Wiseguy said:
That is a very, very well done moveset and I could definitely see it working in Smash. But IO somehow think that with Wario having his own chopper, Sakurai might view yet another motorcycle riding character as redundant. Still, he would be a cool addition so I wouldn't rule him out completely.
I think he´s different enough from Wario, but I do see your point. Maybe if he never got off his bike, like OysterMeister pointed out. Iunno. I might revise his moveset later.
But meanwhile, let me introduce to you my newest list. Before you go clamoring for Wolf or the Black Knight, however, I´d like to point that this is who I really think is going to be in in SSBB, not who I
hope will be in SSBB. So, lesse...
01. Mario
Confirmed. Moving on.
02. Luigi
He´s the second most popular character of the biggest videogame franchise ever. Why not do the math? I do think that Luigi will be given at least one more original move this time though, possibly having to do with the Poltergust 3000. Just because Sakurai´s not a fan of clones anymore.
03. Princess Peach
An obvious shoe-in, having starred in SSBM and being one of the most famous videogame characters. I think that for her Up B, the parasol will be replaced with Parry from Super Princess Peach. It´s possible that the Peach Bomber will turn into the Anger emotion from the same game, but that may be asking too much.
04. Bowser
Confirmed. Hopefully he´ll be less laggy this time, but I have high expectations for him. Love his new look by the way.
05. Bowser Jr.
On of the most-wanted Mario characters for this game. Bowser Jr. has starred as main antagonist in two of the biggest games of his franchise in recent years: Super Mario Sunshine and New Super Mario Bros. E. Gadd´s Brush provides more than enough techniques and abilities for a completely original moveset, and no other Mario character has chances as high as him. Geno is third party and comparatively little-known, Fawful is obscure and Sakurai had no idea of who he was, Daisy, Petey Piranha and Waluigi are filler characters that did not figure in the poll, Toad did not appear in the poll and his appearance as both stage backdrop and B-move for Peach demonstrate that he´s not important enough to Sakurai to justify more than an Assist Trophy, Paper Mario is Mario (and the 2D character spot is taken) and everyone else is either generic or obscure, or both. So there.
06. Yoshi
Confirmed. Many thought that the babies from Yoshi´s Island would ride him and possibly even affect his moveset, but Sakurai demonstrated that he won´t fix if it ain´t broke.
07. Donkey Kong
Confirmed. Looks the same as always.
08. Diddy Kong
First off, moveset is not a problem for Diddy Kong, having access to an electric guitar, dual peanut guns, a barrel jetpack, monkey acrobatics, a kart, a plane and a raft, and several large animals to boot. But that can also be said for many competitors. So why Diddy Kong? Popularity. Everyone expects him to get in and he was one of the most requested characters in Sakurai´s poll. Well known, star of the recently re-released Diddy Kong Racing, he´s a bit of a no-brainer. The reason why I think he´ll fight alone instead of tag-team with Dixie is because it limits his moveset, as Dixie doesn´t have nearly as many techniques and having Diddy do everything would be senseless, but also because I think that Sakurai will include the Ice Climbers as the tag-teaming characters. A second duet would take away the originality of the idea.
09. Wario
Confirmed. WarioWare is a relatively new franchise and doesn´t garner enough popularity to have a second addition. There is nobody in the franchise who comes even close to Wario in terms of popularity, so the idea that a second character from the series will be added is little more than wishful thinking.
10. Pit
Confirmed. It´s nice that Sakurai is giving retro characters a new look, but he´s a bit too Kingdom Heartsy for my tastes. Oh, well. It´s what´s in.
11. Link (of Ordon)
Confirmed. Link is based off of his appearance in The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess, so we can expect other aspects of him to change accordingly. Like many, I wouldn´t be surprised to see his Boomerang updated to the Gale Boomerang, and the Clawshot replacing the Hookshot for grabs.
