Like the fleas in our fur, he keeps coming back.
Chance: So... let's see. What can I say about Crash Bandicoot's chances...? Oh boy did Banjo change everything. Before, there was at least one reason to believe Crash wouldn't happen: he was owned by a western developer team, and that might've been a problem! Mii Costume theory could have pointed us towards Capcom, Capcom 2, SEGA 2, or Namco! But not anymore... no siree, now that we have Banjo and Kazooie from Microsoft, and since Hero didn't release with Geno or Chocobo, I'm thinking Crash is very likely, but... wait, where's the flaws?
- An extremely popular and iconic series that came back to much fanfare before many others.
- Recently he sells like hotcakes.
- Crash can bring something new in the form of Crates and Aku Aku (and in the worst case scenario, Jacking Titans. Sorry I put that image in your heads.)
- Crash's games, unlike the character below, have Japanese popularity. And they had more than plenty.
- Crash also at least had SOME games in the 2000's that were decently regarded if not liked (Twinsanity being chief among them, warts and all), again unlike the character below who I have heard no positive opinions of any game outside the original trilogy in the original series. So his scope isn't as limited as Banjo, since he had something of a 2000's (hell, I would say Crash had a better mid-2000's than Sonic, or at least up to 2008).
- The guy was, at one point, able to top Mario, and it was through his help Sony became the gaming they are today, so he has impact on the gaming industry.
- Banjo is already a character who had to wait from 2008 to 2019 for a new game (which isn't even his own). Crash came back sooner than that, so the last "new" installment of his series being poorly regarded isn't something I think matters too much, even if we want to pretend N. Sane and Nitro Fueled don't count.
- Everything lines up perfectly with the DLC timeline. Came back in 2016, truly came back 2017 with a vengeance, had something going for him in 2018 when the DLC was decided upon.
- Banjo does not fill his niche for ****. Crash is a character who fights mostly on his own, Banjo can't do anything worthwhile without Kazooie until Tooie and even then he's nerfed. Crash is popular with Sony fans while Banjo covers Nintendo fans.
- Activision is... not the most popular company, yes, but I'm very certain that this controversy is too recent to change whether or not he's in. And they brought back Snake and added Simon and Richter even though Konami isn't very well liked either. So, I don't think Activision will blow this chance, they simply knew where PSAS was going when they didn't let in Spyro and Crash.
- [As an aside, they're theories but they're still alive. Color Theory would basically fit him perfectly, no other orange character has the legacy and star power he does. Companion Theory is far, far more debatable and less likely to be true but Aku Aku passes that mark too. But I'm assuming coincidences for now, so even though Color/Companion are alive I'll pretend they got debunked for the purposes of my score. Otherwise he'd have 100%, or 95% if one was true but not the other.]
So, yeah, I have absolutely no reason to believe he won't be in the game. While anything can happen, I think he gets an 80% and is very, very likely but Im accounting for the off-chance Sakurai just didn't feel like it. I was tempted to go 90, but I'm thinking that might be a little overconfident (an 80 is what many would consider overconfident, though).
Want: 95%. I'm willing to settle for not having Arle even if she far outstrips him beyond what the rating system implies, and while Activision did a bad recently, I would still love to see Crash in the game. But it's mostly to satisfy a childhood itch more than anything, but then again, that should be considered a popular thing. And that's with the 2000's games, the "lesser" ones (though I'd play Wrath/Twinsanity/CTTR any day over the trilogy but props to CTR for being really good), many people would be pleased with it as well.
Enter the Dragonfly is the Sonic 06 of Spyro, and you really can't change that.
Chance: 10%. Not because Crash totally destroys him in a competition, but because Tracer and Arthas finish off whatever's left of his corpse. In addition, Spyro has pretty much next to no Japanese popularity (crucial when that's where the games are made) and went through what I'd consider a far, far worse mid 2000's that very few remember fondly, so he pretty much only appeals to people who first experienced him in 1998-2000 or through PSN titles. That sounds a lot more like Banjo. I think his comeback was also more likely than not a little too late to help out with the DLC cycle much.
I could see him as the third or fourth Activision character, but I have trouble seeing him get in before Tracer, let alone Crash.
Want: 50%... ish. Unlike Crash, I'm part of the majority that believes that Spyro peaked with Insomniac's trilogy. And Spyro 1 and I don't get along that well, so Spyro only really has 2 and 3 to win me over. Fortunately they're great... but honestly, I have trouble imagining him holding items without looking weird. Still, Spyro's a crowd pleaser, and I think he'd be a wonderful inclusion.
More Bosses x 5. Maxwell is looking at a 2.19%, and Hollow Knight a 4.76%.