to talk about. The only ones that have extensive support are Ridley, King K. Rool, Mewtwo, and Mega Man. Everything else is more modest, though how modest varies.
It just sort of shows how we're approaching the bottom of the barrel in terms of All-Stars, and that the fanbase has matured to the point where can agree on the most likely remaining candidates even if we don't care for one or two of them. I still remember those Fire Emblem debates. Yeesh.Except for the fact that it's a lot more quiet these days and that there is less to talk about. The only ones that have extensive support are Ridley, King K. Rool, Mewtwo, and Mega Man. Everything else is more modest, though how modest varies.
You forgot WAAAA.
Well Palutena is pretty high up there (higher in Japan but still fairly high everywhere), which is mainly contributed to her portrayal in Kid Icarus: Uprising fleshing her out and disproving any concerns. One thing to keep in mind that it's being consistent even after a whole year since the release of Kid Icarus: Uprising. So it's more then simply a petty bandwagon.Edit 2: Electric Boogaloo: Palutena seems nearly unanimous; she may be lower on the US list but she's still UP there, and she places around with K. Rool on Japanese lists right? (Which is much higher than here)