12. Zelda (of Twilight)
Confirmed. Although a brunette, which is odd since she hasn´t done that since her sprited days, Zelda is generally based off of Twilight Princess like Link is. However, Sakurai hasn´t changed her techniques to suit what she did in TP, which means that again he isn´t making changes where it isn´t necessary.
13. Ganondorf
Ganondorf will obviously get his Twilight Princess looks as well. It´s very possible that Sakurai will give him his sword to herald his declonification, which he seems very keen on doing for this game (and cutting Ganondorf is not an option). However, Ganondorf could also be an original character without his sword, so that´s still up in the air.
14. Midna
Midna appeared in the poll, she was one of the most important characters in Twilight Princess--which SSBB is pushing in the Zelda department--, she´s a female (which is points in Sakurai´s book) and has a number of techniques (hair, phasing/portals, dark magic, area attack) to work with. I don´t think that she´ll be riding Wolf Link, although I do think it´s still a definite possibility. Midna appeared on the poll as riding Wolf Link and that´s how you control her through the game, but I think that Sakurai will simply recognize that it´s a lot easier to make Midna go on foot--and Link is already in the game. Either way, I´m sure she´ll appear. Tingle isn´t popular in the West and Nintendo is acknowledging it, and he didn´t appear in TP. Sadly, everyone else in the Zelda universe also loses to Midna, because of her position as new character from TP. And let´s face it, Twilight Princess is the Zelda that SSBB is representing, just like how it represented Ocarina of Time in SSBM and that´s pretty much the only reason why Sheik and Young Link got in. If it wasn´t made clear, I think that Midna will show up in her cursed (imp) form, for obvious reasons. I won´t discard the possibility of her taking on her real appearance for her Final Smash.
15. Pikachu
Confirmed. Yeah, let´s continue. I think Pikachu will be the same as it´s always been, maybe a little faster but I doubt it.
16. Jigglypuff
The immortal, inmutable Jiggs. Although its popularity has waned since Super Smash Bros. 64--even in Japan--its presence in two last games, its original moves and the fact that nobody really
despises it has secured it a spot in SSBB. I really don´t see it leaving, or changing much for that matter.
17. Mewtwo
Mewtwo is a similar case to Jigglypuff. Everybody knows it and to some degree likes it, and there is no real need for its disappearance or replacement considering how it has an original moveset. If anything, Sakurai will probably realize that it was very hard to use in SSBM and will make it a more accessible character, as he seems to want to make the game easier in general anyway. Why Mewtwo over Gardevoir? In the end, they´re similar Pokémon, and Mewtwo wins because it was in SSBM and therefore will be much easier to program into SSBB. If Sakurai makes anything of Gardevoir´s appearance in the polls, I don´t think it´ll more than a note to self to make sure Gardevoir is a Poké Ball Pokémon. If Deoxys didn´t get in, then Gardevoir is a very long shot.
18. Munchlax
Everyone knows that a Pokémon from Generation IV (The Diamond and Pearl one) will appear, because the games have made a gigantic splash worldwide. But when considering which Pokémon it will be, everyone seems to ignore Munchlax´s outstanding chances. It was featured in Destiny Deoxys, a movie released long before the rest of Generation IV was unveiled, and since then has steadily gained popularity in the East much like Jigglypuff did when Pokémon was in its Gameboy days. It appears in a myriad of memorabilia, was featured along with Pikachu in Pokémon Dash and a main character in the anime series catches one. Most people seem to dislike him because he´s not much of a breakaway from the usual Super Smash Bros. Pokémon (small, cutesy), and that´s fine. If it were up to me I´d put Carnivine in Brawl, darnit. However, you have to recognize that out of all Diamond and Pearl´s Pokémon that are suitable for a fighting game, Munchlax is the one with the most right to call it itself the representative of its generation. Lucario seems to be the most likely contender, and the race between the two is admittedly tight. Lucario was also featured in a movie, and it´s quite well-liked in the West. But the truth is that--aside from the fact that Sakurai
will and
is listening to Japan more than the rest of the world (Japanese-only poll, anyone?), Lucario lacks the visible popularity. He wasn´t in the poll (but then again neither was Munchlax), there´s no noticeable love for him. I´m not sure that Sakurai will pick up to just how many people want him in. I would not be surprised to see the Wave-Guiding Pokémon instead of Munchlax, but my money is still on this one.
19. Kirby
Confirmed. It wasn´t like Sakurai, the creator of Kirby, wasn´t going to include him, anyway.
20. Meta Knight
Confirmed. Can you notice how Sakurai isn´t afraid to include more of his own creations anymore?
21. King Dedede
Which brings me to him. King Dedede was
the most requested character in Sakurai´s poll, demonstrating that popular approval of him is stellarly high. Furthermore, King Dedede is Sakurai´s own creation, and the third most popular character in the Kirby franchise. The people like him and the man likes him. In conclusion, anyone who questions King Dedede´s possibilities of appearing in Super Smash Bros. Brawl needs to have an incredibly good argument. Regarding moves, King Dedede would obviously be floaty, but also has several mallet techniques of his own as well as unique abilities. If the situation gets dire, he could even have Kirby´s Side B attack.
22. Samus
Confirmed. Look at her Power Suit shine!
23. Zero-Suit Samus
Confirmed. Zero-Suit Samus has by far generated the most controversy among Super Smash Bros. fanatics. Right now the situation seems to indicate that the only way to play as her will be by using Samus´ Final Smash, which is a highly unorthodox decision. However, it doesn´t change the fact that she is a completely different character and take the same time to program as any other, for which I´m including her in this list. But what if Zero-Suit Samus isn´t a full-fledged character? The fact that she can "change" to Whip mode seems to suggest that her only way of attacking besides her body will be the Galactic Federation pistol in its two different forms. Either way, that remains to be seen.
24. Ridley
Ridley is the only contender for Metroid. Either he is added or nobody other than Samus is. He was the only Metroid character to feature in Sakurai´s poll (and ranked quite high), has potential for a moveset to call his own and would bring something very new to SSBB in the form of a heavy floater; not to mention that Sakurai is very keen on aerial combat this time around. I agree that Ridley will be difficult to get into the game without making him look awkward due to body structure and the size of his wings, but am certain that Sakurai´s willing to work around these difficulties. An idea that springs to mind would be to have Ridley´s wings be smaller than normal, and only extend them to full size when he is jumping. Either way, I think that his appearance is completely plausible and extremely likely. I´m not a big fan of Ridley--personally--but am convinced that he´ll make it in.
25. Fox
Confirmed. Again we see that his moves are the same as in SSBM, even though his look is straight out of Command.
26. Falco
Did you notice how I kept pointing out that Sakurai has kept things the same where it wasn´t necessary to change them when it comes to characters? I did have a point there. Falco is an important and well-liked character, not only by the Super Smash Bros. community but also by everyone who knows of the Star Fox franchise, and seeing how he already is in SSBM it would make little sense to not welcome him into the next installation. Sakurai has stressed how he doesn´t want clones in SSBB, which is where Falco´s new weapons, look and abilities coming from Assault enter the scene. I think that Falco will be making an appearance in SSBB either as a completely original character or at least having a couple moves to call entirely his own. Why does he win against Wolf? Because he was already in SSBM, because Wolf is similar to Fox in appearance and because there hasn´t been much visible support for Wolf to appear in SSBB. Without a clear newcomer wanted, the most logical thing is to bring the guys from the last game over to this one.
27. Krystal
Krystal was one of the most highly requested newcomers for SSBB, and the only Star Fox new character who was really requested. Her relevance to Star Fox Adventures and Assault, as well as the fact that she can draw from both her staff and her futuristic weapons for techniques, as well as her status as female, combine to make her an obvious shoe-in as the newcomer from her franchise. While I think that it would be great if Krystal combined her staff powers with her Assault look and gadgets, I think that Sakurai will go solely with Assault Krystal in order to keep with futuristic feel of the Star Fox roster.
28. Ike
Ike is another shoe-in; request in poll, general popularity in East and West, starred in two FE games, advertises Goddess of Dawn, perfectly fit for a fighting game. Similar appearance, the fact that he wields a sword and his position as twice-Lord also make me think that he will replace Marth in this game, who, while rightfully an important character to the franchise, has sadly fallen out of relevance. Ike could even inherit Marth´s moveset, making his inclusion that much easier.
29. Roy
Let´s face it: Roy doesn´t really deserve to be in SSBB. He starred one of the more mediocre games of the franchise--and only that one--his presence in SSBM was only for the sake of avertisement and brings nothing original or new to the fray (male, fire user, swordsman). So why is Sakurai going to bring him back? Because he can very easily be remade into an original character with moves of his own, and then he´s a perfect fit. Roy at least has presence in the West thanks to his inclusion in the last Super Smash Bros., and thus wins over all the other Fire Emblem contenders. Eliwood, Lyndis and Hector are nice, but Japan didn´t like the portable Fire Emblems. Nabarl, Ayra and Oguma are cool, but nobody outside of Japan has a clue of who they are. The Black Knight is popular, but the position of heavy evil swordsman has been (potentially) claimed by Ganondorf and Ike is already the representative of Path of Radiance and Goddess of Dawn. The only other Fire Emblem character who I think will make it in is...
30. Sigurd
Sigurd seems like an odd choice to most. He´s not known outside of Japan either, and he´s male and weilds a sword, so nothing impressive or new there. Why? Because of popularity with the people and the creator. Sigurd was also requested in Sakurai´s poll, and quite a bit, as well as protagonizes what is arguably the most popular and best-liked Fire Emblem in Japan. Unlike Ike or Roy, he´s from the older installations to the franchise, something that is left without representatives now that Marth is leaving, and he wins against every other retro character from his series thanks to sheer popularity. The second side of this reasoning is shakier. It´s commonly stated that Sakurai likes the character Sigurd, and has already considered his inclusion in the Super Smash Bros. franchise. If this is true, then his chances are basically guaranteed, but either way I think that he´ll be the new Fire Emblem character this time around, along with shoe-in Ike. The most likely contender against him, I think, would be the Black Knight, but I think Sigurd still wins (barely).
31. Lucas
Sakurai has said that he would have replaced Ness with the main MOTHER3 character had the game been released--as originally planned--before Super Smash Bros. Melee. Now that MOTHER3 is (finally) out, with hugely positive reactions in Japan, there is no reason why Sakurai won´t due what he had planned originally. Lucas could potentially inherit all of Ness´ moveset or have moves of his own, but also comes with the added bonus of having the perfect Final Smash: PK LOVE. The Earthbound series has never been too big in the USA and Ness has never had huge support to remain in SSBM, so I don´t think that the Studio will lose sleep over having no international representative for a franchise that is as niche as they come.
32. Captain Falcon
Do I really have to state my reasoning? Samurai Goro is confirmed as Assist Trophy, SSBB has been revealed to include an F-Zero symbol, Captain Falcon has been in the last two games and is the protagonist of his franchise. What else do you need? The only thing that I don´t think will happen is the inclusion of another F-Zero character. Samurai Goro was the most likely contender, and he didn´t make it. I really believe that F-Zero will be a one-character franchise in Super Smash Bros. for third time.
33. Animal Crosser
Or whatever he/she ends up being called. By Animal Crosser I refer to the human character that the player controls in the Animal Crossing games, who can be male or female and whose appearance can be changed by the player. Super Smash Bros. Brawl has already been revealed to feature Animal Crossing as a franchise through the Smashville stage, and characters Tom Nook and KK Slider--two of the biggest candidates--were deconfirmed by being in the stage background (the idea that either will be playable and then disappear from the background kinda borders on denial). Many human villagers also show up in the background of set stage, but this makes perfect sense. The Animal Crosser would be the only character whose appearance you can customize, answering to the call of a customizeable character in SSBB but still remaining within the Nintendo all-star feel. The Mii is the other candidate for this niche, but the Mii is a simplistic avatar of you who doesn´t really belong to a franchise any more than R.O.B. does. Animal Crosser has a viable moveset through several events and functions in Animal Crossing as well as all the available items and furniture. Animal Crossing is obviously going to get representation in SSBB, and in my opinion the Animal Crosser is by far the most likely candidate. Did I mention he/she appeared in Sakurai´s poll? Oh, yeah, Mr. Resetti; forgot to address him. People seem to believe that because he´s not part of the Smashville stage he must be the playable character. Mr. Resetti appears when you reset your game. Why would he be hanging out in the village? For all we know he
could be hanging out in the village, as the characters seem to change with the time of day and we´ve only seen a few screenshots. The Animal Crosser is the true main character of the game, and it would make little sense to ditch him/her over one who is relatively minor.
34. Captain Olimar
One of the few new Nintendo franchises that has been very successful and warrants representation is Pikmin. In terms of who will do the representation the answer is unanimous in Japan and the rest of the world: Captain Olimar (and his Pikmin). As pointed out by many, Captain Olimar has potential for the most original moveset in Super Smash Bros. and would come as fresh representation for a series that deserves it. I honestly see no reason why he wouldn´t included beyond time constraints.
35. Ice Climbers
It seems to be a popular claim that the Ice Climbers will not return for Super Smash Bros. Brawl. Why? They are one of the most unique characters in the game, being two-in-one, and have a perfectly workable as well as original moveset going for them. The most popular argument as to why they should be ditched is the fact that many other retro characters, virtually obscure and unknown, are also waiting for their time in the sun. Why? The list of possible retro/obscure characters for this game goes on forever as demonstrated by parrothead, and the Ice Climbers are already one-of-a-kind, easy to implement thanks to their appearance in SSBM and are generally well-liked. Sakurai won´t fix it if it ain´t broke, which brings me to my next character.
36. Mr. Game & Watch
Honestly, why not? Mr. Game & Watch was highly original in SSBM as the only 2D character and once again has a fully working and original moveset to bring into SSBB, so I think that Sakurai will bring him over as well. He´s vital to Nintendo history, and I don´t why he would be willingly ditched when Sakurai wants to get as much as he can into the game.
37. Balloon Fighter
The competition for new retro character is fierce, with literally hundreds of potential contenders. So why Balloon Fighter? Let´s see. He appeared in the poll. Sakurai considered him for SSBM, and it is rumored that he even appeared in the beta version of the game. Thanks to his balloons, he has potential to be one of the most original characters in SSBB as well as go with the aerial combat theme that Sakurai is pushing for. Admittedly, there are many other characters that could take his place, but I think he´s the safest bet.
38. Sonic the Hedgehog
Seriously, he´s a shoe-in. SEGA is in great terms with Nintendo, loves the Wii, will have him and Mario face off in the Olympics, and Nintendo is interested in the idea. He was the most requested third-party character. What is anyone expecting other than his appearance?
39. Snake
Confirmed. Never thought you´d see him and Kirby in the same game, did you?
40. Stafy
The surprise! The WTF character, as one would say. But why Stafy? Because he´s one of the most solid Japan-only characters that figured in Sakurai´s poll. He has four games under his belt and is still going strong in the East. Sakurai could see him as the best candidate to bring his franchise to the West through popularity by appearing in SSBB. Stafy has more than enough friends and abilities to get into a fighting game, as well as some very unique aspects (fully underwater stage much?). Other Japan-only characters who figured in the poll, such as Demille, are currently not getting new games out and therefore lose to Stafy. Besides, Stafy is very much on the same vein as Kirby, and let´s all remember who made that pink puffball up.
So yeah, that´s my roster. Anyone who wants to argue against me, please do; that´s kinda why I made the list.